UPDATED Jan. 22, 2022, at 7:52 AM

2021 NFL Predictions

For the regular season and playoffs, updated after every game.

More NFL:Every team’s Elo historyCan you outsmart our forecasts?

elo with top qb
elo rating
1-week changecurrent qb adj.teamdivisionmake div. roundmake conf. champmake super bowlwin super bowl
1680
Packers13-4NFC North75%48%25%
1708
+19
Chiefs13-5AFC West65%43%24%
1661
+7
Buccaneers14-4NFC South68%30%15%
1675
+38
Bills12-6AFC East35%22%11%
1590
Titans12-5AFC South66%27%10%
1615
+23
Rams13-5NFC West32%12%7%
1607
+27
49ers11-7NFC West25%9%4%
1577
+6
Bengals11-7AFC North34%8%3%
1600Cowboys12-6NFC East
1553Patriots10-8AFC East
1493Eagles9-9NFC East
1492Cardinals11-7NFC West
1481Steelers9-8-1AFC North
1467Raiders10-8AFC West
1548Dolphins9-8AFC East
1538Saints9-8NFC South
1529Colts9-8AFC South
1527Seahawks7-10NFC West
1519Ravens8-9AFC North
1513Chargers9-8AFC West
1511Vikings8-9NFC North
1461Browns8-9AFC North
1439Washington7-10NFC East
1418Broncos7-10AFC West
1407Bears6-11NFC North
1391Giants4-13NFC East
1374Falcons7-10NFC South
1348Texans4-13AFC South
1337Panthers5-12NFC South
1324Lions3-13-1NFC North
1280Jets4-13AFC East
1276Jaguars3-14AFC South

Divisional round

Saturday, Jan. 22

4:30 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals34%
Titans-4.566%
Quality
85
How good
are these
two teams
Importance
100
How much will this game affect playoff odds
Overall
93
An overall
rating for
this game
8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers25%
Packers-7.575%
Quality
97
Importance
100
Overall
99

Sunday, Jan. 23

3 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams32%
Buccaneers-5.568%
Quality
96
Importance
100
Overall
98
6:30 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills35%
Chiefs-4.565%
Quality
100
Importance
100
Overall
100

Completed

Wild-card round

Saturday, Jan. 15

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders26%19
Bengals-7.574%26
Quality
61
How good
are these
two teams
Importance
100
How much will this game affect playoff odds
Overall
81
An overall
rating for
this game
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots30%17
Bills-670%47
Quality
90
Importance
100
Overall
95

Sunday, Jan. 16

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles19%15
Buccaneers-1081%31
Quality
83
Importance
100
Overall
92
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers31%23
Cowboys-5.569%17
Quality
91
Importance
100
Overall
96
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers14%21
Chiefs-12.586%42
Quality
85
Importance
100
Overall
93

Monday, Jan. 17

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals30%11
Rams-670%34
Quality
76
Importance
100
Overall
88

Week 18

Saturday, Jan. 8

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-7.574%28
Broncos26%24
Quality
72
Importance
22
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-0.552%51
Eagles48%26
Quality
76
Importance
2
Overall
39

Sunday, Jan. 9

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears32%17
Vikings-568%31
Quality
26
Importance
0
Overall
13
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals28%16
Browns-6.572%21
Quality
25
Importance
2
Overall
14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-257%30
Lions43%37
Quality
38
Importance
1
Overall
20
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts-1387%11
Jaguars13%26
Quality
3
Importance
61
Overall
32
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
SteelersPK50%16
Ravens50%13
Quality
20
Importance
15
Overall
18
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-773%28
Texans27%25
Quality
22
Importance
100
Overall
61
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington-257%22
Giants43%7
Quality
2
Importance
0
Overall
1
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers11%17
Buccaneers-14.589%41
Quality
34
Importance
1
Overall
18
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots-0.552%24
Dolphins48%33
Quality
75
Importance
6
Overall
41
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-2.559%30
Falcons41%20
Quality
25
Importance
95
Overall
60
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets9%10
Bills-1691%27
Quality
20
Importance
18
Overall
19
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks33%38
Cardinals-567%30
Quality
61
Importance
41
Overall
51
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers34%27
Rams-4.566%24
Quality
86
Importance
100
Overall
93
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-0.551%32
Raiders49%35
Quality
49
Importance
100
Overall
75

