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More NBA:Our preseason player projectionsRAPTOR player ratingsBuild your own team
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
DeMar DeRozan | D. DeRozan | 0 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 35 | SAME | +1.7 | -2.6 | |||||||
Dejounte Murray | D. Murray | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | +2 | +0.6 | +0.7 | |||||||
Derrick White | D. White | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -30 | +1.2 | +2.4 | |||||||
Keldon Johnson | K. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 27 | SAME | -0.4 | -1.3 | |||||||
Jakob Poeltl | J. Poeltl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 28 | +2 | -0.4 | +3.8 | |||||||
Lonnie Walker IV | L. Walker IV | 0 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | +2 | -1.6 | -2.8 | |||||||
Patty Mills | P. Mills | 11 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | +2 | +0.5 | -0.4 | |||||||
Rudy Gay | R. Gay | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 20 | +5 | -0.9 | +1.7 | |||||||
Devin Vassell | D. Vassell | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | +8 | -1.1 | -0.5 | |||||||
Gorgui Dieng | G. Dieng | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +2 | -1.1 | +1.3 | |||||||
Trey Lyles | T. Lyles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 15 | +2 | -1.5 | -1.0 | |||||||
Drew Eubanks | D. Eubanks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.6 | +0.6 | |||||||
Quinndary Weatherspoon | Q. Weatherspoon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.8 | -1.5 | |||||||
Luka Samanic | L. Samanic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.3 | +0.3 | |||||||
Tre Jones | T. Jones | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +5 | -1.7 | -2.4 | |||||||
Keita Bates-Diop | K. Bates-Diop | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.9 | -0.9 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -0.9 | -1.0 | |||||||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 105-107 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 36 | ||||||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1458 | ||||||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1468). The weight given to Elo — 31% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1468). The weight given to Elo — 31% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1461 | ||||||||||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1466 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
DeMar DeRozan | D. DeRozan | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 0 | 35 | +1.7 | -2.6 | ||||
Dejounte Murray | D. Murray | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | +0.6 | +0.7 | ||||
Derrick White | D. White | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | +1.2 | +2.4 | ||||
Keldon Johnson | K. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 27 | -0.4 | -1.3 | ||||
Jakob Poeltl | J. Poeltl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 26 | -0.4 | +3.8 | ||||
Lonnie Walker IV | L. Walker IV | 0 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 22 | -1.6 | -2.8 | ||||
Patty Mills | P. Mills | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | +0.5 | -0.4 | ||||
Rudy Gay | R. Gay | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -0.9 | +1.7 | ||||
Devin Vassell | D. Vassell | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1.1 | -0.5 | ||||
Gorgui Dieng | G. Dieng | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | -1.1 | +1.3 | ||||
Trey Lyles | T. Lyles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -1.5 | -1.0 | ||||
Drew Eubanks | D. Eubanks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 | +0.6 | ||||
Quinndary Weatherspoon | Q. Weatherspoon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | -1.5 | ||||
Luka Samanic | L. Samanic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 | +0.3 | ||||
Tre Jones | T. Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 | -2.4 | ||||
Keita Bates-Diop | K. Bates-Diop | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 | -0.9 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +0.3 | +0.4 | |||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 106-105 | ||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 43 | ||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1521 | ||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1468). The weight given to Elo — 25% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1468). The weight given to Elo — 25% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1508 | ||||||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1512 |
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