Rays | 2016 MLB Predictions | FiveThirtyEight

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Starting Pitcher Adjustments

Chris Archer

56.3

+20.0

Jake Odorizzi

54.3

+10.5

Alex Cobb

52.1

+0.1

Blake Snell

50.9

-5.5

Drew Smyly

50.8

-6.0

Matt Andriese

50.1

-9.2

Chase Whitley

46.8

-24.8

Completed games

W 6-4 Oct 2

39%

@

61%

Whitley

Perez

W 4-1 Oct 1

43%

@

57%

Odorizzi

Lewis

L 1-3 Sep 30

36%

@

64%

Andriese

Darvish

W 5-3 Sep 29

45%

@

55%

Archer

Quintana

L 0-1 Sep 28

44%

@

56%

Snell

Gonzalez

L 6-13 Sep 27

42%

@

58%

Cobb

Sale

L 1-7 Sep 26

52%

@

48%

Smyly

Shields

L 2-3 Sep 25

45%

vs.

55%

Odorizzi

Rodriguez

L 4-6 Sep 24

37%

vs.

63%

Andriese

Porcello

L 1-2 Sep 23

48%

vs.

52%

Archer

Pomeranz

W 2-0 Sep 22

50%

vs.

50%

Snell

Cessa

L 5-11 Sep 21

49%

vs.

51%

Cobb

Tanaka

L 3-5 Sep 20

49%

vs.

51%

Smyly

Pineda

L 1-2 Sep 18

47%

@

53%

Odorizzi

Miley

W 5-2 Sep 17

39%

@

61%

Andriese

Tillman

L 4-5 Sep 16

47%

@

53%

Archer

Jimenez

W 7-6 Sep 15

44%

@

56%

Snell

Gallardo

W 8-1 Sep 14

43%

@

57%

Cobb

Estrada

W 6-2 Sep 13

39%

@

61%

Smyly

Stroman

L 2-3 Sep 12

44%

@

56%

Odorizzi

Liriano

W 4-2 Sep 11

40%

@

60%

Andriese

Cessa

L 1-5 Sep 10

41%

@

59%

Archer

Tanaka

L 5-7 Sep 9

41%

@

59%

Snell

Pineda

L 4-5 Sep 8

46%

@

54%

Cobb

Sabathia

W 7-6 Sep 7

47%

vs.

53%

Smyly

Bundy

L 2-11 Sep 6

54%

vs.

46%

Odorizzi

Gallardo

L 3-7 Sep 5

52%

vs.

48%

Andriese

Jimenez

L 3-5 Sep 4

47%

vs.

53%

Archer

Happ

W 7-5 Sep 3

43%

vs.

57%

Snell

Estrada

W 8-3 Sep 2

49%

vs.

51%

Cobb

Stroman

L 6-8 Aug 31

40%

@

60%

Smyly

Wright

W 4-3 Aug 30

40%

@

60%

Odorizzi

Pomeranz

L 4-9 Aug 29

36%

@

64%

Andriese

Porcello

W 10-4 Aug 28

43%

@

57%

Archer

Fister

L 2-6 Aug 27

38%

@

62%

Snell

Keuchel

L 4-5 Aug 26

41%

@

59%

Smyly

Fiers

W 2-1 Aug 25

46%

vs.

54%

Odorizzi

Pomeranz

W 4-3 Aug 24

41%

vs.

59%

Andriese

Porcello

L 1-2 Aug 23

51%

vs.

49%

Archer

Buchholz

L 2-6 Aug 22

45%

vs.

55%

Snell

Price

W 8-4 Aug 21

50%

vs.

50%

Smyly

Perez

W 8-2 Aug 20

50%

vs.

50%

Odorizzi

Griffin

L 2-6 Aug 19

45%

vs.

55%

Andriese

Hamels

W 2-0 Aug 17

60%

vs.

40%

Archer

Friedrich

W 15-1 Aug 16

59%

vs.

41%

Snell

Jackson

W 8-2 Aug 15

56%

vs.

44%

Smyly

Perdomo

W 12-3 Aug 14

45%

@

55%

Odorizzi

Severino

L 4-8 Aug 13

39%

@

61%

Andriese

Tanaka

L 3-6 Aug 12

45%

@

55%

Archer

Sabathia

L 0-7 Aug 10

38%

@

62%

Snell

Happ

W 9-2 Aug 9

33%

@

67%

Smyly

Estrada

L 5-7 Aug 8

41%

@

59%

Odorizzi

Dickey

L 3-6 Aug 7

52%

vs.