Week 17

Sunday, Jan. 2

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons16%15
Bills-11.584%29
Quality
55
Importance
44
Overall
50
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars8%10
Patriots-1792%50
Quality
3
Importance
12
Overall
8
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-3.563%31
Bengals37%34
Quality
93
Importance
99
Overall
96
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams-5.569%20
Ravens31%19
Quality
50
Importance
99
Overall
75
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins45%3
Titans-1.555%34
Quality
73
Importance
100
Overall
87
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants39%3
Bears-361%29
Quality
6
Importance
0
Overall
3
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders20%23
Colts-9.580%20
Quality
64
Importance
62
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-1.555%20
Washington45%16
Quality
35
Importance
98
Overall
67
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-1183%28
Jets17%24
Quality
21
Importance
2
Overall
12
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos34%13
Chargers-4.566%34
Quality
39
Importance
49
Overall
44
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans21%7
49ers-979%23
Quality
18
Importance
16
Overall
17
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals31%25
Cowboys-5.569%22
Quality
81
Importance
42
Overall
62
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers24%10
Saints-876%18
Quality
14
Importance
31
Overall
23
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions12%29
Seahawks-1488%51
Quality
0
Importance
0
Overall
0
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings11%10
Packers-14.589%37
Quality
51
Importance
19
Overall
35

Monday, Jan. 3

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns47%14
Steelers-153%26
Quality
34
Importance
3
Overall
19

Week 16

Thursday, Dec. 23, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers47%17
Titans-153%20
Quality
71
Importance
67
Overall
69

Saturday, Dec. 25, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns22%22
Packers-8.578%24
Quality
84
Importance
78
Overall
81
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts49%22
CardinalsPK51%16
Quality
82
Importance
17
Overall
50

Sunday, Dec. 26, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens28%21
Bengals-6.572%41
Quality
24
Importance
99
Overall
62
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills38%33
Patriots-3.562%21
Quality
91
Importance
97
Overall
94
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions17%16
Falcons-1183%20
Quality
0
Importance
1
Overall
1
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars35%21
Jets-4.565%26
Quality
0
Importance
0
Overall
0
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-875%29
Texans25%41
Quality
13
Importance
34
Overall
24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams-154%30
Vikings46%23
Quality
76
Importance
63
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants21%10
Eagles-979%34
Quality
13
Importance
31
Overall
22
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-670%32
Panthers30%6
Quality
51
Importance
2
Overall
27
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears32%25
Seahawks-568%24
Quality
25
Importance
1
Overall
13
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos47%13
Raiders-153%17
Quality
25
Importance
34
Overall
30
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers18%10
Chiefs-10.582%36
Quality
80
Importance
79
Overall
80
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington25%14
Cowboys-7.575%56
Quality
58
Importance
37
Overall
48

Monday, Dec. 27, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins49%20
SaintsPK51%3
Quality
54
Importance
96
Overall
75

Week 15

Thursday, Dec. 16, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-0.551%34
Chargers49%28
Quality
93
Importance
84
Overall
89

Saturday, Dec. 18, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots50%17
ColtsPK50%27
Quality
92
Importance
99
Overall
96

