Updated Aug. 16, 2018 at 2:18 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rays have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1514, up 6 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
Red SoxRed Sox86-36>99%97%
YankeesYankees75-4510.0>99%3%
RaysRays61-5924.0<1%<1%
Blue JaysBlue Jays55-6530.0<1%<1%
OriolesOrioles36-8549.5<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/16Thursday, Aug. 161:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1514+32+0=154641%
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1572+11+24=160759%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
1514102=150236%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
160325+24=160264%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
151441+0=147329%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1603+3+24=163071%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150726%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1603+57+24=168474%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
141073=140032%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+21=152868%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1410+13+0=142330%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1514+32+24=157070%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1410+8+0=141834%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153166%
8/23Thursday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1410+15+0=142540%
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
151441+24=149760%
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1603+573=165767%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153133%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
160310+0=159359%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153141%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
160314+0=158953%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1514+32+24=157047%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:35 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150744%
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15231+23=154556%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:35 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
151441+0=147338%
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1523+10+24=155762%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
151471=150639%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15658+24=158161%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150739%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15658+24=158161%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150739%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15658+24=158161%
9/3Monday, Sept. 37:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
151472=150551%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14811+21=150149%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150750%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14811+24=150450%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150750%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14811+24=150450%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1422+02=142035%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+23=153065%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 86:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1422+0+0=142235%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153165%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1422+0+0=142235%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153165%
9/10Monday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
156583=155453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153147%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15658+0=155754%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153146%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15658+0=155754%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153146%
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
154623=154151%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+26=153349%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 156:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15462+0=154452%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153148%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
15462+0=154452%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153148%
9/17Monday, Sept. 178:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
151473=150449%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14922+21=151151%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 188:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150749%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14922+24=151451%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 192:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150749%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
14922+24=151451%
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
151473=150450%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14811+22=150250%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150750%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14811+24=150450%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150750%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14811+24=150450%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+0=150750%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14811+24=150450%
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1572+33=157256%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+21=152844%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1572+3+0=157556%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153144%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1572+3+0=157556%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153144%
9/27Thursday, Sept. 271:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1572+3+0=157556%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153144%
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
148111=147943%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153157%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 296:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14811+0=148043%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153157%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14811+0=148043%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15147+24=153157%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
151010+0=150039%6
NYYNYYYankees
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
157621+24=157961%1
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
151120+0=149135%1
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1574+3+24=160165%4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
151246+0=146643%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1480+9+24=151357%2
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
151110+0=150152%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
148116+24=148948%1
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1507+293=153353%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1485+6+24=151547%0
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
143121+0=141035%4
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
150713+24=151865%5
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1429+1+0=143037%5
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15087+24=152563%4
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1430+41=143343%3
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
150751+26=148257%4
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
1437+3+0=144038%8
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
150910+24=152362%7
8/4Saturday, Aug. 46:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1435+38+0=147337%2
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1511+30+24=156563%1
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
143353=142536%3
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15139+24=152864%2
8/2Thursday, Aug. 21:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1511+8+0=151950%2
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
151114+24=152150%4
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 17:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Tropeano, Nick
Tropeano
