2021-22 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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Andre Iguodala
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Small Forward
- 38 years old
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/missing2.png?v=08f640d6)
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'6" | ||
Weight | 215 | ||
Draft position | 9 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 53% | ||
Free throw % | 61% | ||
Usage % | 11% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 69% | ||
FT frequency | 15% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 14% | ||
Turnover % | 20% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 9% | ||
Block % | 2.9% | ||
Steal % | 2.1% | ||
Defensive +/- | +1.1 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: WAY PAST HIS PRIME
5-yr market value: $5.7m
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/key2.png?v=cb2f09e6)
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Sam Perkins
Year: 1999
Similarity: 34
2
R. Jefferson
Year: 2018
Similarity: 34
3
Jason Terry
Year: 2016
Similarity: 27
4
Bruce Bowen
Year: 2009
Similarity: 21
5
Buck Williams
Year: 1998
Similarity: 21
6
Vince Carter
Year: 2015
Similarity: 18
7
Caldwell Jones
Year: 1989
Similarity: 17
8
Scottie Pippen
Year: 2004
Similarity: 17
9
Kurt Thomas
Year: 2011
Similarity: 17
10
Otis Thorpe
Year: 2001
Similarity: 15
Andre Iguodala
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Small Forward
- 38 years old
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/missing2.png?v=08f640d6)
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | -0.3 | -3.0 | -2.4 | -1.8 | -1.4 | -2.1 | -4.1 | -4.7 | -6.2 | — |
Playoffs | +1.4 | -0.6 | +0.5 | -1.5 | -1.2 | -1.9 | -3.9 | -4.5 | -6.0 | — | |
Combined | +0.2 | -1.7 | -2.2 | -1.6 | -1.3 | -2.0 | -4.0 | -4.6 | -6.1 | — | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | +1.6 | +1.8 | +1.2 | -0.1 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +1.0 | -0.2 | -1.2 | — |
Playoffs | +0.5 | +1.1 | -0.7 | -0.2 | +0.2 | +0.2 | +0.9 | -0.3 | -1.3 | — | |
Combined | +1.3 | +1.5 | +1.1 | -0.2 | +0.2 | +0.3 | +0.9 | -0.3 | -1.3 | — | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | +1.3 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.9 | -1.1 | -1.8 | -3.1 | -5.0 | -7.5 | — |
Playoffs | +1.9 | +0.5 | -0.2 | -1.7 | -1.0 | -1.7 | -3.0 | -4.8 | -7.3 | — | |
Combined | +1.5 | -0.3 | -1.2 | -1.8 | -1.0 | -1.7 | -3.1 | -4.9 | -7.4 | — |
Per 82 games | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 3.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | — |
Playoffs | 5.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | — | |
Combined | 3.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | — | |
Market value | Reg. season | $12.4m | $2.5m | $4.8m | $2.8m | $2.0m | $0.8m | $0.1m | -$0.1m | -$0.4m | — |
Playoffs | $23.8m | $10.4m | $7.5m | $2.9m | $2.0m | $0.9m | $0.1m | -$0.1m | -$0.4m | — | |
Combined | $15.2m | $4.6m | $5.0m | $2.8m | $2.0m | $0.8m | $0.1m | -$0.1m | -$0.4m | — | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 1,578 | 470 | 1,525 | 820 | 423 | 157 | 33 | 66 | 53 | — |
Playoffs | 2,344 | 1,601 | 1,456 | 709 | 351 | 157 | 33 | 66 | 53 | — | |
Combined | 1,765 | 760 | 1,521 | 764 | 387 | 157 | 33 | 66 | 53 | — |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | +0.2 | +1.3 | +1.5 | $15.2m | 1,765 |
2020 | -1.7 | +1.5 | -0.3 | $4.6m | 760 |
2021 | -2.2 | +1.1 | -1.2 | $5.0m | 1,521 |
2022 | -1.6 | -0.2 | -1.8 | $2.8m | 764 |
2023 | -1.3 | +0.2 | -1.0 | $2.0m | 387 |
2024 | -2.0 | +0.3 | -1.7 | $0.8m | 157 |
2025 | -4.0 | +0.9 | -3.1 | $0.1m | 33 |
2026 | -4.6 | -0.3 | -4.9 | -$0.1m | 66 |
2027 | -6.1 | -1.3 | -7.4 | -$0.4m | 53 |
2028 | — | — | — | -$0m | 0 |
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