Sunday, Dec. 19, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-11.584%12
Lions16%30
Quality
13
Importance
3
Overall
8
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers22%14
Bills-978%31
Quality
49
Importance
33
Overall
41
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-463%21
Giants37%6
Quality
42
Importance
6
Overall
24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans44%30
Jaguars-1.556%16
Quality
0
Importance
0
Overall
0
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets12%24
Dolphins-1488%31
Quality
6
Importance
3
Overall
5
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-1.555%13
Steelers45%19
Quality
48
Importance
87
Overall
68
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons24%13
49ers-876%31
Quality
38
Importance
97
Overall
68
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals41%15
Broncos-2.559%10
Quality
43
Importance
90
Overall
67
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-8.577%31
Ravens23%30
Quality
58
Importance
89
Overall
74
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints18%9
Buccaneers-10.582%0
Quality
79
Importance
55
Overall
67

Monday, Dec. 20, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders28%16
Browns-6.572%14
Quality
32
Importance
51
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-2.559%17
Bears41%9
Quality
22
Importance
33
Overall
28

Tuesday, Dec. 21, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks30%10
Rams-670%20
Quality
74
Importance
14
Overall
44
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington26%17
Eagles-774%27
Quality
20
Importance
83
Overall
52

Week 14

Thursday, Dec. 9, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers37%28
Vikings-3.563%36
Quality
41
Importance
74
Overall
58

Sunday, Dec. 12, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons28%29
Panthers-6.572%21
Quality
12
Importance
14
Overall
13
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens49%22
Browns-0.551%24
Quality
68
Importance
89
Overall
79
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-0.552%27
Washington48%20
Quality
62
Importance
65
Overall
64
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars11%0
Titans-14.589%20
Quality
6
Importance
5
Overall
6
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-361%30
Jets39%9
Quality
2
Importance
12
Overall
7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders18%9
Chiefs-10.582%48
Quality
63
Importance
32
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks-671%33
Texans29%13
Quality
3
Importance
2
Overall
3
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions18%10
Broncos-10.582%38
Quality
3
Importance
6
Overall
5
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants23%21
Chargers-877%37
Quality
44
Importance
30
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills33%27
Buccaneers-567%33
Quality
94
Importance
69
Overall
82
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers46%26
Bengals-154%23
Quality
58
Importance
96
Overall
77
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears12%30
Packers-13.588%45
Quality
53
Importance
11
Overall
32

Monday, Dec. 13, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams31%30
Cardinals-5.569%23
Quality
90
Importance
74
Overall
82

Week 13

Thursday, Dec. 2, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-1.556%27
Saints44%17
Quality
47
Importance
83
Overall
65

Sunday, Dec. 5, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-5.569%33
Bears31%22
Quality
64
Importance
50
Overall
57
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts-8.577%31
Texans23%0
Quality
15
Importance
35
Overall
25
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers40%41
Bengals-360%22
Quality
64
Importance
99
Overall
82
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-877%27
Lions23%29
Quality
4
Importance
30
Overall
17
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants32%9
Dolphins-5.568%20
Quality
40
Importance
16
Overall
28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-464%33
Jets36%18
Quality
4
Importance
18
Overall
11
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-7.575%30
Falcons25%17
Quality
50
Importance
33
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars12%7
Rams-13.588%37
Quality
7
Importance
5
Overall
6
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington45%17
Raiders-1.555%15
Quality
29
Importance
74
Overall
52
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-361%19
Steelers39%20
Quality
58
Importance
69
Overall
64
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-1.556%23
Seahawks44%30
Quality
54
Importance
49
Overall
52
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos22%9
Chiefs-8.578%22
Quality
77
Importance
79
Overall
78

Monday, Dec. 6, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots44%14
Bills-1.556%10
Quality
94
Importance
95
Overall
95

Week 12

Thursday, Nov. 25, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears-567%16
Lions33%14
Quality
1
Importance
1
Overall
1
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders24%36
Cowboys-876%33
Quality
44
Importance
21
Overall
33
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-0.551%31
Saints49%6
Quality
71
Importance
87
Overall
79