48%

Andriese

Gibson

W 7-3 Aug 6

57%

vs.

43%

Archer

Berrios

L 2-6 Aug 5

52%

vs.

48%

Snell

Santana

W 3-2 Aug 4

52%

vs.

48%

Smyly

Kennedy

W 12-0 Aug 3

53%

vs.

47%

Odorizzi

Volquez

L 2-3 Aug 2

53%

vs.

47%

Andriese

Ventura

L 0-3 Aug 1

52%

vs.

48%

Archer

Duffy

W 5-3 Jul 31

50%

vs.

50%

Snell

Pineda

W 6-3 Jul 30

49%

vs.

51%

Smyly

Eovaldi

W 5-1 Jul 29

50%

vs.

50%

Odorizzi

Nova

W 3-1 Jul 27

36%

@

64%

Moore

McCarthy

L 2-3 Jul 26

40%

@

60%

Archer

Norris

L 2-3 Jul 24

49%

@

51%

Snell

Hahn

L 3-4 Jul 23

45%

@

55%

Smyly

Graveman

L 0-1 Jul 22

46%

@

54%

Odorizzi

Manaea

W 7-3 Jul 21

45%

@

55%

Moore

Gray

W 11-3 Jul 20

47%

@

53%

Archer

De La Rosa

W 10-1 Jul 19

42%

@

58%

Snell

Chatwood

L 4-7 Jul 18

42%

@

58%

Smyly

Anderson

W 5-2 Jul 17

45%

vs.

55%

Odorizzi

Bundy

L 1-2 Jul 16

41%

vs.

59%

Moore

Tillman

L 3-4 Jul 15

46%

vs.

54%

Archer

Gallardo

L 0-4 Jul 10

34%

@

66%

Odorizzi

Price

L 1-4 Jul 9

37%

@

63%

Moore

Porcello

L 5-6 Jul 8

46%

@

54%

Archer

O'Sullivan

L 1-5 Jul 7

49%

vs.

51%

Snell

Santiago

L 2-7 Jul 6

54%

vs.

46%

Smyly

Weaver

L 5-13 Jul 5

57%

vs.

43%

Odorizzi

Lincecum

W 4-2 Jul 4

52%

vs.

48%

Moore

Tropeano

L 1-5 Jul 3

55%

vs.

45%

Archer

Pelfrey

L 2-3 Jul 2

43%

vs.

57%

Snell

Verlander

L 2-10 Jul 1

44%

vs.

56%

Smyly

Fulmer

L 7-10 Jun 30

51%

vs.

49%

Odorizzi

Zimmermann

W 4-0 Jun 29

41%

vs.

59%

Moore

Price

L 2-8 Jun 28

47%

vs.

53%

Archer

Porcello

W 13-7 Jun 27

46%

vs.

54%

Snell

Rodriguez

L 5-12 Jun 26

43%

@

57%

Smyly

Wilson

L 6-8 Jun 25

40%

@

60%

Odorizzi

Tillman

L 0-5 Jun 25

42%

@

58%

Andriese

Gausman

L 3-6 Jun 24

41%

@

59%

Moore

Gallardo

L 1-6 Jun 22

42%

@

58%

Archer

Bauer

L 0-6 Jun 21

36%

@

64%

Snell

Kluber

L 4-7 Jun 20

44%

@

56%

Smyly

Tomlin

L 1-5 Jun 19

51%

vs.

49%

Odorizzi

Peavy

L 4-6 Jun 18

49%

vs.

51%

Moore

Suarez

L 1-5 Jun 17

52%

vs.

48%

Archer

Samardzija

L 4-6 Jun 16

54%

vs.

46%

Snell

Paxton

W 3-2 Jun 15

53%

vs.

47%

Smyly

Karns

W 8-7 Jun 14

53%

vs.

47%

Odorizzi

Walker

W 5-0 Jun 12

46%

vs.

54%

Moore

Keuchel

L 3-4 Jun 11

52%

vs.

48%

Archer

Fiers

W 4-3 Jun 10

53%

vs.

