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More NBA:Our preseason player projectionsRAPTOR player ratings
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Giannis Antetokounmpo | G. Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 33 | SAME | +3.9 | +1.9 | |||||||
Jrue Holiday | J. Holiday | 17 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33 | SAME | +2.4 | +1.4 | |||||||
Khris Middleton | K. Middleton | 0 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 32 | SAME | +3.2 | +0.1 | |||||||
Donte DiVincenzo | D. DiVincenzo | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | SAME | +1.3 | +1.8 | |||||||
Brook Lopez | B. Lopez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 26 | SAME | -1.1 | +1.9 | |||||||
Bobby Portis | B. Portis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | SAME | -1.1 | -0.5 | |||||||
Pat Connaughton | P. Connaughton | 0 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | SAME | -0.3 | -0.1 | |||||||
Bryn Forbes | B. Forbes | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | SAME | -0.5 | -2.6 | |||||||
D.J. Augustin | D. Augustin | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | SAME | -0.1 | -2.0 | |||||||
Thanasis Antetokounmpo | T. Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | SAME | -0.7 | -0.1 | |||||||
D.J. Wilson | D. Wilson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | SAME | -2.3 | -1.0 | |||||||
Torrey Craig | T. Craig | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | SAME | -0.7 | -0.4 | |||||||
Sam Merrill | S. Merrill | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.6 | -1.4 | |||||||
Jordan Nwora | J. Nwora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.0 | -0.8 | |||||||
Jaylen Adams | J. Adams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | +0.2 | -0.9 | |||||||
Mamadi Diakite | M. Diakite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.8 | -0.3 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +4.1 | +1.9 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 116-110 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 56 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1659 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1615). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1615). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1640 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | PLAYER RATING | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Exp. min. per game | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||
Giannis Antetokounmpo | G. Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 33 | +3.9 | +1.9 | ||||
Jrue Holiday | J. Holiday | 17 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33 | +2.4 | +1.4 | ||||
Khris Middleton | K. Middleton | 0 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 32 | +3.2 | +0.1 | ||||
Donte DiVincenzo | D. DiVincenzo | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | +1.3 | +1.8 | ||||
Brook Lopez | B. Lopez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 26 | -1.1 | +1.9 | ||||
Bobby Portis | B. Portis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | -1.1 | -0.5 | ||||
Pat Connaughton | P. Connaughton | 0 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||
Bryn Forbes | B. Forbes | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | -0.5 | -2.6 | ||||
D.J. Augustin | D. Augustin | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | -0.1 | -2.0 | ||||
Thanasis Antetokounmpo | T. Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -0.7 | -0.1 | ||||
D.J. Wilson | D. Wilson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | -2.3 | -1.0 | ||||
Torrey Craig | T. Craig | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -0.7 | -0.4 | ||||
Sam Merrill | S. Merrill | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | -1.4 | ||||
Jordan Nwora | J. Nwora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | -0.8 | ||||
Jaylen Adams | J. Adams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 | -0.9 | ||||
Mamadi Diakite | M. Diakite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 | -0.3 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +4.1 | +1.9 | |||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 103 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 116-110 | ||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 56 | ||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1659 | ||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1615). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1615). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1640 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Giannis Antetokounmpo* | G. Antetokounmpo* | 7 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 4 | 42 | +9 | +3.8 | +1.9 | |||||||
Jrue Holiday | J. Holiday | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 37 | +4 | +2.5 | +1.3 | |||||||
Khris Middleton | K. Middleton | 0 | 0 | 26 | 10 | 0 | 36 | +4 | +3.2 | 0.0 | |||||||
Donte DiVincenzo | D. DiVincenzo | 15 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | +3 | +1.1 | +1.8 | |||||||
Brook Lopez | B. Lopez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 28 | +2 | -0.9 | +1.9 | |||||||
Bobby Portis | B. Portis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 24 | +2 | -1.1 | -0.5 | |||||||
Pat Connaughton | P. Connaughton | 0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | -2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | |||||||
Bryn Forbes | B. Forbes | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -7 | -0.4 | -2.6 | |||||||
D.J. Augustin | D. Augustin | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0.0 | -2.0 | |||||||
Thanasis Antetokounmpo | T. Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -3 | -0.6 | -0.1 | |||||||
D.J. Wilson | D. Wilson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -2 | -2.3 | -1.1 | |||||||
Torrey Craig | T. Craig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -3 | -0.7 | -0.4 | |||||||
Sam Merrill | S. Merrill | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.5 | -1.4 | |||||||
Jordan Nwora | J. Nwora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.9 | -0.8 | |||||||
Jaylen Adams | J. Adams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | +0.3 | -0.9 | |||||||
Mamadi Diakite | M. Diakite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.7 | -0.3 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +6.0 | +3.3 | |||||||||||||
Adj. rotation ratings | A flagged (*) player is on the court more than we expected. As a result, a penalty is applied to the rotation’s ratings. | Adj. rotation ratings A flagged (*) player is on the court more than we expected. As a result, a penalty is applied to the rotation’s ratings. | +5.9 | +3.2 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 100 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 100 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 114-105 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 62 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1720 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1615). The weight given to Elo — 38% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1615). The weight given to Elo — 38% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1680 | ||||||||||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1681 |
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