Sunday, Nov. 28, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons-153%21
Jaguars47%14
Quality
1
Importance
3
Overall
2
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers44%10
Dolphins-256%33
Quality
48
Importance
32
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets34%21
Texans-4.566%14
Quality
0
Importance
1
Overall
1
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-1.555%7
Giants45%13
Quality
30
Importance
60
Overall
45
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers40%10
Bengals-360%41
Quality
47
Importance
92
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers46%38
Colts-154%31
Quality
91
Importance
71
Overall
81
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans38%13
Patriots-3.562%36
Quality
85
Importance
97
Overall
91
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-0.552%13
Broncos48%28
Quality
53
Importance
87
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams35%28
Packers-465%36
Quality
90
Importance
60
Overall
75
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings41%26
49ers-2.559%34
Quality
71
Importance
99
Overall
85
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns32%10
Ravens-568%16
Quality
74
Importance
92
Overall
83

Monday, Nov. 29, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks42%15
Washington-258%17
Quality
31
Importance
63
Overall
47

Week 11

Thursday, Nov. 18, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots-567%25
Falcons33%0
Quality
42
Importance
50
Overall
46

Sunday, Nov. 21, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens29%16
Bears-671%13
Quality
4
Importance
27
Overall
16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions7%10
Browns-17.593%13
Quality
0
Importance
4
Overall
2
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-2.559%31
Vikings41%34
Quality
84
Importance
96
Overall
90
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans10%22
Titans-1590%13
Quality
17
Importance
9
Overall
13
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts29%41
Bills-671%15
Quality
86
Importance
72
Overall
79
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-258%24
Jets42%17
Quality
10
Importance
3
Overall
7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints48%29
Eagles-0.552%40
Quality
52
Importance
97
Overall
75
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-671%30
Jaguars29%10
Quality
11
Importance
24
Overall
18
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington28%27
Panthers-6.572%21
Quality
34
Importance
61
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals47%32
Raiders-0.553%13
Quality
32
Importance
90
Overall
61
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals40%23
Seahawks-360%13
Quality
50
Importance
71
Overall
61
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys40%9
Chiefs-360%19
Quality
93
Importance
64
Overall
79
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers36%37
Chargers-464%41
Quality
56
Importance
94
Overall
75

Monday, Nov. 22, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants23%10
Buccaneers-8.577%30
Quality
59
Importance
17
Overall
38

Week 10

Thursday, Nov. 11, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-670%10
Dolphins30%22
Quality
47
Importance
20
Overall
34

Sunday, Nov. 14, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons23%3
Cowboys-8.577%43
Quality
52
Importance
31
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-1081%45
Jets19%17
Quality
28
Importance
11
Overall
20
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns44%7
Patriots-1.556%45
Quality
74
Importance
97
Overall
86
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions26%16
Steelers-7.574%16
Quality
0
Importance
18
Overall
9
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars17%17
Colts-1183%23
Quality
15
Importance
17
Overall
16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints31%21
Titans-5.569%23
Quality
83
Importance
71
Overall
77
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-9.579%19
Washington21%29
Quality
50
Importance
18
Overall
34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers15%34
Cardinals-1285%10
Quality
20
Importance
32
Overall
26
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings31%27
Chargers-5.569%20
Quality
64
Importance
62
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles32%30
Broncos-568%13
Quality
35
Importance
61
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks33%0
Packers-567%17
Quality
85
Importance
71
Overall
78
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-154%41
Raiders46%14
Quality
65
Importance
98
Overall
82

Monday, Nov. 15, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams-360%10
49ers40%31
Quality
72
Importance
55
Overall
64

Week 9

Thursday, Nov. 4, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets19%30
Colts-1081%45
Quality
13
Importance
20
Overall
17