47%

Andriese

McCullers

W 6-3 Jun 8

52%

@

48%

Odorizzi

Bradley

L 0-5 Jun 7

40%

@

60%

Moore

Greinke

W 6-4 Jun 6

50%

@

50%

Archer

Ray

W 7-5 Jun 5

53%

@

47%

Smyly

Duffey

W 7-4 Jun 4

52%

@

48%

Andriese

Santana

W 4-2 Jun 3

54%

@

46%

Odorizzi

Nolasco

L 4-6 Jun 2

50%

@

50%

Moore

Hughes

L 3-6 Jun 1

44%

@

56%

Archer

Duffy

L 5-10 May 31

51%

@

49%

Smyly

Gee

L 2-6 May 30

46%

@

54%

Andriese

Kennedy

L 1-2 May 29

53%

vs.

47%

Odorizzi

Eovaldi

W 9-5 May 28

51%

vs.

49%

Moore

Pineda

L 1-4 May 27

50%

vs.

50%

Archer

Tanaka

L 1-9 May 26

53%

vs.

47%

Smyly

Fernandez

L 3-4 May 25

60%

vs.

40%

Andriese

Nicolino

W 4-3 May 24

52%

@

48%

Odorizzi

Koehler

L 6-7 May 23

46%

@

54%

Moore

Chen

L 4-9 May 22

47%

@

53%

Archer

Zimmermann

L 4-5 May 21

56%

@

44%

Smyly

Fulmer

W 7-5 May 20

51%

@

49%

Andriese

Sanchez

W 6-3 May 18

45%

@

55%

Odorizzi

Dickey

W 12-2 May 17

43%

@

57%

Archer

Stroman

W 13-2 May 16

44%

@

56%

Smyly

Happ

L 6-7 May 15

54%

vs.

46%

Moore

Gray

W 6-0 May 14

57%

vs.

43%

Andriese

Graveman

L 3-6 May 13

54%

vs.

46%

Odorizzi

Hill

L 5-6 May 11

44%

@

56%

Archer

Walker

L 4-6 May 10

48%

@

52%

Smyly

Miley

L 2-5 May 9

40%

@

60%

Moore

Hernandez

W 3-1 May 8

45%

@

55%

Andriese

Tropeano

W 4-2 May 7

48%

@

52%

Odorizzi

Weaver

W 5-2 May 6

48%

@

52%

Archer

Rasmus

W 8-5 May 4

54%

vs.

46%

Smyly

Wood

L 5-10 May 3

51%

vs.

49%

Moore

Kazmir

L 1-5 May 1

49%

vs.

51%

Odorizzi

Stroman

W 4-3 Apr 30

49%

vs.

51%

Archer

Happ

L 1-6 Apr 29

56%

vs.

44%

Smyly

Sanchez

L 1-3 Apr 27

52%

vs.

48%

Moore

Tillman

W 3-1 Apr 26

52%

vs.

48%

Odorizzi

Jimenez

W 2-0 Apr 25

50%

vs.

50%

Archer

Gausman

W 8-1 Apr 24

48%

@

52%

Smyly

Pineda

L 2-3 Apr 23

39%

@

61%

Snell

Tanaka

L 3-6 Apr 22

47%

@

53%

Moore

Sabathia

W 12-8 Apr 21

38%

@

62%

Odorizzi

Price

L 3-7 Apr 20

44%

@

56%

Archer

Porcello

W 3-0 Apr 19

48%

@

52%

Smyly

Kelly

W 3-2 Apr 17

47%

vs.

53%

Moore

Quintana

W 7-2 Apr 16

55%

vs.

45%

Ramirez

Danks

L 0-1 Apr 15

48%

vs.

52%

Odorizzi

Sale

L 0-6 Apr 14

50%

vs.

50%

Archer

Salazar

L 1-4 Apr 13

51%

vs.

49%

Smyly

Carrasco

W 5-1 Apr 12

45%

vs.

55%

Moore

Kluber

L 3-5 Apr 10

49%

@

51%

Odorizzi

Worley

L 1-6 Apr 8

49%

@

51%

Archer

Tillman

W 5-3 Apr 6

46%

vs.

54%

Moore

Happ

W 3-2 Apr 5

51%

vs.

49%

Odorizzi

Sanchez

L 3-5 Apr 4

51%

vs.

49%

Smyly

Dickey

L 3-5 Apr 3

51%

vs.

49%

Archer

Stroman

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