Red Sox | 2016 MLB Predictions | FiveThirtyEight

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Starting Pitcher Adjustments

Rick Porcello

58.5

+25.0

David Price

55.1

+9.0

Eduardo Rodriguez

52.1

-4.9

Drew Pomeranz

52.0

-5.7

Clay Buchholz

51.7

-7.0

Henry Owens

45.9

-34.1

Completed games

L 3-4 Oct 10

59%

vs.

41%

Buchholz

Tomlin

L 0-6 Oct 7

45%

@

55%

Price

Kluber

L 4-5 Oct 6

58%

@

42%

Porcello

Bauer

L 1-2 Oct 2

58%

vs.

42%

Price

Sanchez

L 3-4 Oct 1

55%

vs.

45%

Rodriguez

Happ

W 5-3 Sep 30

61%

vs.

39%

Porcello

Estrada

L 1-5 Sep 29

48%

@

52%

Owens

Sabathia

L 3-5 Sep 28

56%

@

44%

Buchholz

Mitchell

L 4-6 Sep 27

59%

@

41%

Price

Cessa

W 3-2 Sep 25

55%

@

45%

Rodriguez

Odorizzi

W 6-4 Sep 24

63%

@

37%

Porcello

Andriese

W 2-1 Sep 23

52%

@

48%

Pomeranz

Archer

W 5-3 Sep 22

56%

@

44%

Price

Tillman

W 5-1 Sep 21

51%

@

49%

Buchholz

Jimenez

W 5-2 Sep 20

47%

@

53%

Rodriguez

Gausman

W 5-2 Sep 19

56%

@

44%

Porcello

Bundy

W 5-4 Sep 18

59%

vs.

41%

Pomeranz

Sabathia

W 6-5 Sep 17

67%

vs.

33%

Price

Mitchell

W 7-4 Sep 16

58%

vs.

42%

Buchholz

Cessa

W 7-5 Sep 15

52%

vs.

48%

Rodriguez

Tanaka

L 0-1 Sep 14

59%

vs.

41%

Porcello

Gausman

L 3-6 Sep 13

59%

vs.

41%

Pomeranz

Bundy

W 12-2 Sep 12

63%

vs.

37%

Price

Miley

W 11-8 Sep 11

44%

@

56%

Buchholz

Sanchez

L 2-3 Sep 10

46%

@

54%

Rodriguez

Happ

W 13-3 Sep 9

49%

@

51%

Porcello

Estrada

W 7-2 Sep 7

62%

@

38%

Price

Cosart

W 5-1 Sep 6

59%

@

41%

Buchholz

Clemens

L 1-2 Sep 5

64%

@

36%

Pomeranz

Jackson

L 0-1 Sep 4

55%

@

45%

Rodriguez

Graveman

W 11-2 Sep 3

64%

@

36%

Porcello

Mengden

W 16-2 Sep 2

54%

@

46%

Price

Triggs

W 8-6 Aug 31

60%

vs.

40%

Wright

Smyly

L 3-4 Aug 30

60%

vs.

40%

Pomeranz

Odorizzi

W 9-4 Aug 29

64%

vs.

36%

Porcello

Andriese

L 4-10 Aug 28

55%

vs.

45%

Rodriguez

Ventura

W 8-3 Aug 27

56%

vs.

44%

Price

Duffy

L 3-6 Aug 26

58%

vs.

42%

Wright

Kennedy

L 1-2 Aug 25

54%

@

46%

Pomeranz

Odorizzi

L 3-4 Aug 24

59%

@

41%

Porcello

Andriese

W 2-1 Aug 23

49%

@

51%

Buchholz

Archer

W 6-2 Aug 22

55%

@

45%

Price

Snell

L 5-10 Aug 21

43%

@

57%

Owens

Verlander

W 3-2 Aug 20

54%

@

46%

Pomeranz

Norris

W 10-2 Aug 19

46%

@

54%

Porcello

Fulmer

L 3-4 Aug 18

51%

@

49%

Buchholz

Boyd

W 8-1 Aug 17

46%

@

54%

Price

Bundy

W 5-3 Aug 16

47%

@

53%

Rodriguez

Gallardo

W 3-2 Aug 15

48%

@

52%

Pomeranz

Tomlin

W 16-2 Aug 14

60%

vs.

40%

Porcello

Greinke

W 6-3 Aug 13

62%

vs.