Sunday, Nov. 7, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons25%27
Saints-875%25
Quality
34
Importance
49
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-12.586%6
Jaguars14%9
Quality
30
Importance
10
Overall
20
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns41%41
Bengals-2.559%16
Quality
61
Importance
95
Overall
78
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos20%30
Cowboys-9.580%16
Quality
71
Importance
29
Overall
50
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans30%9
Dolphins-670%17
Quality
1
Importance
2
Overall
2
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings26%31
Ravens-774%34
Quality
71
Importance
48
Overall
60
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots-154%24
Panthers46%6
Quality
36
Importance
66
Overall
51
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders-2.559%16
Giants41%23
Quality
32
Importance
39
Overall
36
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-154%27
Eagles46%24
Quality
47
Importance
74
Overall
61
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals43%31
49ers-257%17
Quality
60
Importance
72
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers33%7
Chiefs-567%13
Quality
67
Importance
72
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans32%28
Rams-5.568%16
Quality
94
Importance
59
Overall
77

Monday, Nov. 8, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears31%27
Steelers-5.569%29
Quality
26
Importance
38
Overall
32

Week 8

Thursday, Oct. 28, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers38%24
Cardinals-3.562%21
Quality
95
Importance
82
Overall
89

Sunday, Oct. 31, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers37%19
Falcons-3.563%13
Quality
15
Importance
31
Overall
23
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-876%31
Jets24%34
Quality
10
Importance
17
Overall
14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams-1488%38
Texans12%22
Quality
11
Importance
4
Overall
8
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins13%11
Bills-13.587%26
Quality
62
Importance
10
Overall
36
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-3.562%44
Lions38%6
Quality
1
Importance
10
Overall
6
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers36%15
Browns-464%10
Quality
55
Importance
88
Overall
72
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers49%33
Bears-0.551%22
Quality
26
Importance
51
Overall
39
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans46%34
Colts-154%31
Quality
75
Importance
89
Overall
82
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars27%7
Seahawks-773%31
Quality
4
Importance
9
Overall
7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots28%27
Chargers-6.572%24
Quality
68
Importance
66
Overall
67
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-2.558%27
Saints42%36
Quality
95
Importance
83
Overall
89
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington33%10
Broncos-567%17
Quality
12
Importance
23
Overall
18
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys20%20
Vikings-9.580%16
Quality
18
Importance
34
Overall
26

Monday, Nov. 1, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants24%17
Chiefs-876%20
Quality
46
Importance
30
Overall
38

Week 7

Thursday, Oct. 21, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos35%14
Browns-4.565%17
Quality
41
Importance
85
Overall
63

Sunday, Oct. 24, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons48%30
Dolphins-0.552%28
Quality
14
Importance
19
Overall
17
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers50%3
GiantsPK50%25
Quality
13
Importance
18
Overall
16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals22%41
Ravens-978%17
Quality
80
Importance
59
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-1.555%3
Titans45%27
Quality
82
Importance
57
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets26%13
Patriots-7.574%54
Quality
7
Importance
18
Overall
13
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington16%10
Packers-11.584%24
Quality
41
Importance
16
Overall
29
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions8%19
Rams-16.592%28
Quality
21
Importance
2
Overall
12
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles34%22
Raiders-4.566%33
Quality
33
Importance
57
Overall
45
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears15%3
Buccaneers-1285%38
Quality
75
Importance
21
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans6%5
Cardinals-1994%31
Quality
10
Importance
3
Overall
7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts34%30
49ers-4.566%18
Quality
56
Importance
66
Overall
61

Monday, Oct. 25, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-2.559%13
Seahawks41%10
Quality
54
Importance
93
Overall
74

Week 6

Thursday, Oct. 14, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-671%28
Eagles29%22
Quality
76
Importance
54
Overall
65

Sunday, Oct. 17, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-568%20
Jaguars32%23
Quality
1
Importance
11
Overall
6
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-464%34
Lions36%11
Quality
5
Importance
23
Overall
14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-360%24
Bears40%14
Quality
60
Importance
80
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans14%3
Colts-12.586%31
Quality
1
Importance
16
Overall
9
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-671%31
Washington29%13
Quality
45
Importance
49
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers36%6
Ravens-464%34
Quality
94
Importance
89
Overall
92
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams-568%38
Giants32%11
Quality
57
Importance
25
Overall
41
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings45%34
Panthers-1.555%28
Quality
42
Importance
74
Overall
58
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals46%37
Browns-154%14
Quality
88
Importance
68
Overall
78
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-154%35
Patriots46%29
Quality
68
Importance
50
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders37%34
Broncos-463%24
Quality
37
Importance
89
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks42%20
Steelers-2.558%23
Quality
32
Importance
54
Overall
43