15149+0=150554%2
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
150854+24=147846%7
7/31Tuesday, July 317:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1517+192=153452%6
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15058+23=152048%10
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15099+0=150055%5
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1429+11+24=146445%11
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15144+0=151057%2
BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1424+14+24=146243%11
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1519+1+0=152060%5
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1418+9+24=145140%15
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
1518183=149758%4
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
14193+26=144242%3
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
158822+0=156654%2
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15175+24=153646%3
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1586+7+0=159359%4
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
151915+24=152841%0
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1588+341=162164%6
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
151719+24=152236%7
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1453+1+0=145438%4
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1515+0+24=153962%6
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14515+0=144637%3
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15173+24=153863%2
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14493+5=145137%6
TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15193+28=154463%5
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15224+0=151852%7
MINMINTwins
Romero, Fernando
Romero
149210+24=150648%11
7/14Saturday, July 142:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1516+0+0=151646%19
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1498+22+24=154454%6
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1518+5+0=152351%8
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
14952+24=151749%11
7/12Thursday, July 128:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1521+313=154953%1
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1493+9+24=152647%5
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1448+0+0=144839%2
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
151920+24=152361%4
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14493+0=144638%2
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15188+24=153462%5
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Liriano, Francisco
Liriano
145063=144136%9
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1517+0+21=153864%10
7/8Sunday, July 81:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15142+0=151260%9
NYMNYMMets
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
146748+24=144340%0
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1512+30+0=154257%3
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
14693+24=149043%0
7/6Friday, July 67:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
151471=150646%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1467+43+24=153454%5
7/4Wednesday, July 41:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Andriese, Matt
Andriese
151715+0=150254%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1441+10+24=147546%3
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
151522+0=149353%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1443+4+24=147147%6
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
151612=151358%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Chen, Wei-Yin
Chen
14414+24=146142%3
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1604+0+0=160456%2
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1515+27+24=156644%3
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1608+35+0=164366%2
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15127+24=152934%5
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1609+4+0=161362%2
TBTBRays
Font, Wilmer
Font
15103+24=153138%3
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
1608163=158959%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
15119+26=152841%0
6/26Tuesday, June 2612:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1532+50+0=158258%0
TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15094+24=152942%1
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1536103=152346%0
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1505+25+24=155454%11
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158715+0=157258%6
TBTBRays
Andriese, Matt
Andriese
150310+24=151742%7
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
159014+0=157659%0
TBTBRays
Font, Wilmer
Font
15008+24=151641%4
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
159263=158359%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
14986+23=151541%2
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1500+0+0=150033%1
HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
16097+24=162667%5
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1498+24+0=152229%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1611+41+24=167671%1
6/18Monday, June 188:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
149893=148629%4
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1610+6+21=163771%5
6/17Sunday, June 172:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Font, Wilmer
Font
149612+0=148433%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15907+24=160767%1
6/16Saturday, June 161:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
149711+0=148629%1
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1589+32+24=164571%4
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1499+1+0=150039%0
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
158730+24=158161%5
6/14Thursday, June 147:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1500+283=152542%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158627+24=158358%4
6/13Wednesday, June 131:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1489+28+0=151751%0
TBTBRays
Font, Wilmer
Font
149813+24=150949%1
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Garcia, Jaime
Garcia
149117+0=147445%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
149614+24=150655%4
6/11Monday, June 117:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
149353=148548%4
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
149416+24=150252%8
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1530+37+0=156757%5
TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1495+2+24=152143%4
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153213+0=151946%3
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1493+30+24=154754%7
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
153111+0=152052%4
TBTBRays
Font, Wilmer
Font
149415+24=150348%3
6/7Thursday, June 77:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
152993=151752%5
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
149515+21=150148%4
6/6Wednesday, June 61:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Venters, Jonny
Venters
149916+0=148339%2
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
155016+24=155861%11
6/5Tuesday, June 57:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1500+12=149934%2
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1549+38+23=161066%4
6/3Sunday, June 34:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1501+24+0=152549%1
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
152517+24=153251%2
6/2Saturday, June 210:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1503+7+0=151046%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152412+24=153654%3
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Romo, Sergio
Romo
1504213=148042%3
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15239+24=153858%4
5/31Thursday, May 313:35 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
150613+0=149343%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
1500+18+24=154257%7
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15023+0=149945%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1504+10+24=153855%0
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1501+22+0=152354%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Gossett, Daniel
Gossett