38%

Buchholz

Bradley

W 9-4 Aug 12

68%

vs.

32%

Price

Corbin

L 2-4 Aug 11

53%

vs.

47%

Rodriguez

Pineda

L 4-9 Aug 10

59%

vs.

41%

Pomeranz

Eovaldi

W 5-3 Aug 9

62%

vs.

38%

Porcello

Severino

L 5-8 Aug 7

50%

@

50%

Price

McCarthy

L 0-3 Aug 6

48%

@

52%

Rodriguez

Stripling

W 9-0 Aug 5

47%

@

53%

Wright

Kazmir

W 3-2 Aug 4

52%

@

48%

Pomeranz

Miranda

L 1-3 Aug 3

51%

@

49%

Porcello

Iwakuma

L 4-5 Aug 2

57%

@

43%

Price

LeBlanc

W 2-1 Aug 1

47%

@

53%

Rodriguez

Paxton

W 5-3 Jul 31

51%

@

49%

Wright

Skaggs

L 2-5 Jul 30

51%

@

49%

Pomeranz

Santiago

W 6-2 Jul 29

57%

@

43%

Porcello

Lincecum

L 1-2 Jul 28

56%

@

44%

Price

Weaver

L 3-4 Jul 27

48%

vs.

52%

Rodriguez

Fulmer

L 8-9 Jul 26

65%

vs.

35%

Wright

Pelfrey

L 2-4 Jul 25

55%

vs.

45%

Pomeranz

Verlander

W 8-7 Jul 24

64%

vs.

36%

Porcello

Milone

L 9-11 Jul 23

68%

vs.

32%

Price

Nolasco

L 1-2 Jul 22

60%

vs.

40%

Rodriguez

Gibson

W 13-2 Jul 21

64%

vs.

36%

Wright

Duffey

W 11-7 Jul 20

60%

vs.

40%

Pomeranz

Cain

W 4-0 Jul 19

57%

vs.

43%

Porcello

Peavy

L 1-3 Jul 17

53%

@

47%

Price

Tanaka

W 5-2 Jul 16

47%

@

53%

Rodriguez

Sabathia

W 5-3 Jul 15

51%

@

49%

Wright

Pineda

W 4-0 Jul 10

66%

vs.

34%

Price

Odorizzi

W 4-1 Jul 9

63%

vs.

37%

Porcello

Moore

W 6-5 Jul 8

54%

vs.

46%

O'Sullivan

Archer

W 11-6 Jul 6

54%

vs.

46%

Wright

Perez

L 2-7 Jul 5

56%

vs.

44%

Price

Griffin

W 12-5 Jul 4

59%

vs.

41%

Porcello

Martinez

W 10-5 Jul 3

48%

vs.

52%

O'Sullivan

Shoemaker

L 2-21 Jul 2

61%

vs.

39%

Buchholz

Santiago

W 5-4 Jul 1

64%

vs.

36%

Wright

Chacin

L 0-4 Jun 29

59%

@

41%

Price

Moore

W 8-2 Jun 28

53%

@

47%

Porcello

Archer

L 7-13 Jun 27

54%

@

46%

Rodriguez

Snell

L 2-6 Jun 26

46%

@

54%

Buchholz

Perez

L 3-10 Jun 25

50%

@

50%

Wright

Griffin

W 8-7 Jun 24

56%

@

44%

Price

Martinez

W 8-7 Jun 23

64%

vs.

36%

Porcello

Shields

L 6-8 Jun 22

52%

vs.

48%

Rodriguez

Quintana

L 1-3 Jun 21

54%

vs.

46%

Buchholz

Sale

L 1-3 Jun 20

65%

vs.

35%

Wright

Gonzalez

W 2-1 Jun 19

61%

vs.

39%

Price

Walker

W 6-2 Jun 18

59%

vs.

41%

Porcello

Sampson

L 4-8 Jun 17

53%

vs.

47%

Elias

Iwakuma

L 1-5 Jun 16

57%

vs.

43%

Rodriguez

Wilson

W 6-4 Jun 15

58%

vs.

42%

Wright

Gausman

L 2-3 Jun 14

59%

vs.

41%

Price

Tillman

L 4-7 Jun 12

61%

@

39%

Porcello

Dean

W 15-4 Jun 11

58%

@

42%

Rodriguez

Gibson

W 8-1 Jun 10

60%

@

40%

Wright

Duffey

L 1-2 Jun 8

47%

@

53%

Price

Bumgarner

W 5-3 Jun 7

52%

@

48%

Porcello

Suarez

L 4-5 Jun 5

52%

vs.

