2021-22 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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Daniel Theis
- Rockets
- Houston Rockets
- Center
- 29 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'8" | ||
Weight | 243 | ||
Draft position | — |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 61% | ||
Free throw % | 71% | ||
Usage % | 15% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 29% | ||
FT frequency | 25% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 10% | ||
Turnover % | 11% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 13% | ||
Block % | 3.8% | ||
Steal % | 1.2% | ||
Defensive +/- | +1.6 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: ROTATION PLAYER
5-yr market value: $34.4m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Amir Johnson
Year: 2017
Similarity: 59
2
Dewayne Dedmon
Year: 2019
Similarity: 55
3
Nick Collison
Year: 2011
Similarity: 47
4
Joe Meriweather
Year: 1984
Similarity: 45
5
Dwight Powell
Year: 2021
Similarity: 44
6
Timofey Mozgov
Year: 2016
Similarity: 43
7
Kenny Gattison
Year: 1994
Similarity: 42
8
Aaron Williams
Year: 2001
Similarity: 41
9
Marcin Gortat
Year: 2014
Similarity: 41
10
Clifford Ray
Year: 1979
Similarity: 41
Daniel Theis
- Rockets
- Houston Rockets
- Center
- 29 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | -1.1 | -0.6 | -1.4 | -1.4 | -1.5 | -1.8 | -1.8 | -2.3 | -2.4 | -2.5 |
Playoffs | -5.8 | -1.6 | — | -1.5 | -1.6 | -1.9 | -1.8 | -2.4 | -2.5 | -2.5 | |
Combined | -1.3 | -0.9 | -1.4 | -1.4 | -1.6 | -1.9 | -1.8 | -2.3 | -2.5 | -2.5 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | -0.1 | +2.0 | +1.7 | +1.7 | +1.6 | +1.6 | +1.5 | +1.3 | +1.4 | +1.5 |
Playoffs | +5.6 | +1.8 | — | +1.7 | +1.6 | +1.6 | +1.5 | +1.4 | +1.4 | +1.5 | |
Combined | +0.2 | +2.0 | +1.7 | +1.7 | +1.6 | +1.6 | +1.5 | +1.4 | +1.4 | +1.5 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | -1.1 | +1.4 | +0.2 | +0.3 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -0.9 |
Playoffs | -0.2 | +0.1 | — | +0.2 | +0.0 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -1.0 | |
Combined | -1.1 | +1.1 | +0.2 | +0.2 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.0 |
Per 82 games | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 0.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Playoffs | 0.5 | 3.5 | — | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | |
Combined | 0.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $3.5m | $14.1m | $10.2m | $10.1m | $8.6m | $6.8m | $5.6m | $3.4m | $2.5m | $1.8m |
Playoffs | $2.9m | $13.2m | — | $9.6m | $8.3m | $6.4m | $5.3m | $3.1m | $2.3m | $1.7m | |
Combined | $3.5m | $13.9m | $10.2m | $9.9m | $8.5m | $6.6m | $5.4m | $3.2m | $2.4m | $1.7m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 908 | 1,784 | 1,811 | 1,574 | 1,373 | 1,110 | 870 | 608 | 449 | 294 |
Playoffs | 383 | 2,325 | — | 1,545 | 1,354 | 1,080 | 847 | 559 | 402 | 270 | |
Combined | 847 | 1,903 | 1,811 | 1,560 | 1,364 | 1,095 | 858 | 583 | 426 | 282 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | -1.3 | +0.2 | -1.1 | $3.5m | 847 |
2020 | -0.9 | +2.0 | +1.1 | $13.9m | 1,903 |
2021 | -1.4 | +1.7 | +0.2 | $10.2m | 1,811 |
2022 | -1.4 | +1.7 | +0.2 | $9.9m | 1,560 |
2023 | -1.6 | +1.6 | +0.1 | $8.5m | 1,364 |
2024 | -1.9 | +1.6 | -0.3 | $6.6m | 1,095 |
2025 | -1.8 | +1.5 | -0.3 | $5.4m | 858 |
2026 | -2.3 | +1.4 | -1.0 | $3.2m | 583 |
2027 | -2.5 | +1.4 | -1.0 | $2.4m | 426 |
2028 | -2.5 | +1.5 | -1.0 | $1.7m | 282 |
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