Phillies | 2016 MLB Predictions | FiveThirtyEight

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Starting Pitcher Adjustments

Jerad Eickhoff

53.8

+16.7

Jeremy Hellickson

52.9

+12.5

Alec Asher

49.8

-2.4

Phil Klein

47.8

-11.6

Jake Thompson

46.1

-19.7

Adam Morgan

45.4

-22.9

Completed games

W 5-2 Oct 2

45%

vs.

55%

Eickhoff

Ynoa

L 3-5 Oct 1

39%

vs.

61%

Klein

Colon

L 1-5 Sep 30

38%

vs.

62%

Asher

Gsellman

L 2-5 Sep 29

44%

@

56%

Hellickson

Collmenter

L 2-12 Sep 28

41%

@

59%

Morgan

Foltynewicz

L 6-7 Sep 27

40%

@

60%

Eickhoff

Teheran

L 0-17 Sep 25

35%

@

65%

Thompson

Gsellman

W 10-8 Sep 24

38%

@

62%

Asher

Gilmartin

L 5-10 Sep 23

40%

@

60%

Hellickson

Ynoa

L 8-9 Sep 22

34%

@

66%

Morgan

Lugo

W 8-3 Sep 21

41%

vs.

59%

Eickhoff

Sale

W 7-6 Sep 20

51%

vs.

49%

Thompson

Shields

L 4-5 Sep 18

49%

vs.

51%

Asher

Cashner

W 8-0 Sep 17

48%

vs.

52%

Hellickson

Urena

W 4-3 Sep 16

45%

vs.

55%

Morgan

Koehler

L 2-15 Sep 15

47%

vs.

53%

Eickhoff

Kuhl

W 6-2 Sep 14

44%

vs.

56%

Thompson

Brault

L 3-5 Sep 13

42%

vs.

58%

Asher

Nova

W 6-2 Sep 12

43%

vs.

57%

Hellickson

Cole

L 2-3 Sep 11

32%

@

68%

Morgan

Gonzalez

L 0-3 Sep 10

29%

@

71%

Eickhoff

Scherzer

L 4-5 Sep 9

31%

@

69%

Thompson

Roark

W 4-1 Sep 8

30%

@

70%

Asher

Cole

L 0-6 Sep 7

44%

@

56%

Hellickson

Cashner

W 4-3 Sep 6

38%

@

62%

Morgan

Urena

W 6-2 Sep 5

44%

@

56%

Eickhoff

Esch

L 0-2 Sep 4

42%

vs.

58%

Thompson

Teheran

L 4-6 Sep 3

51%

vs.

49%

Velasquez

Gant

L 4-8 Sep 2

59%

vs.

41%

Hellickson

De Leon

L 1-2 Aug 31

38%

vs.

62%

Morgan

Gonzalez

L 2-3 Aug 30

36%

vs.

64%

Eickhoff

Scherzer

L 0-4 Aug 29

34%

vs.

66%

Thompson

Roark

W 5-1 Aug 28

41%

@

59%

Velasquez

Gsellman

L 1-12 Aug 27

38%

@

62%

Hellickson

Syndergaard

L 4-9 Aug 26

38%

@

62%

Morgan

Colon

W 5-3 Aug 24

48%

@

52%

Eickhoff

Shields

L 1-9 Aug 23

37%

@

63%

Thompson

Rodon

L 0-9 Aug 21

45%

vs.

55%

Velasquez

Leake

W 4-2 Aug 20

47%

vs.

53%

Hellickson

Weaver

L 3-4 Aug 19

38%

vs.

62%

Morgan

Wainwright

W 5-4 Aug 18

44%

vs.

56%

Eickhoff

Stripling

L 2-7 Aug 17

39%

vs.

61%

Thompson

Kazmir

L 5-15 Aug 16

42%

vs.

58%

Velasquez

Maeda

W 7-6 Aug 14

43%

vs.

56%

Morgan

Chatwood

W 6-3 Aug 13

46%

vs.

54%

Eickhoff

Anderson

W 10-6 Aug 12

41%

vs.

59%

Thompson

Gray

W 6-2 Aug 10

35%

@

65%

Hellickson

Kazmir

L 3-9 Aug 9

34%

@

66%

Velasquez

Maeda

L 4-9 Aug 8

35%

@

65%

Eflin

Urias

W 6-5 Aug 7

45%

@

55%

Eickhoff

Cosart

L 7-9 Aug 6

42%

@

57%

Thompson

Clemens

W 5-4 Aug 5

44%

@

56%

Hellickson

Friedrich

L 2-3 Aug 4

45%

vs.