48%

Rodriguez

Estrada

W 6-4 Jun 4

58%

vs.

42%

Wright

Stroman

L 2-5 Jun 3

60%

vs.

40%

Price

Dickey

L 7-12 Jun 2

55%

@

45%

Porcello

Jimenez

L 9-13 Jun 1

52%

@

48%

Kelly

Wright

W 6-2 May 31

49%

@

51%

Rodriguez

Gausman

W 7-2 May 30

54%

@

46%

Wright

Wilson

W 5-3 May 29

54%

@

46%

Price

Dickey

L 9-10 May 28

50%

@

50%

Porcello

Stroman

L 5-7 May 27

48%

@

52%

Kelly

Sanchez

L 2-8 May 26

64%

vs.

36%

Buchholz

Gray

W 10-3 May 25

63%

vs.

37%

Wright

Bettis

W 8-3 May 24

67%

vs.

33%

Price

De La Rosa

W 5-2 May 22

53%

vs.

47%

Porcello

Salazar

W 9-1 May 21

55%

vs.

45%

Kelly

Bauer

L 2-4 May 20

53%

vs.

47%

Buchholz

Kluber

W 5-2 May 18

55%

@

45%

Price

Volquez

L 2-3 May 18

54%

@

46%

Wright

Kennedy

L 4-8 May 17

54%

@

46%

Porcello

Ventura

W 10-9 May 15

49%

vs.

51%

O'Sullivan

Devenski

W 6-5 May 14

59%

vs.

41%

Buchholz

McHugh

L 6-7 May 13

60%

vs.

40%

Wright

McCullers

W 11-1 May 12

58%

vs.

42%

Price

Keuchel

W 13-3 May 11

66%

vs.

34%

Porcello

Surkamp

W 13-5 May 10

55%

vs.

45%

O'Sullivan

Manaea

W 14-7 May 9

60%

vs.

40%

Buchholz

Gray

W 5-1 May 8

53%

@

47%

Wright

Severino

L 2-8 May 7

56%

@

44%

Price

Eovaldi

L 2-3 May 6

53%

@

47%

Porcello

Pineda

W 7-3 May 5

49%

@

51%

Owens

Johnson

W 5-2 May 4

49%

@

51%

Buchholz

Rodon

L 1-4 May 3

45%

@

55%

Wright

Quintana

W 8-7 May 1

62%

vs.

38%

Price

Eovaldi

W 8-0 Apr 30

58%

vs.

42%

Porcello

Pineda

W 4-2 Apr 29

51%

vs.

49%

Owens

Tanaka

L 3-5 Apr 28

66%

vs.

34%

Buchholz

Chacin

W 9-4 Apr 27

68%

vs.

32%

Wright

Norris

W 11-4 Apr 26

64%

@

36%

Price

Wisler

W 1-0 Apr 25

57%

@

43%

Porcello

Teheran

W 7-5 Apr 24

47%

@

53%

Owens

Feldman

L 3-8 Apr 23

50%

@

50%

Buchholz

Fiers

W 6-2 Apr 22

46%

@

54%

Wright

McHugh

L 8-12 Apr 21

62%

vs.

38%

Price

Odorizzi

W 7-3 Apr 20

56%

vs.

44%

Porcello

Archer

L 0-3 Apr 19

52%

vs.

48%

Kelly

Smyly

L 3-4 Apr 18

54%

vs.

46%

Buchholz

Happ

L 3-5 Apr 17

53%

vs.

47%

Wright

Sanchez

W 4-2 Apr 16

56%

vs.

44%

Price

Estrada

W 5-3 Apr 15

53%

vs.

47%

Porcello

Dickey

W 4-2 Apr 13

52%

vs.

48%

Kelly

Jimenez

L 5-9 Apr 12

61%

vs.

39%

Buchholz

Wright

L 7-9 Apr 11

61%

vs.

39%

Price

Gallardo

L 0-3 Apr 10

43%

@

57%

Wright

Estrada

W 8-4 Apr 9

45%

@

55%

Porcello

Dickey

W 8-7 Apr 8

43%

@

57%

Kelly

Stroman

L 6-7 Apr 6

47%

@

53%

Buchholz

Carrasco

W 6-2 Apr 5

49%

@

51%

Price

Kluber

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