Monday, Oct. 18, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-4.565%31
Titans35%34
Quality
87
Importance
73
Overall
80

Week 5

Thursday, Oct. 7, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams46%26
Seahawks-154%17
Quality
84
Importance
90
Overall
87

Sunday, Oct. 10, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets41%20
Falcons-2.559%27
Quality
3
Importance
11
Overall
7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-153%19
Steelers47%27
Quality
36
Importance
57
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions21%17
Vikings-979%19
Quality
10
Importance
12
Overall
11
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-1.556%25
Bengals44%22
Quality
63
Importance
61
Overall
62
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins19%17
Buccaneers-1081%45
Quality
72
Importance
22
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots-876%25
Texans24%22
Quality
1
Importance
18
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-360%33
Washington40%22
Quality
35
Importance
81
Overall
58
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles33%21
Panthers-567%18
Quality
34
Importance
65
Overall
50
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-5.568%37
Jaguars32%19
Quality
7
Importance
37
Overall
22
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears30%20
Raiders-5.570%9
Quality
30
Importance
47
Overall
39
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns41%42
Chargers-2.559%47
Quality
85
Importance
69
Overall
77
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants26%20
Cowboys-774%44
Quality
53
Importance
53
Overall
53
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers30%10
Cardinals-670%17
Quality
78
Importance
70
Overall
74
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills40%38
Chiefs-2.560%20
Quality
97
Importance
72
Overall
85

Monday, Oct. 11, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts27%25
Ravens-773%31
Quality
73
Importance
56
Overall
65

Week 4

Thursday, Sept. 30, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars22%21
Bengals-8.578%24
Quality
4
Importance
17
Overall
11

Sunday, Oct. 3, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers37%28
Cowboys-3.563%36
Quality
67
Importance
71
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns47%14
Vikings-0.553%7
Quality
74
Importance
71
Overall
73
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions34%14
Bears-4.566%24
Quality
3
Importance
16
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans7%0
Bills-1893%40
Quality
10
Importance
3
Overall
7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts37%27
Dolphins-3.563%17
Quality
34
Importance
67
Overall
51
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-4.566%42
Eagles34%30
Quality
64
Importance
58
Overall
61
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants21%27
Saints-979%21
Quality
40
Importance
25
Overall
33
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-670%24
Jets30%27
Quality
12
Importance
16
Overall
14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington35%34
Falcons-4.565%30
Quality
7
Importance
31
Overall
19
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals32%37
Rams-568%20
Quality
89
Importance
70
Overall
80
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks38%28
49ers-3.562%21
Quality
74
Importance
89
Overall
82
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens44%23
Broncos-1.556%7
Quality
81
Importance
84
Overall
83
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers27%17
Packers-773%27
Quality
53
Importance
35
Overall
44
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-464%19
Patriots36%17
Quality
79
Importance
50
Overall
65

Monday, Oct. 4, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders38%14
Chargers-3.562%28
Quality
72
Importance
85
Overall
79

Week 3

Thursday, Sept. 23, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers-876%24
Texans24%9
Quality
2
Importance
24
Overall
13