55%

Velasquez

Moore

W 5-4 Aug 3

36%

vs.

64%

Klein

Cueto

W 13-8 Aug 2

36%

vs.

64%

Eflin

Bumgarner

L 1-2 Jul 31

54%

@

46%

Eickhoff

De Leon

W 9-5 Jul 30

43%

@

57%

Hellickson

Teheran

L 1-2 Jul 29

55%

@

45%

Velasquez

Jenkins

W 7-5 Jul 28

49%

@

51%

Nola

Wisler

L 1-11 Jul 27

42%

@

58%

Eflin

Conley

L 0-5 Jul 26

43%

@

57%

Eickhoff

Koehler

W 4-0 Jul 25

42%

@

58%

Hellickson

Cosart

L 4-5 Jul 24

35%

@

65%

Velasquez

Taillon

L 4-7 Jul 23

36%

@

64%

Nola

Glasnow

W 4-0 Jul 22

32%

@

68%

Eflin

Cole

L 3-9 Jul 21

50%

vs.

50%

Eickhoff

Koehler

W 4-1 Jul 20

45%

vs.

55%

Hellickson

Chen

L 1-2 Jul 19

50%

vs.

50%

Velasquez

Urena

L 2-3 Jul 18

38%

vs.

62%

Nola

Fernandez

L 0-5 Jul 17

42%

vs.

58%

Eflin

deGrom

W 4-2 Jul 16

48%

vs.

52%

Eickhoff

Verrett

L 3-5 Jul 15

45%

vs.

55%

Hellickson

Colon

W 10-3 Jul 10

40%

@

60%

Eflin

Chatwood

L 3-8 Jul 9

41%

@

59%

Eickhoff

Anderson

W 5-3 Jul 8

42%

@

58%

Velasquez

Gray

L 2-11 Jul 7

39%

@

61%

Morgan

Bettis

W 4-3 Jul 6

56%

vs.

44%

Hellickson

Jenkins

W 5-1 Jul 5

55%

vs.

45%

Eflin

Foltynewicz

W 8-2 Jul 4

58%

vs.

42%

Eickhoff

De Leon

W 7-2 Jul 3

44%

vs.

56%

Velasquez

Ventura

L 2-6 Jul 2

41%

vs.

59%

Nola

Duffy

W 4-3 Jul 1

43%

vs.

57%

Hellickson

Kennedy

W 9-8 Jun 29

38%

@

62%

Eflin

Bradley

W 4-3 Jun 28

35%

@

65%

Eickhoff

Greinke

W 8-0 Jun 27

40%

@

60%

Velasquez

Ray

L 7-8 Jun 26

27%

@

73%

Nola

Cueto

W 3-2 Jun 25

25%

@

75%

Hellickson

Bumgarner

L 4-5 Jun 24

28%

@

72%

Eflin

Peavy

W 7-3 Jun 23

45%

@

55%

Eickhoff

Nolasco

L 5-6 Jun 22

39%

@

61%

Morgan

Gibson

L 10-14 Jun 21

44%

@

56%

Nola

Duffey

L 1-3 Jun 20

47%

vs.

53%

Hellickson

Miller

L 1-5 Jun 19

39%

vs.

61%

Eflin

Bradley

L 1-4 Jun 18

42%

vs.

58%

Eickhoff

Greinke

L 2-10 Jun 17

45%

vs.

55%

Morgan

Ray

L 2-13 Jun 16

43%

vs.

57%

Nola

Happ

L 2-7 Jun 15

36%

vs.

64%

Hellickson

Estrada

L 3-11 Jun 14

33%

@

67%

Eflin

Stroman

W 7-0 Jun 13

35%

@

65%

Eickhoff

Dickey

L 4-5 Jun 12

31%

@

69%

Morgan

Ross

L 0-8 Jun 11

37%

@

63%

Nola

Roark

L 6-9 Jun 10

31%

@

69%

Hellickson

Strasburg

L 1-8 Jun 8

34%

vs.

66%

Velasquez

Lackey

W 3-2 Jun 7

35%

vs.

65%

Eickhoff

Hendricks

L 4-6 Jun 6

30%

vs.

70%

Morgan

Lester

W 8-1 Jun 5

56%

vs.