150530+24=149946%3
5/28Monday, May 284:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1499+54=150046%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
15073+24=152854%0
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1451+26+0=147746%3
TBTBRays
Romo, Sergio
Romo
149714+24=150754%8
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1453+3+0=145643%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
149514+24=150557%5
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
145073=144040%2
TBTBRays
Romo, Sergio
Romo
149711+24=151060%0
5/24Thursday, May 247:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15735+0=156854%3
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1494+18+24=153646%6
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15711+0=157057%4
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1496+3+24=152343%1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1570+371=160663%4
TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
14985+22=151537%2
5/20Sunday, May 204:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Romo, Sergio
Romo
149911+0=148843%2
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1515+2+24=154157%5
5/19Saturday, May 199:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Romo, Sergio
Romo
149713+0=148443%5
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
15179+24=153257%3
5/18Friday, May 1810:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1494+17+0=151146%8
LAALAAAngels
Tropeano, Nick
Tropeano
15213+24=154254%3
5/17Thursday, May 1710:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
149013=148641%7
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1525+2+24=155159%1
5/16Wednesday, May 162:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
14882+0=148656%5
KCKCRoyals
Hammel, Jason
Hammel
143411+24=144744%3
5/15Tuesday, May 158:15 p.m.TBTBRays
Banda, Anthony
Banda
148715+0=147253%6
KCKCRoyals
Kennedy, Ian
Kennedy
14359+24=145047%5
5/14Monday, May 147 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1486153=146854%2
KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
143717+21=144146%1
5/13Sunday, May 131:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1493+24+0=151756%1
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1448+6+24=147844%17
5/12Saturday, May 126:35 p.m.TBTBRays
Andriese, Matt
Andriese
14898+0=148150%10
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1452+5+24=148150%3
5/12Saturday, May 123:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1492+1+0=149353%3
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
14501+24=147347%6
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
1494+01=149349%4
BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1447+29+24=150051%9
5/9Wednesday, May 97:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1500+7+0=150750%5
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
149717+24=150450%2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1498+5+0=150344%1
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1498+21+26=154556%0
5/6Sunday, May 61:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
15125+0=150748%2
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
15003+24=152152%1
5/5Saturday, May 56:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1513+12+0=152551%3
TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
14981+24=152149%5
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1516+283=154155%2
TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
149513+23=150545%6
5/2Wednesday, May 21:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1496+22+0=151853%2
DETDETTigers
Fulmer, Michael
Fulmer
1450+27+24=150147%3
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
14984+0=149452%1
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1449+4+24=147748%2
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
149763=148855%3
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
145022+22=145045%2
4/29Sunday, April 291:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Andriese, Matt
Andriese
14989+0=148936%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15703+24=159164%4
4/28Saturday, April 284:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
14934+0=148934%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1575+6+24=160566%6
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1491+202=150939%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
15768+22=159061%3
4/26Thursday, April 267:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1488+1+0=148947%9
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1457+30+24=151153%5
4/25Wednesday, April 257:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
14864+2=148450%8
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1460+0+26=148650%4
4/22Sunday, April 221:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Hughes, Phil
Hughes
151223+0=148948%6
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
14845+24=150352%8
4/21Saturday, April 216:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15166+0=151049%1
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1480+16+24=152051%10
4/20Friday, April 207:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
151831=151451%7
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
14791+26=150449%8
4/18Wednesday, April 181:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1487+19+0=150652%2
TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
14775+24=149648%4
4/17Tuesday, April 177:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Moore, Matt
Moore
148415+0=146944%7
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1480+4+24=150856%2
4/16Monday, April 167:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1486103=147344%4
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1478+14+24=151656%8
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Lively, Ben
Lively
149512+0=148348%10
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
148110+24=149552%4
4/14Saturday, April 146:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1492+14+0=150649%9
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1484+5+24=151351%4
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1490101=147947%2
TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
148611+23=149853%1
4/11Wednesday, April 112:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
14871+0=148654%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Shields, James
Shields
145114+24=146146%2
4/10Tuesday, April 102:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1486+11+0=149753%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Fulmer, Carson
Fulmer
1452+3+24=147947%5
4/9Monday, April 92:30 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1485+83=149051%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Gonzalez, Miguel
Gonzalez
1453+2+24=147949%4
4/8Sunday, April 81:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
148611+0=147536%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15584+24=157864%8
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
1488+1+2=149140%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155520+26=156160%10
4/5Thursday, April 52:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1489102=147734%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1554+12+23=158966%3
4/4Wednesday, April 41:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1491+14+0=150536%2
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1567+14+24=160564%7
4/3Tuesday, April 34 p.m.TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1493+81=150038%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15654+24=158562%11
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
155027+0=152350%2
TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
1495+2+24=152150%1
3/31Saturday, March 316:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154820+0=152853%3
TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
149612+24=150847%2
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1547+10+0=155753%1
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1497+11+24=153247%0
3/29Thursday, March 294 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1549+313=157757%4
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1495+9+24=152843%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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