Updated Aug. 16, 2018 at 2:18 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Phillies have a 62% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1511, down 5 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BravesBraves68-5178%60%
PhilliesPhillies66-532.062%37%
NationalsNationals60-619.09%3%
MetsMets51-6716.5<1%<1%
MarlinsMarlins48-7522.0<1%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/16Thursday, Aug. 164:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Oswalt, Corey
Oswalt
1471171=145342%
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
151127+24=150858%
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
147117+0=145441%
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151115+24=152059%
8/17Friday, Aug. 176:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1471+22+0=149339%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+36+24=157161%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1471+51+0=152248%
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15111+24=153452%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 197 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
147135+0=143641%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151110+0=150159%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15112+0=150946%
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
152617+26=153554%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151115+0=149643%
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15263+24=154757%
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+36+0=154742%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1526+54+24=160458%
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:07 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
151112=150852%
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
148111+26=149648%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:07 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151110+0=150150%
TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
14811+24=150450%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:07 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15112+0=150950%
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1481+3+24=150850%
8/27Monday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
152631=152251%
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151115+22=151849%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1526+54+0=158051%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+36+24=157149%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Milone, Tommy
Milone
152641+0=148543%
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15111+24=153457%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1544+33=154451%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+26=153849%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1544+3+0=154751%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153649%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1544+3+0=154751%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153649%
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+13=150958%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1427+1+24=145242%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1427+1+24=145242%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1427+1+24=145242%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+11=151152%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1471+7+22=150048%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1471+7+24=150248%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1471+7+24=150248%
9/10Monday, Sept. 107:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
152642=152048%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+23=153552%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15264+0=152248%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153652%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15264+0=152248%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153652%
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1427+11=142735%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+26=153865%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1427+1+0=142835%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153665%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1427+1+0=142835%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153665%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1471+7+0=147842%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1471+7+0=147842%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 196:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1471+7+0=147842%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+13=150945%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154855%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151245%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154855%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151245%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154855%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151245%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154855%
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+13=150947%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+21=153153%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151247%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153453%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151247%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153453%
9/27Thursday, Sept. 273:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151247%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153453%
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1523+11=152348%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+20=153252%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152448%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153652%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152448%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153652%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
160514+0=159158%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1508+0+24=153242%7
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
160416+1=158960%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150914+22=151740%1
8/12Sunday, Aug. 123:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1513+4+0=151754%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1450+16+24=149046%9
8/11Saturday, Aug. 118:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+35+0=154660%5
SDSDPadres
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
14522+24=147440%1
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151317+0=149652%0
SDSDPadres
Nix, Jacob
Nix
1450+12+20=148248%2
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 83:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1516+3+0=151943%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1528+16+24=156857%6
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 79:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151320+0=149338%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1531+26+24=158162%2
8/6Monday, Aug. 69:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1514+04=151045%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
15307+24=154755%3
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14419+0=143230%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1513+39+24=157670%5
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1443+7+0=145041%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151119+24=151659%8
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1445+15+0=146040%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1509+0+24=153360%5
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
144631=144240%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150720+24=151160%5
7/31Tuesday, July 317 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15053+0=150238%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
159232+24=158462%1
7/30Monday, July 307 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1506+393=154241%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15916+24=160959%2