Sunday, Sept. 26, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-6.572%31
Jaguars28%19
Quality
15
Importance
28
Overall
22
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons39%17
Giants-361%14
Quality
11
Importance
19
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-773%19
Lions27%17
Quality
28
Importance
25
Overall
27
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears27%6
Browns-773%26
Quality
49
Importance
46
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals32%24
Steelers-5.568%10
Quality
29
Importance
57
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts38%16
Titans-3.562%25
Quality
45
Importance
97
Overall
71
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers25%30
Chiefs-875%24
Quality
86
Importance
56
Overall
71
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints44%28
Patriots-1.556%13
Quality
66
Importance
72
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington15%21
Bills-1285%43
Quality
38
Importance
19
Overall
29
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins37%28
Raiders-463%31
Quality
54
Importance
88
Overall
71
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets17%0
Broncos-1183%26
Quality
19
Importance
17
Overall
18
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
SeahawksPK50%17
Vikings50%30
Quality
65
Importance
74
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers49%24
RamsPK51%34
Quality
96
Importance
88
Overall
92
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers37%30
49ers-463%28
Quality
80
Importance
68
Overall
74

Monday, Sept. 27, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles32%21
Cowboys-568%41
Quality
49
Importance
90
Overall
70

Week 2

Thursday, Sept. 16, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants-153%29
Washington47%30
Quality
4
Importance
48
Overall
26

Sunday, Sept. 19, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills50%35
DolphinsPK50%0
Quality
74
Importance
91
Overall
83
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals43%17
Bears-257%20
Quality
20
Importance
49
Overall
35
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-5.568%23
Jaguars32%13
Quality
18
Importance
45
Overall
32
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans14%21
Browns-12.586%31
Quality
13
Importance
16
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams-256%27
Colts44%24
Quality
68
Importance
64
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots-361%25
Jets39%6
Quality
18
Importance
52
Overall
35
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-361%7
Panthers39%26
Quality
60
Importance
77
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders34%26
Steelers-4.566%17
Quality
53
Importance
78
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-0.552%17
Eagles48%11
Quality
59
Importance
79
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons15%25
Buccaneers-1285%48
Quality
60
Importance
19
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings36%33
Cardinals-464%34
Quality
58
Importance
73
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys39%20
Chargers-361%17
Quality
66
Importance
66
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans29%33
Seahawks-6.571%30
Quality
66
Importance
52
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-1.555%35
Ravens45%36
Quality
93
Importance
81
Overall
87

Monday, Sept. 20, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions20%17
Packers-9.580%35
Quality
21
Importance
33
Overall
27

Week 1

Thursday, Sept. 9, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys26%29
Buccaneers-774%31
Quality
85
Importance
48
Overall
67

Sunday, Sept. 12, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals34%38
Titans-4.566%13
Quality
56
Importance
59
Overall
58
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars-2.559%21
Texans41%37
Quality
0
Importance
17
Overall
9
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers42%20
Washington-258%16
Quality
58
Importance
67
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-153%24
Bengals47%27
Quality
33
Importance
57
Overall
45
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets35%14
Panthers-4.565%19
Quality
12
Importance
36
Overall
24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles36%32
Falcons-464%6
Quality
21
Importance
57
Overall
39
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers28%23
Bills-6.572%16
Quality
78
Importance
58
Overall
68
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks48%28
Colts-0.552%16
Quality
63
Importance
73
Overall
68
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-4.566%41
Lions34%33
Quality
23
Importance
45
Overall
34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns32%29
Chiefs-5.568%33
Quality
90
Importance
60
Overall
75
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
BroncosPK50%27
Giants50%13
Quality
34
Importance
60
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-2.559%3
Saints41%38
Quality
80
Importance
74
Overall
77
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins43%17
Patriots-257%16
Quality
54
Importance
90
Overall
72
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears27%14
Rams-773%34
Quality
54
Importance
54
Overall
54

Monday, Sept. 13, 2021

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-360%27
Raiders40%33
Quality
60
Importance
65
Overall
63

Quarterback ratings

The top quarterbacks for each team and their value in Elo points, which are used in our quarterback-adjusted model. Our ratings are a rolling average of recent performances and incorporate both passing and running. Initial rookie ratings are based on draft position; undrafted rookies begin their careers with an Elo value of zero, while a first overall draft pick starts with an Elo value of 113.

AFC East
AFC North
AFC South
AFC West
NFC East
NFC North
NFC South
NFC West