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More NBA:Our preseason player projectionsRAPTOR player ratings
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Donovan Mitchell | D. Mitchell | 12 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | SAME | +2.8 | -1.6 | |||||||
Rudy Gobert | R. Gobert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 33 | SAME | -0.5 | +5.7 | |||||||
Mike Conley | M. Conley | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | SAME | +2.3 | +1.4 | |||||||
Bojan Bogdanovic | B. Bogdanovic | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 0 | 29 | SAME | -0.6 | -2.2 | |||||||
Joe Ingles | J. Ingles | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -19 | -0.3 | +0.2 | |||||||
Royce O'Neale | R. O'Neale | 0 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 26 | +4 | -0.5 | +1.7 | |||||||
Jordan Clarkson | J. Clarkson | 4 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | SAME | +2.5 | -1.4 | |||||||
Derrick Favors | D. Favors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 21 | SAME | +0.1 | +2.4 | |||||||
Georges Niang | G. Niang | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13 | SAME | -0.5 | -1.5 | |||||||
Udoka Azubuike | U. Azubuike | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +3 | -2.3 | +0.1 | |||||||
Elijah Hughes | E. Hughes | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | +4 | -1.8 | -0.6 | |||||||
Shaquille Harrison | S. Harrison | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3 | -0.3 | +2.0 | |||||||
Miye Oni | M. Oni | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.3 | -0.2 | |||||||
Trent Forrest | T. Forrest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.6 | +0.7 | |||||||
Juwan Morgan | J. Morgan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | -1.8 | -0.4 | |||||||
Jarrell Brantley | J. Brantley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | -2.6 | -0.8 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +2.1 | +2.5 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 101.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 101.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 112-107 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 53 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1625 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1593). The weight given to Elo — 42% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1593). The weight given to Elo — 42% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1611 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | PLAYER RATING | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Exp. min. per game | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||
Donovan Mitchell | D. Mitchell | 12 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | +2.8 | -1.6 | ||||
Rudy Gobert | R. Gobert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 33 | -0.5 | +5.7 | ||||
Mike Conley | M. Conley | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | +2.3 | +1.4 | ||||
Bojan Bogdanovic | B. Bogdanovic | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 29 | -0.6 | -2.2 | ||||
Joe Ingles | J. Ingles | 0 | 1 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 26 | -0.3 | +0.2 | ||||
Royce O'Neale | R. O'Neale | 0 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 22 | -0.5 | +1.7 | ||||
Jordan Clarkson | J. Clarkson | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | +2.5 | -1.4 | ||||
Derrick Favors | D. Favors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 21 | +0.1 | +2.4 | ||||
Georges Niang | G. Niang | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13 | -0.5 | -1.5 | ||||
Udoka Azubuike | U. Azubuike | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.3 | +0.1 | ||||
Elijah Hughes | E. Hughes | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.8 | -0.6 | ||||
Shaquille Harrison | S. Harrison | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | +2.0 | ||||
Miye Oni | M. Oni | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | -0.2 | ||||
Trent Forrest | T. Forrest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 | +0.7 | ||||
Juwan Morgan | J. Morgan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 | -0.4 | ||||
Jarrell Brantley | J. Brantley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 | -0.8 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +2.5 | +2.5 | |||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 101.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 101.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 113-108 | ||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 54 | ||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1633 | ||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1593). The weight given to Elo — 41% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1593). The weight given to Elo — 41% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1616 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Donovan Mitchell | D. Mitchell | 15 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | +2 | +3.0 | -1.7 | |||||||
Rudy Gobert | R. Gobert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 38 | +5 | -0.7 | +5.5 | |||||||
Mike Conley | M. Conley | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | -1 | +2.5 | +1.4 | |||||||
Bojan Bogdanovic | B. Bogdanovic | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 28 | -1 | -0.7 | -2.2 | |||||||
Joe Ingles | J. Ingles | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 26 | SAME | -0.2 | +0.3 | |||||||
Royce O'Neale | R. O'Neale | 0 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 27 | +5 | -0.7 | +1.7 | |||||||
Jordan Clarkson | J. Clarkson | 5 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | -1 | +2.3 | -1.4 | |||||||
Derrick Favors | D. Favors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 23 | +2 | +0.4 | +2.5 | |||||||
Georges Niang | G. Niang | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | -4 | -0.4 | -1.4 | |||||||
Udoka Azubuike | U. Azubuike | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | -2.3 | +0.1 | |||||||
Elijah Hughes | E. Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -1.7 | -0.5 | |||||||
Shaquille Harrison | S. Harrison | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.3 | +2.0 | |||||||
Miye Oni | M. Oni | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.2 | -0.1 | |||||||
Trent Forrest | T. Forrest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.5 | +0.7 | |||||||
Juwan Morgan | J. Morgan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.8 | -0.4 | |||||||
Jarrell Brantley | J. Brantley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.5 | -0.7 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +3.1 | +3.6 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.8 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.8 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 109-103 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 57 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1664 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1593). The weight given to Elo — 38% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1593). The weight given to Elo — 38% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1637 | ||||||||||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1638 |
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