UPDATED Oct. 11, 2021, at 4:00 PM

2021-22 NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

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Daniel Theis

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'8"
Weight243
Draft position
Scoring
True shooting %61%
Free throw %71%
Usage %15%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency29%
FT frequency25%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %10%
Turnover %11%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %13%
Block %3.8%
Steal %1.2%
Defensive +/-+1.6
Wins above replacement projection
Category: ROTATION PLAYER
5-yr market value: $34.4m

Confidence interval

Projection

'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29051015200.73.72.72.42.01.41.10.50.40.30.73.72.72.42.01.41.10.50.40.3
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Amir Johnson
Year: 2017
Similarity: 59
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
2
Dewayne Dedmon
Year: 2019
Similarity: 55
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
3
Nick Collison
Year: 2011
Similarity: 47
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
4
Joe Meriweather
Year: 1984
Similarity: 45
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
5
Dwight Powell
Year: 2021
Similarity: 44
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
6
Timofey Mozgov
Year: 2016
Similarity: 43
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
7
Kenny Gattison
Year: 1994
Similarity: 42
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
8
Aaron Williams
Year: 2001
Similarity: 41
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
9
Marcin Gortat
Year: 2014
Similarity: 41
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
10
Clifford Ray
Year: 1979
Similarity: 41
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29

Daniel Theis

  • Rockets
  • Houston Rockets
  • Center
  • 29 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings2019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
Offensive +/-Reg. season-1.1-0.6-1.4-1.4-1.5-1.8-1.8-2.3-2.4-2.5
Playoffs-5.8-1.6-1.5-1.6-1.9-1.8-2.4-2.5-2.5
Combined-1.3-0.9-1.4-1.4-1.6-1.9-1.8-2.3-2.5-2.5
Defensive +/-Reg. season-0.1+2.0+1.7+1.7+1.6+1.6+1.5+1.3+1.4+1.5
Playoffs+5.6+1.8+1.7+1.6+1.6+1.5+1.4+1.4+1.5
Combined+0.2+2.0+1.7+1.7+1.6+1.6+1.5+1.4+1.4+1.5
Total +/-Reg. season-1.1+1.4+0.2+0.3+0.1-0.3-0.3-1.0-1.0-0.9
Playoffs-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.0-0.3-0.3-1.0-1.1-1.0
Combined-1.1+1.1+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.3-0.3-1.0-1.0-1.0
Per 82 games2019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
WARReg. season0.73.72.72.42.01.41.10.60.40.3
Playoffs0.53.52.42.01.41.10.50.40.2
Combined0.73.72.72.42.01.41.10.50.40.3
Market valueReg. season$3.5m$14.1m$10.2m$10.1m$8.6m$6.8m$5.6m$3.4m$2.5m$1.8m
Playoffs$2.9m$13.2m$9.6m$8.3m$6.4m$5.3m$3.1m$2.3m$1.7m
Combined$3.5m$13.9m$10.2m$9.9m$8.5m$6.6m$5.4m$3.2m$2.4m$1.7m
Minutes playedReg. season9081,7841,8111,5741,3731,110870608449294
Playoffs3832,3251,5451,3541,080847559402270
Combined8471,9031,8111,5601,3641,095858583426282
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
YearOff. +/-Def. +/-Total +/-Mkt. valueMin. played
2019-1.3+0.2-1.1$3.5m847
2020-0.9+2.0+1.1$13.9m1,903
2021-1.4+1.7+0.2$10.2m1,811
2022-1.4+1.7+0.2$9.9m1,560
2023-1.6+1.6+0.1$8.5m1,364
2024-1.9+1.6-0.3$6.6m1,095
2025-1.8+1.5-0.3$5.4m858
2026-2.3+1.4-1.0$3.2m583
2027-2.5+1.4-1.0$2.4m426
2028-2.5+1.5-1.0$1.7m282