2021-22 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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Damion Lee
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Shooting Guard
- 29 years old
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/missing2.png?v=08f640d6)
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'5" | ||
Weight | 210 | ||
Draft position | — |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 60% | ||
Free throw % | 89% | ||
Usage % | 15% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 62% | ||
FT frequency | 19% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 11% | ||
Turnover % | 10% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 9% | ||
Block % | 0.6% | ||
Steal % | 1.7% | ||
Defensive +/- | +0.8 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: ROTATION PLAYER
5-yr market value: $32.5m
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/key2.png?v=cb2f09e6)
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Bobby Simmons
Year: 2010
Similarity: 51
2
Ryan Broekhoff
Year: 2020
Similarity: 49
3
Tim Legler
Year: 1996
Similarity: 48
4
Michael Curry
Year: 1998
Similarity: 48
5
Keith Bogans
Year: 2010
Similarity: 48
6
Mario Elie
Year: 1993
Similarity: 48
7
Jeff Lamp
Year: 1988
Similarity: 46
8
Sam Mack
Year: 2000
Similarity: 46
9
Darius Miller
Year: 2019
Similarity: 46
10
James Ennis III
Year: 2020
Similarity: 44
Damion Lee
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Shooting Guard
- 29 years old
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/missing2.png?v=08f640d6)
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | -0.9 | -0.3 | +0.1 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -0.6 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.6 | |
Combined | -0.9 | -0.3 | +0.1 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -0.6 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | -1.0 | +0.6 | +1.0 | +0.7 | +0.8 | +0.6 | +0.5 | +0.7 | +0.7 | +1.2 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | +0.7 | +0.8 | +0.6 | +0.5 | +0.7 | +0.7 | +1.2 | |
Combined | -1.0 | +0.6 | +1.0 | +0.7 | +0.8 | +0.6 | +0.5 | +0.7 | +0.7 | +1.2 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | -2.0 | +0.3 | +1.1 | +0.6 | +0.6 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +0.3 | -0.1 | +0.6 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | +0.6 | +0.7 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +0.3 | -0.1 | +0.6 | |
Combined | -2.0 | +0.3 | +1.1 | +0.6 | +0.6 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +0.3 | -0.1 | +0.6 |
Per 82 games | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 0.1 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | |
Combined | 0.1 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $1.9m | $10.4m | $8.8m | $8.6m | $8.4m | $6.4m | $5.1m | $4.0m | $2.5m | $1.9m |
Playoffs | — | — | — | $7.9m | $7.8m | $6.1m | $4.8m | $3.8m | $2.3m | $1.8m | |
Combined | $1.9m | $10.4m | $8.8m | $8.3m | $8.1m | $6.2m | $5.0m | $3.9m | $2.4m | $1.9m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 375 | 1,795 | 1,196 | 1,227 | 1,112 | 869 | 686 | 467 | 310 | 183 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 1,111 | 1,034 | 819 | 648 | 435 | 289 | 172 | |
Combined | 375 | 1,795 | 1,196 | 1,169 | 1,073 | 844 | 667 | 451 | 300 | 178 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | -0.9 | -1.0 | -2.0 | $1.9m | 375 |
2020 | -0.3 | +0.6 | +0.3 | $10.4m | 1,795 |
2021 | +0.1 | +1.0 | +1.1 | $8.8m | 1,196 |
2022 | -0.2 | +0.7 | +0.6 | $8.3m | 1,169 |
2023 | -0.1 | +0.8 | +0.6 | $8.1m | 1,073 |
2024 | -0.4 | +0.6 | +0.3 | $6.2m | 844 |
2025 | -0.5 | +0.5 | +0.1 | $5.0m | 667 |
2026 | -0.4 | +0.7 | +0.3 | $3.9m | 451 |
2027 | -0.8 | +0.7 | -0.1 | $2.4m | 300 |
2028 | -0.6 | +1.2 | +0.6 | $1.9m | 178 |
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