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150914+0=149547%0
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1476+18+24=151853%4
7/28Saturday, July 286:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1511+4+0=151553%2
CINCINReds
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
14746+24=149247%6
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151318+0=149548%4
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1472+14+24=151052%6
7/26Thursday, July 267 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1510202=148848%9
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1475+2+24=150152%4
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1562+3+0=156555%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15074+24=152745%7
7/24Tuesday, July 247:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1564+0+0=156449%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1505+40+24=156951%7
7/23Monday, July 237:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1563+43=156456%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150610+24=152044%6
7/22Sunday, July 226:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
144818+0=143037%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15042+24=152663%5
7/22Sunday, July 2212:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1443+7+2=145241%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150918+26=151759%2
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Richard, Clayton
Richard
1446+7+3=145639%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1507+0+28=153561%11
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
De Los Santos, Enyel
De Los Santos
151021+0=148951%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1446+12+24=148249%10
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1512+38+0=155062%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14444+24=146438%2
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
151043=150355%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14454+26=146745%0
7/12Thursday, July 126:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1509212=148653%5
BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1421+21+24=146647%4
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15117+0=150446%0
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1462+47+24=153354%3
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
De Los Santos, Enyel
De Los Santos
150921+0=148852%7
NYMNYMMets
Gagnon, Drew
Gagnon
146412+24=147648%3
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1507+36+0=154361%3
NYMNYMMets
Oswalt, Corey
Oswalt
146625+24=146539%1
7/9Monday, July 94:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150982=149952%3
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
14646+24=148248%4
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Anderson, Drew
Anderson
151120+0=149150%1
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
14683+24=148950%4
7/7Saturday, July 74:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15104+0=150650%3
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1470+14+24=150850%2
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150418+0=148647%17
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1475+10+22=150753%5
7/4Wednesday, July 44 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ramirez, Yefry
Ramirez
14302+0=142832%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1503+34+24=156168%4
7/3Tuesday, July 37:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
14317+1=142537%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150211+26=151763%3
7/1Sunday, July 11:35 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
153316+0=151749%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15014+24=152151%4
6/30Saturday, June 306:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
153419+0=151550%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
14995+24=151850%3
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
152944+0=148545%17
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15058+24=152155%7
6/28Thursday, June 287:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1531171=151344%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1503+30+24=155756%4
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
158929+0=156057%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150117+24=150843%3
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1587+33+0=162063%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1503+0+24=152737%0
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
1585263=155655%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15058+22=151945%2
6/24Sunday, June 248 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15066+0=150047%6
WSHWSHNationals
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
153537+24=152253%8
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1505+30+0=153553%5
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
153648+24=151247%3
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149919+0=148040%12
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154215+24=155160%2
6/20Wednesday, June 201:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1511+2+0=151349%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1498+1+24=152351%4
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15108+0=150248%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
14998+24=151552%6
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1511+213=152953%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149810+21=150947%6
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1496+37+0=153346%10
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1532+6+24=156254%9
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149323+0=147037%4
MILMILBrewers
Guerra, Junior
Guerra
1535+6+24=156563%1
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1497+83=150243%2
MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15318+26=154957%13
6/14Thursday, June 141:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14886+0=148247%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
149414+24=150453%9
6/13Wednesday, June 137:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1485+4+0=148946%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
14977+24=151454%2
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1486+72=149141%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1496+32+26=155459%5
6/10Sunday, June 101:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
153122+0=150953%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149528+24=149147%4
6/9Saturday, June 91:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Suter, Brent
Suter
15266+0=152048%12
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1499+13+24=153652%3
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1523+7+0=153052%12
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15036+21=151848%4
6/7Thursday, June 72:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15047+0=149739%3
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
156516+24=157361%4
6/6Wednesday, June 68:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1505+32+0=153743%5
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1564+2+24=159057%7
6/5Tuesday, June 58:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1501352=146431%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1568+14+23=160569%1
6/3Sunday, June 34:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1504+14+0=151850%1
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
14943+24=151550%6
6/2Saturday, June 210:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15069+0=149748%0
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
14928+24=150852%2
6/1Friday, June 110:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150842=150249%0
SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
14901+23=151251%4
5/31Thursday, May 317:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1506+30+0=153642%2
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1545+27+24=159658%1
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150931+0=147838%2
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15423+24=156362%8
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1505+12+0=151743%6
