2021-22 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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Chris Chiozza
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Point Guard
- 26 years old
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/missing2.png?v=08f640d6)
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 5'11" | ||
Weight | 176 | ||
Draft position | — |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 46% | ||
Free throw % | 67% | ||
Usage % | 20% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 50% | ||
FT frequency | 13% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 33% | ||
Turnover % | 15% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 6% | ||
Block % | 1.7% | ||
Steal % | 2.0% | ||
Defensive +/- | +0.7 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: ROTATION PLAYER
5-yr market value: $30.5m
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/key2.png?v=cb2f09e6)
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Kenny Higgs
Year: 1981
Similarity: 44
2
Rafer Alston
Year: 2003
Similarity: 42
3
Avery Johnson
Year: 1991
Similarity: 41
4
Chucky Atkins
Year: 2001
Similarity: 40
5
AJ Price
Year: 2013
Similarity: 40
6
Jannero Pargo
Year: 2006
Similarity: 40
7
Roko Ukic
Year: 2010
Similarity: 39
8
Lowes Moore
Year: 1983
Similarity: 38
9
Speedy Claxton
Year: 2004
Similarity: 38
10
Tim Frazier
Year: 2017
Similarity: 38
Chris Chiozza
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Point Guard
- 26 years old
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/missing2.png?v=08f640d6)
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | -5.5 | -0.4 | +2.1 | +1.4 | +1.6 | +1.8 | +1.5 | +1.9 | +1.6 | +1.4 |
Playoffs | — | -1.2 | -7.5 | +1.4 | +1.6 | +1.8 | +1.5 | +1.8 | +1.6 | +1.4 | |
Combined | -5.5 | -0.5 | +1.2 | +1.4 | +1.6 | +1.8 | +1.5 | +1.9 | +1.6 | +1.4 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | -8.1 | +1.4 | +0.6 | -0.9 | -0.8 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.7 |
Playoffs | — | -0.3 | +3.7 | -0.9 | -0.8 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.7 | |
Combined | -8.1 | +1.2 | +0.9 | -0.9 | -0.8 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.7 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | -13.6 | +1.1 | +2.7 | +0.5 | +0.8 | +1.0 | +0.8 | +1.2 | +1.0 | +0.7 |
Playoffs | — | -1.5 | -3.8 | +0.5 | +0.8 | +1.0 | +0.8 | +1.2 | +0.9 | +0.6 | |
Combined | -13.6 | +0.7 | +2.1 | +0.5 | +0.8 | +1.0 | +0.8 | +1.2 | +0.9 | +0.7 |
Per 82 games | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | -0.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Playoffs | — | 0.9 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | |
Combined | -0.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $1.2m | $4.0m | $3.5m | $5.8m | $6.1m | $6.3m | $5.8m | $6.6m | $5.4m | $4.4m |
Playoffs | — | $4.0m | $1.5m | $4.8m | $5.2m | $5.5m | $5.2m | $6.0m | $5.0m | $4.2m | |
Combined | $1.2m | $4.0m | $3.2m | $5.3m | $5.6m | $5.9m | $5.5m | $6.3m | $5.2m | $4.3m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 33 | 457 | 264 | 774 | 734 | 686 | 636 | 616 | 504 | 435 |
Playoffs | — | 1,333 | 130 | 590 | 610 | 596 | 566 | 580 | 482 | 424 | |
Combined | 33 | 511 | 242 | 682 | 672 | 641 | 601 | 598 | 493 | 430 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | -5.5 | -8.1 | -13.6 | $1.2m | 33 |
2020 | -0.5 | +1.2 | +0.7 | $4.0m | 511 |
2021 | +1.2 | +0.9 | +2.1 | $3.2m | 242 |
2022 | +1.4 | -0.9 | +0.5 | $5.3m | 682 |
2023 | +1.6 | -0.8 | +0.8 | $5.6m | 672 |
2024 | +1.8 | -0.7 | +1.0 | $5.9m | 641 |
2025 | +1.5 | -0.7 | +0.8 | $5.5m | 601 |
2026 | +1.9 | -0.7 | +1.2 | $6.3m | 598 |
2027 | +1.6 | -0.6 | +0.9 | $5.2m | 493 |
2028 | +1.4 | -0.7 | +0.7 | $4.3m | 430 |
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