UPDATED Oct. 11, 2021, at 4:00 PM

2021-22 NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

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Andrew Wiggins

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'7"
Weight202
Draft position1
Scoring
True shooting %55%
Free throw %71%
Usage %24%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency34%
FT frequency24%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %13%
Turnover %10%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %8%
Block %2.5%
Steal %1.3%
Defensive +/--0.3
Wins above replacement projection
Category: AVERAGE STARTER
5-yr market value: $40.0m

Confidence interval

Projection

'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29051015201.01.52.92.92.11.71.30.70.40.21.01.52.92.92.11.71.30.70.40.2
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Glenn Robinson
Year: 2000
Similarity: 55
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
2
Jeff Green
Year: 2014
Similarity: 53
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
3
Chuck Person
Year: 1991
Similarity: 52
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
4
Harrison Barnes
Year: 2019
Similarity: 50
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
5
Wayman Tisdale
Year: 1991
Similarity: 50
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
6
Ken Norman
Year: 1992
Similarity: 50
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
7
Isaiah Rider
Year: 1998
Similarity: 49
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
8
James Worthy
Year: 1988
Similarity: 49
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
9
Xavier McDaniel
Year: 1990
Similarity: 48
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
10
Keith Van Horn
Year: 2003
Similarity: 48
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29

Andrew Wiggins

  • Warriors
  • Golden State Warriors
  • Small Forward
  • 26 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings2019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
Offensive +/-Reg. season-1.1+0.5-1.1-0.5-0.7-0.7-1.0-1.3-1.4-1.6
Playoffs-0.5-0.7-0.8-1.0-1.3-1.5-1.6
Combined-1.1+0.5-1.1-0.5-0.7-0.7-1.0-1.3-1.5-1.6
Defensive +/-Reg. season-0.9-2.1+0.5+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.5
Playoffs+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.6
Combined-0.9-2.1+0.5+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.6
Total +/-Reg. season-2.0-1.5-0.6-0.4-0.8-0.9-1.2-1.6-1.9-2.1
Playoffs-0.5-0.8-1.0-1.2-1.7-2.0-2.1
Combined-2.0-1.5-0.6-0.4-0.8-0.9-1.2-1.6-1.9-2.1
Per 82 games2019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
WARReg. season1.01.52.92.82.01.71.20.70.40.2
Playoffs2.92.11.71.30.70.40.2
Combined1.01.52.92.92.11.71.30.70.40.2
Market valueReg. season$4.3m$5.7m$10.8m$11.5m$9.0m$8.1m$6.7m$4.6m$3.5m$2.4m
Playoffs$11.6m$9.0m$8.0m$6.5m$4.5m$3.3m$2.3m
Combined$4.3m$5.7m$10.8m$11.5m$9.0m$8.0m$6.6m$4.6m$3.4m$2.4m
Minutes playedReg. season2,5432,3622,6202,3242,0371,8081,5411,229973701
Playoffs2,4422,1051,8351,5431,228972657
Combined2,5432,3622,6202,3832,0711,8211,5421,229973679
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
YearOff. +/-Def. +/-Total +/-Mkt. valueMin. played
2019-1.1-0.9-2.0$4.3m2,543
2020+0.5-2.1-1.5$5.7m2,362
2021-1.1+0.5-0.6$10.8m2,620
2022-0.5+0.1-0.4$11.5m2,383
2023-0.7-0.1-0.8$9.0m2,071
2024-0.7-0.2-0.9$8.0m1,821
2025-1.0-0.2-1.2$6.6m1,542
2026-1.3-0.3-1.6$4.6m1,229
2027-1.5-0.5-1.9$3.4m973
2028-1.6-0.6-2.1$2.4m679