Arizona 1st

Solid D

49 in 50

Chance the Democrat wins (98.0%)

1 in 50

Chance the Republican wins (2.0%)

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# What goes into the
icon_classic_2
classic forecast in the Arizona 1st

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals). It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings.

  • 0.0

    Adjusted polls

  • D+19.6

    CANTOR

  • D+16.8

    Fundamentals

  • D+12.2

    Experts

  • D+19.6

    icon_lite_2

    Lite

  • D+17.1

    icon_classic_2

    Classic

  • D+15.5

    icon_deluxe_2

    Deluxe

  • <0.1

  • <0.1

Historical adjustment

Key

More weight

Less

#Latest polls in the Arizona 1st

We haven’t been able to find any polls for this district. Know of one? Send us an email.

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