UPDATED Oct. 22, 2019 at 10:00 AM

2019-20 NBA Player Projections

Powered by FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR player ratings

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

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Jordan McRae

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals 50th
Height 6'5"
Weight 179
Draft position 58
Scoring
True shooting % 54%
Free throw % 80%
Usage % 20%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency 28%
FT frequency 26%
Passing/ball handling
Assist % 12%
Turnover % 9%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound % 6%
Block % 1.7%
Steal % 1.7%
Defensive +/- -0.9
Wins above replacement projection
Category: ROTATION PLAYER
5-yr market value: $14.1m

Confidence interval

Projection

'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'2705101520-0.50.00.50.60.50.50.30.30.10.1-0.50.00.50.60.50.50.30.30.10.1
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Jeff Lamp
Year: 1988
Similarity: 60
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
2
J. Simmons
Year: 2018
Similarity: 58
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
3
Richie Frahm
Year: 2006
Similarity: 57
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
4
Bob Nash
Year: 1979
Similarity: 53
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
5
Ron Anderson
Year: 1988
Similarity: 51
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
6
Anthony Bowie
Year: 1993
Similarity: 50
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
7
Sean Higgins
Year: 1998
Similarity: 49
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
8
Justin Holiday
Year: 2018
Similarity: 48
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
9
Larry Steele
Year: 1978
Similarity: 48
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
10
Charles Davis
Year: 1988
Similarity: 47
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27

Jordan McRae

  • Nuggets
  • Denver Nuggets
  • Shooting Guard
  • 28 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings 2017 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '26
Offensive +/- Reg. season -2.8 +0.9 -0.1 -0.1 +0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.5 -0.7
Playoffs -0.1 +0.0 +0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.5 -0.7
Combined -2.8 +0.9 -0.1 0.0 +0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.5 -0.7
Defensive +/- Reg. season -2.5 -0.6 -0.9 -0.7 -0.7 -0.9 -0.7 -1.0 -0.8
Playoffs -0.8 -0.6 -0.6 -0.9 -0.7 -1.0 -0.8
Combined -2.5 -0.6 -0.8 -0.6 -0.6 -0.9 -0.7 -1.0 -0.8
Total +/- Reg. season -5.3 +0.2 -1.0 -0.7 -0.6 -1.0 -0.8 -1.5 -1.5
Playoffs -0.9 -0.6 -0.5 -1.0 -0.7 -1.5 -1.5
Combined -5.3 +0.2 -0.9 -0.7 -0.5 -1.0 -0.7 -1.5 -1.5
Per 82 games 2017 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '26
WAR Reg. season -0.5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Playoffs 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
Combined -0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Market value Reg. season $0.0m $2.8m $3.7m $3.2m $3.2m $2.2m $1.9m $1.1m $0.9m
Playoffs $3.1m $2.7m $2.9m $2.0m $1.9m $1.1m $0.9m
Combined $0.0m $2.8m $3.4m $2.9m $3.0m $2.1m $1.9m $1.1m $0.9m
Minutes played Reg. season 384 333 743 512 453 318 250 180 140
Playoffs 515 376 368 257 240 180 140
Combined 384 333 629 444 411 287 245 180 140
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year Off. +/- Def. +/- Total +/- Mkt. value Min. played
2017 -2.8 -2.5 -5.3 $0.0m 384
2018 0.0 0.0 0.0 -$0m 0
2019 +0.9 -0.6 +0.2 $2.8m 333
2020 -0.1 -0.8 -0.9 $3.4m 629
2021 0.0 -0.6 -0.7 $2.9m 444
2022 +0.1 -0.6 -0.5 $3.0m 411
2023 -0.1 -0.9 -1.0 $2.1m 287
2024 -0.1 -0.7 -0.7 $1.9m 245
2025 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 $1.1m 180
2026 -0.7 -0.8 -1.5 $0.9m 140

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