44%

Nola

Peralta

L 3-6 Jun 4

46%

vs.

54%

Hellickson

Guerra

W 6-3 Jun 3

48%

vs.

52%

Velasquez

Nelson

L 1-4 Jun 2

52%

vs.

48%

Eickhoff

Anderson

L 2-7 Jun 1

34%

vs.

66%

Morgan

Scherzer

L 1-5 May 31

44%

vs.

56%

Nola

Ross

L 3-4 May 30

41%

vs.

59%

Hellickson

Roark

L 2-7 May 29

30%

@

70%

Velasquez

Lackey

L 1-4 May 28

31%

@

69%

Eickhoff

Hendricks

L 2-6 May 27

26%

@

74%

Morgan

Lester

W 8-5 May 25

43%

@

57%

Nola

Sanchez

L 1-3 May 24

34%

@

66%

Hellickson

Verlander

L 4-5 May 23

46%

@

54%

Velasquez

Pelfrey

W 5-0 May 22

59%

vs.

41%

Eickhoff

Kelly

L 0-2 May 21

55%

vs.

45%

Morgan

Perez

L 1-7 May 20

60%

vs.

40%

Nola

Wisler

W 4-2 May 18

49%

vs.

51%

Hellickson

Koehler

W 3-1 May 17

48%

vs.

52%

Velasquez

Chen

L 3-5 May 16

48%

vs.

52%

Eickhoff

Conley

L 4-9 May 15

51%

vs.

49%

Morgan

Straily

W 4-3 May 14

55%

vs.

45%

Nola

Adleman

W 3-2 May 13

52%

vs.

48%

Hellickson

Finnegan

W 7-4 May 12

52%

@

48%

Velasquez

Blair

L 1-5 May 11

54%

@

46%

Eickhoff

Perez

W 3-2 May 10

47%

@

53%

Morgan

Wisler

W 6-5 May 8

44%

@

56%

Nola

Nicolino

W 4-3 May 7

42%

@

58%

Hellickson

Koehler

L 4-6 May 6

41%

@

59%

Velasquez

Chen

L 0-4 May 5

36%

@

64%

Eickhoff

Garcia

L 4-5 May 4

36%

@

64%

Morgan

Leake

W 1-0 May 3

39%

@

61%

Nola

Wacha

L 3-10 May 2

35%

@

65%

Hellickson

Wainwright

W 2-1 May 1

45%

vs.

55%

Velasquez

Salazar

W 4-3 Apr 30

48%

vs.

52%

Eickhoff

Bauer

W 4-3 Apr 29

37%

vs.

63%

Morgan

Kluber

W 3-0 Apr 28

38%

@

62%

Nola

Roark

W 3-0 Apr 27

32%

@

68%

Hellickson

Gonzalez

W 4-3 Apr 26

33%

@

67%

Velasquez

Scherzer

L 5-8 Apr 24

49%

@

51%

Eickhoff

Peralta

W 10-6 Apr 23

41%

@

59%

Morton

Anderson

W 5-2 Apr 22

45%

@

55%

Nola

Davies

W 5-4 Apr 20

41%

vs.

59%

Hellickson

Colon

L 1-11 Apr 19

45%

vs.

55%

Velasquez

Verrett

L 2-5 Apr 18

42%

vs.

58%

Eickhoff

Syndergaard

W 3-2 Apr 17

38%

vs.

62%

Morton

Gonzalez

L 1-8 Apr 16

37%

vs.

63%

Nola

Scherzer

L 1-9 Apr 15

42%

vs.

58%

Hellickson

Ross

W 3-0 Apr 14

52%

vs.

48%

Velasquez

Pomeranz

W 2-1 Apr 13

53%

vs.

47%

Eickhoff

Rea

W 3-0 Apr 12

47%

vs.

53%

Morton

Erlin

L 3-4 Apr 11

53%

vs.

47%

Nola

Cashner

W 5-2 Apr 10

31%

@

69%

Hellickson

Harvey

W 1-0 Apr 9

36%

@

64%

Velasquez

Colon

L 2-7 Apr 8

31%

@

69%

Eickhoff

deGrom

L 6-10 Apr 7

42%

@

58%

Morton

Stephenson

L 2-3 Apr 6

45%

@

55%

Nola

Finnegan

L 2-6 Apr 4

41%

@

59%

Hellickson

Iglesias

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