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More NBA:Our preseason player projectionsRAPTOR player ratings
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Ja Morant | J. Morant | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | SAME | +1.5 | -1.4 | |||||||
Kyle Anderson | K. Anderson | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 26 | SAME | -1.4 | +1.6 | |||||||
Jaren Jackson Jr. | J. Jackson Jr. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | 31 | SAME | -1.5 | +0.3 | |||||||
Dillon Brooks | D. Brooks | 0 | 11 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 29 | SAME | -1.8 | +0.6 | |||||||
Jonas Valanciunas | J. Valanciunas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 27 | SAME | -0.7 | +1.9 | |||||||
Brandon Clarke | B. Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 22 | +5 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |||||||
Tyus Jones | T. Jones | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | +2 | +0.6 | -0.6 | |||||||
Justise Winslow | J. Winslow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -18 | +0.1 | +0.4 | |||||||
Desmond Bane | D. Bane | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | +1 | -0.2 | -0.4 | |||||||
De'Anthony Melton | D. Melton | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | +1 | 0.0 | +1.5 | |||||||
Grayson Allen | G. Allen | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | +1 | +0.1 | -1.3 | |||||||
John Konchar | J. Konchar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | +0.2 | +0.3 | |||||||
Xavier Tillman | X. Tillman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.9 | +1.4 | |||||||
Gorgui Dieng | G. Dieng | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 16 | +4 | -2.0 | +2.2 | |||||||
Sean McDermott | S. McDermott | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4 | -2.2 | -0.6 | |||||||
Jontay Porter | J. Porter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.7 | +0.5 | |||||||
Killian Tillie | K. Tillie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.3 | -0.3 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -2.8 | +1.5 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 102.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 102.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 108-110 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 37 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1470 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1528). The weight given to Elo — 28% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1528). The weight given to Elo — 28% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1487 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | PLAYER RATING | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Exp. min. per game | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||
Ja Morant | J. Morant | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | +1.5 | -1.4 | ||||
Kyle Anderson | K. Anderson | 0 | 0 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 26 | -1.4 | +1.6 | ||||
Jaren Jackson Jr. | J. Jackson Jr. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | 31 | -1.5 | +0.3 | ||||
Dillon Brooks | D. Brooks | 0 | 8 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 29 | -1.8 | +0.6 | ||||
Jonas Valanciunas | J. Valanciunas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 27 | -0.7 | +1.9 | ||||
Brandon Clarke | B. Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 17 | -1.4 | -0.2 | ||||
Tyus Jones | T. Jones | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | +0.6 | -0.6 | ||||
Justise Winslow | J. Winslow | 0 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | +0.1 | +0.4 | ||||
Desmond Bane | D. Bane | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -0.2 | -0.4 | ||||
De'Anthony Melton | D. Melton | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.0 | +1.5 | ||||
Grayson Allen | G. Allen | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | +0.1 | -1.3 | ||||
John Konchar | J. Konchar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 | +0.3 | ||||
Xavier Tillman | X. Tillman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 | +1.4 | ||||
Gorgui Dieng | G. Dieng | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 12 | -2.0 | +2.2 | ||||
Sean McDermott | S. McDermott | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 | -0.6 | ||||
Jontay Porter | J. Porter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 | +0.5 | ||||
Killian Tillie | K. Tillie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 | -0.3 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -2.4 | +1.6 | |||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 102.7 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 102.7 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 109-110 | ||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 39 | ||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1483 | ||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1528). The weight given to Elo — 21% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1528). The weight given to Elo — 21% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1492 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Ja Morant | J. Morant | 25 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | +2 | +1.5 | -1.4 | |||||||
Kyle Anderson | K. Anderson | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 25 | -1 | -1.3 | +1.5 | |||||||
Jaren Jackson Jr. | J. Jackson Jr. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 7 | 33 | +2 | -1.5 | +0.3 | |||||||
Dillon Brooks | D. Brooks | 0 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 28 | -1 | -1.8 | +0.6 | |||||||
Jonas Valanciunas | J. Valanciunas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 27 | SAME | -0.6 | +1.9 | |||||||
Brandon Clarke | B. Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 26 | +9 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |||||||
Tyus Jones | T. Jones | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | +6 | +0.5 | -0.6 | |||||||
Justise Winslow | J. Winslow | 2 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 27 | +9 | +0.1 | +0.4 | |||||||
Desmond Bane | D. Bane | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | -0.2 | -0.4 | |||||||
De'Anthony Melton | D. Melton | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0.0 | +1.5 | |||||||
Grayson Allen | G. Allen | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | +0.2 | -1.3 | |||||||
John Konchar | J. Konchar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | +0.2 | +0.4 | |||||||
Xavier Tillman | X. Tillman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.9 | +1.5 | |||||||
Gorgui Dieng | G. Dieng | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | -2.0 | +2.2 | |||||||
Sean McDermott | S. McDermott | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.1 | -0.6 | |||||||
Jontay Porter | J. Porter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.7 | +0.5 | |||||||
Killian Tillie | K. Tillie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.3 | -0.2 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -2.6 | +1.5 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.8 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.8 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 105-106 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 38 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1478 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1528). The weight given to Elo — 13% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1528). The weight given to Elo — 13% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1485 | ||||||||||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1479 |
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