The Indiana Pacers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

	Expected minutes per game									PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game		PLAYER RATING
Player	PG	SG	SF	PF	C	TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Victor Oladipo	V. Oladipo	3	26	1	0	0	30	SAME			+0.6	+2.5
Malcolm Brogdon	M. Brogdon	31	1	0	0	0	32	SAME			+1.1	-0.2
Myles Turner	M. Turner	0	0	0	0	33	33	+1			-1.9	+2.1
T.J. Warren	T. Warren	0	0	30	1	3	34	+1			0.0	0.0
Domantas Sabonis	D. Sabonis	0	0	0	33	2	35	+1			+0.9	+0.6
Justin Holiday	J. Holiday	0	11	15	0	0	26	+6			-1.0	+2.3
Jeremy Lamb	J. Lamb	0	0	0	0	0	0	-21			+0.8	+0.7
Aaron Holiday	A. Holiday	13	7	0	0	0	20	+4			+0.3	-0.5
Doug McDermott	D. McDermott	0	0	0	3	10	13	SAME			-0.4	-2.7
T.J. McConnell	T. McConnell	1	2	0	0	0	3	+3			-0.6	-0.7
Edmond Sumner	E. Sumner	0	1	2	0	0	3	+3			-1.6	-0.8
JaKarr Sampson	J. Sampson	0	0	0	11	0	11	+2			-1.6	+0.5
Goga Bitadze	G. Bitadze	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			-3.8	+0.2
TJ Leaf	T. Leaf	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			-1.3	+0.7
Alize Johnson	A. Johnson	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			-1.7	-0.7
Naz Mitrou-Long	N. Mitrou-Long	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			-0.1	-1.2
Brian Bowen	B. Bowen	0	0	0	0	0	0	SAME			-3.1	-0.6
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.									Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			-0.5	+3.3
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.									Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			106-103
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.									Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			48
Team rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.									Team rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1571
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.									Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1568

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

	Expected minutes per game							PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game		PLAYER RATING
Player	PG	SG	SF	PF	C	TOTAL		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Victor Oladipo	V. Oladipo	4	24	2	0	0	30		+0.6	+2.5
Malcolm Brogdon	M. Brogdon	32	0	0	0	0	32		+1.1	-0.2
Myles Turner	M. Turner	0	0	0	0	32	32		-1.9	+2.1
T.J. Warren	T. Warren	0	0	25	5	3	33		0.0	0.0
Domantas Sabonis	D. Sabonis	0	0	0	31	3	34		+0.9	+0.6
Justin Holiday	J. Holiday	0	3	17	0	0	20		-1.0	+2.3
Jeremy Lamb	J. Lamb	0	17	4	0	0	21		+0.8	+0.7
Aaron Holiday	A. Holiday	12	4	0	0	0	16		+0.3	-0.5
Doug McDermott	D. McDermott	0	0	0	3	10	13		-0.4	-2.7
T.J. McConnell	T. McConnell	0	0	0	0	0	0		-0.6	-0.7
Edmond Sumner	E. Sumner	0	0	0	0	0	0		-1.6	-0.8
JaKarr Sampson	J. Sampson	0	0	0	9	0	9		-1.6	+0.5
Goga Bitadze	G. Bitadze	0	0	0	0	0	0		-3.8	+0.2
TJ Leaf	T. Leaf	0	0	0	0	0	0		-1.3	+0.7
Alize Johnson	A. Johnson	0	0	0	0	0	0		-1.7	-0.7
Naz Mitrou-Long	N. Mitrou-Long	0	0	0	0	0	0		-0.1	-1.2
Brian Bowen	B. Bowen	0	0	0	0	0	0		-3.1	-0.6
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.							Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+0.1	+3.3
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.8 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.							Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.8 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			106-103
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.							Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			50
Team rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.							Team rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1588
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.							Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1584

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2019-20 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

The Indiana Pacers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

Comments

2019-20 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

The Indiana Pacers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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Comments