2021-22 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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Draymond Green
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Power Forward
- 31 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'6" | ||
Weight | 230 | ||
Draft position | 35 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 52% | ||
Free throw % | 77% | ||
Usage % | 14% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 35% | ||
FT frequency | 24% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 34% | ||
Turnover % | 28% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 12% | ||
Block % | 2.4% | ||
Steal % | 2.4% | ||
Defensive +/- | +3.3 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: BORDERLINE ALL-STAR
5-yr market value: $63.6m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Sam Lacey
Year: 1980
Similarity: 34
2
Allan Bristow
Year: 1983
Similarity: 28
3
Alvan Adams
Year: 1986
Similarity: 23
4
Gerald Wallace
Year: 2014
Similarity: 22
5
Tyrone Corbin
Year: 1995
Similarity: 21
6
Paul Millsap
Year: 2017
Similarity: 20
7
Aaron McKie
Year: 2005
Similarity: 20
8
Reggie Williams
Year: 1996
Similarity: 20
9
P.J. Tucker
Year: 2017
Similarity: 19
10
Doc Rivers
Year: 1994
Similarity: 19
Draymond Green
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Power Forward
- 31 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | -0.3 | -2.5 | +1.0 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -1.4 | -1.6 | -2.1 | -2.7 | -3.9 |
Playoffs | +2.9 | — | — | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -1.4 | -2.0 | -3.2 | |
Combined | +0.8 | -2.5 | +1.0 | -0.5 | -0.6 | -1.1 | -1.3 | -1.7 | -2.4 | -3.6 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | +3.5 | +2.3 | +3.5 | +2.9 | +2.5 | +2.5 | +2.4 | +2.1 | +2.0 | +2.0 |
Playoffs | +4.4 | — | — | +3.1 | +2.8 | +2.7 | +2.7 | +2.3 | +2.2 | +2.3 | |
Combined | +3.8 | +2.3 | +3.5 | +3.0 | +2.7 | +2.6 | +2.5 | +2.2 | +2.1 | +2.1 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | +3.3 | -0.2 | +4.6 | +2.2 | +1.6 | +1.1 | +0.9 | +0.0 | -0.7 | -1.9 |
Playoffs | +7.3 | — | — | +3.0 | +2.5 | +1.9 | +1.7 | +0.9 | +0.2 | -1.0 | |
Combined | +4.6 | -0.2 | +4.6 | +2.6 | +2.0 | +1.5 | +1.3 | +0.5 | -0.3 | -1.4 |
Per 82 games | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 6.4 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
Playoffs | 17.3 | — | — | 6.7 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | |
Combined | 9.1 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $27.1m | $7.8m | $35.4m | $20.7m | $16.0m | $12.7m | $8.7m | $4.6m | $2.4m | $0.8m |
Playoffs | $92.2m | — | — | $26.9m | $20.3m | $15.7m | $10.7m | $5.7m | $3.1m | $1.1m | |
Combined | $42.9m | $7.8m | $35.4m | $23.8m | $18.2m | $14.2m | $9.7m | $5.2m | $2.8m | $1.0m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 2,065 | 1,542 | 2,196 | 1,938 | 1,635 | 1,382 | 976 | 635 | 408 | 179 |
Playoffs | 3,172 | — | — | 2,198 | 1,780 | 1,454 | 996 | 626 | 394 | 172 | |
Combined | 2,335 | 1,542 | 2,196 | 2,068 | 1,708 | 1,418 | 986 | 631 | 401 | 176 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | +0.8 | +3.8 | +4.6 | $42.9m | 2,335 |
2020 | -2.5 | +2.3 | -0.2 | $7.8m | 1,542 |
2021 | +1.0 | +3.5 | +4.6 | $35.4m | 2,196 |
2022 | -0.5 | +3.0 | +2.6 | $23.8m | 2,068 |
2023 | -0.6 | +2.7 | +2.0 | $18.2m | 1,708 |
2024 | -1.1 | +2.6 | +1.5 | $14.2m | 1,418 |
2025 | -1.3 | +2.5 | +1.3 | $9.7m | 986 |
2026 | -1.7 | +2.2 | +0.5 | $5.2m | 631 |
2027 | -2.4 | +2.1 | -0.3 | $2.8m | 401 |
2028 | -3.6 | +2.1 | -1.4 | $1.0m | 176 |
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