2021-22 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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Joe Harris
- Nets
- Brooklyn Nets
- Small Forward
- 30 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'6" | ||
Weight | 219 | ||
Draft position | 33 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 63% | ||
Free throw % | 77% | ||
Usage % | 17% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 58% | ||
FT frequency | 10% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 9% | ||
Turnover % | 9% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 7% | ||
Block % | 0.6% | ||
Steal % | 0.9% | ||
Defensive +/- | -0.5 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: AVERAGE STARTER
5-yr market value: $44.9m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
B. Bogdanovic
Year: 2020
Similarity: 56
2
Raja Bell
Year: 2007
Similarity: 52
3
Rod Higgins
Year: 1990
Similarity: 51
4
Jae Crowder
Year: 2021
Similarity: 48
5
Q. Richardson
Year: 2011
Similarity: 44
6
Wesley Matthews
Year: 2017
Similarity: 44
7
J. Richardson
Year: 2011
Similarity: 43
8
E'Twaun Moore
Year: 2019
Similarity: 43
9
JR Smith
Year: 2016
Similarity: 42
10
Matt Barnes
Year: 2011
Similarity: 42
Joe Harris
- Nets
- Brooklyn Nets
- Small Forward
- 30 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | +1.1 | +1.0 | +1.8 | +1.2 | +0.8 | +0.5 | +0.5 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 0.0 |
Playoffs | -5.7 | +1.8 | -0.3 | +0.9 | +0.5 | +0.2 | +0.2 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.3 | |
Combined | +0.6 | +1.0 | +1.4 | +1.0 | +0.6 | +0.4 | +0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | -0.5 | -1.8 | +0.5 | -0.5 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -0.6 |
Playoffs | -4.1 | +1.8 | -1.8 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.8 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.9 | -0.7 | |
Combined | -0.7 | -1.7 | +0.0 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.5 | -0.9 | -0.6 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | +0.6 | -0.8 | +2.3 | +0.6 | +0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -0.6 |
Playoffs | -9.7 | +3.7 | -2.1 | +0.2 | -0.2 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -1.1 | -1.0 | |
Combined | -0.1 | -0.7 | +1.4 | +0.4 | +0.0 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.9 | -0.8 |
Per 82 games | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 4.0 | 2.4 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Playoffs | -9.1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | |
Combined | 3.1 | 2.5 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $15.6m | $8.8m | $25.1m | $14.7m | $11.2m | $8.4m | $6.6m | $4.5m | $2.8m | $2.0m |
Playoffs | -$37.9m | $19.4m | $4.4m | $13.2m | $10.0m | $7.3m | $5.7m | $3.8m | $2.3m | $1.7m | |
Combined | $12.0m | $9.5m | $21.6m | $14.0m | $10.6m | $7.9m | $6.1m | $4.2m | $2.5m | $1.9m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 2,293 | 2,418 | 2,438 | 2,064 | 1,698 | 1,372 | 974 | 723 | 460 | 310 |
Playoffs | 2,444 | 1,476 | 2,966 | 2,133 | 1,756 | 1,384 | 977 | 704 | 433 | 290 | |
Combined | 2,303 | 2,359 | 2,526 | 2,099 | 1,727 | 1,378 | 975 | 713 | 446 | 300 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | +0.6 | -0.7 | -0.1 | $12.0m | 2,303 |
2020 | +1.0 | -1.7 | -0.7 | $9.5m | 2,359 |
2021 | +1.4 | +0.0 | +1.4 | $21.6m | 2,526 |
2022 | +1.0 | -0.6 | +0.4 | $14.0m | 2,099 |
2023 | +0.6 | -0.6 | +0.0 | $10.6m | 1,727 |
2024 | +0.4 | -0.7 | -0.3 | $7.9m | 1,378 |
2025 | +0.3 | -0.6 | -0.3 | $6.1m | 975 |
2026 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.6 | $4.2m | 713 |
2027 | -0.1 | -0.9 | -0.9 | $2.5m | 446 |
2028 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -0.8 | $1.9m | 300 |
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