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
15465+24=156557%1
5/28Monday, May 288:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1506114=149145%4
LADLADDodgers
Stewart, Brock
Stewart
154442+24=152655%5
5/27Sunday, May 271:35 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1495+26+0=152149%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15084+24=152851%3
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
149619+0=147738%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1507+27+24=155862%2
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
1494102=148246%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150926+26=150954%5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gohara, Luiz
Gohara
15114+0=150745%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1506+10+24=154055%4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
150910+0=149947%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150810+24=152253%1
5/21Monday, May 217:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1511+13=150949%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15069+21=151851%3
5/20Sunday, May 202:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1509+30+0=153951%1
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
152514+24=153549%5
5/19Saturday, May 192:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150725+0=148243%7
STLSTLCardinals
Gant, John
Gant
152622+24=152857%6
5/18Friday, May 188:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1511+15+0=152647%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15222+24=154453%12
5/17Thursday, May 177:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1508133=149243%6
STLSTLCardinals
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15264+22=154457%2
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150614+4=149651%4
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1455+4+29=148849%1
5/13Sunday, May 131:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1489+36+2=152745%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1504+33+26=156355%4
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
14869+0=147741%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1506+13+24=154359%1
5/10Thursday, May 101:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Blach, Ty
Blach
149810+0=148846%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150413+24=151554%6
5/9Wednesday, May 97:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
1502+4+0=150650%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150118+24=150750%11
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
150334+0=146938%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1499+32+24=155562%4
5/7Monday, May 77:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1509+53=151153%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149427+22=148947%11
5/6Sunday, May 61:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1495+15+0=151037%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1541+38+24=160363%5
5/5Saturday, May 54:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
149311+0=148240%3
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
154417+24=155160%1
5/4Friday, May 47:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
149571=148740%3
WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15426+24=156060%7
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1492+28+0=152057%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1443+2+24=146943%0
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
149331+0=146247%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Garcia, Jarlin
Garcia
1442+19+24=148553%2
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1496+213=151458%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14394+24=145942%8
4/29Sunday, April 291:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
1492+4+0=149647%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15018+24=151753%1
4/28Saturday, April 286:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1490+0+0=149045%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15036+24=152155%1
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1492+42=149442%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1501+26+24=155158%7
4/26Thursday, April 261:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Koch, Matt
Koch
15428+0=153453%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Lively, Ben
Lively
150414+24=151447%2
4/25Wednesday, April 257:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1544+10+0=155451%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1503+17+24=154449%5
4/24Tuesday, April 247:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1541+32=154253%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15058+26=152347%4
4/22Sunday, April 221:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1489+18+0=150748%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150410+24=151852%3
4/21Saturday, April 214:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
149113+0=147840%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1502+23+24=154960%6
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1492+0+0=149248%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Lively, Ben
Lively
150115+24=151052%2
4/19Thursday, April 197:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1496+212=151548%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1497+13+21=153152%7
4/18Wednesday, April 187:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
14996+0=149346%3
ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
1489+8+24=152154%7
4/17Tuesday, April 177:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
14979+0=148846%5
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14912+24=151354%1
4/16Monday, April 167:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1498+252=152151%1
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
14902+23=151149%2
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Lively, Ben
Lively
149512+0=148348%10
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
148110+24=149552%4
4/14Saturday, April 146:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1492+14+0=150649%9
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1484+5+24=151351%4
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1490101=147947%2
TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
148611+23=149853%1
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1454+25+0=147947%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
148912+24=150153%4
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14566+0=145038%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1487+23+24=153462%6
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Reed, Cody
Reed
1457412=141437%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Lively, Ben
Lively
14866+24=150463%6
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1435+0+0=143537%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1489+17+24=153063%3
4/7Saturday, April 76:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Peters, Dillon
Peters
1440+1+2=144342%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
148313+26=149658%20
4/5Thursday, April 53:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1443+31=144544%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
148117+23=148756%5
4/4Wednesday, April 41:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1482+26+0=150844%2
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1495+31+24=155056%4
4/3Tuesday, April 37:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Lively, Ben
Lively
14846+2=148049%0
NYMNYMMets
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
149331+26=148851%2
3/31Saturday, March 317:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
14895+0=148447%2
ATLATLBraves
McCarthy, Brandon
McCarthy
1474+8+24=150653%15
3/30Friday, March 307:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
148717+0=147046%5
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
14763+24=149754%4
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1490+243=151151%5
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1474+8+24=150649%8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

Comments