2021-22 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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Juan Toscano‑Anderson
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Small Forward
- 28 years old
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/missing2.png?v=08f640d6)
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'6" | ||
Weight | 209 | ||
Draft position | — |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 65% | ||
Free throw % | 69% | ||
Usage % | 11% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 43% | ||
FT frequency | 13% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 17% | ||
Turnover % | 21% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 11% | ||
Block % | 2.0% | ||
Steal % | 1.8% | ||
Defensive +/- | +1.9 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: ROTATION PLAYER
5-yr market value: $24.8m
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/key2.png?v=cb2f09e6)
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Torrey Craig
Year: 2020
Similarity: 39
2
Larry Stewart
Year: 1997
Similarity: 38
3
Nemanja Bjelica
Year: 2017
Similarity: 34
4
Kurt Rambis
Year: 1987
Similarity: 34
5
Mario Elie
Year: 1993
Similarity: 33
6
Alvin Scott
Year: 1984
Similarity: 32
7
Keith Askins
Year: 1997
Similarity: 32
8
James Ennis III
Year: 2019
Similarity: 32
9
Bob Gross
Year: 1982
Similarity: 29
10
Joe Ingles
Year: 2016
Similarity: 28
Juan Toscano‑Anderson
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Small Forward
- 28 years old
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/missing2.png?v=08f640d6)
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | — | -2.5 | -1.5 | -1.8 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -1.8 | -1.8 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -1.8 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -1.1 | -1.8 | -1.8 | |
Combined | — | -2.5 | -1.5 | -1.8 | -1.9 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -1.1 | -1.8 | -1.8 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | — | +0.5 | +2.2 | +1.3 | +1.4 | +1.5 | +1.2 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.8 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | +1.3 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.2 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.9 | |
Combined | — | +0.5 | +2.2 | +1.3 | +1.4 | +1.5 | +1.2 | +1.3 | +1.1 | +1.9 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | — | -2.0 | +0.7 | -0.5 | -0.4 | +0.2 | -0.2 | +0.1 | -0.7 | +0.0 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -0.5 | -0.4 | +0.2 | -0.2 | +0.2 | -0.7 | +0.0 | |
Combined | — | -2.0 | +0.7 | -0.5 | -0.4 | +0.2 | -0.2 | +0.1 | -0.7 | +0.0 |
Per 82 games | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | — | 0.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | |
Combined | — | 0.1 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | |
Market value | Reg. season | — | $1.9m | $8.0m | $5.9m | $4.9m | $5.7m | $4.3m | $4.1m | $2.5m | $2.5m |
Playoffs | — | — | — | $5.2m | $4.4m | $5.3m | $4.0m | $3.8m | $2.3m | $2.3m | |
Combined | — | $1.9m | $8.0m | $5.5m | $4.6m | $5.5m | $4.2m | $3.9m | $2.4m | $2.4m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | — | 343 | 1,227 | 1,146 | 847 | 792 | 644 | 515 | 391 | 306 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 968 | 734 | 724 | 587 | 469 | 352 | 284 | |
Combined | — | 343 | 1,227 | 1,057 | 790 | 758 | 616 | 492 | 371 | 295 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
2020 | -2.5 | +0.5 | -2.0 | $1.9m | 343 |
2021 | -1.5 | +2.2 | +0.7 | $8.0m | 1,227 |
2022 | -1.8 | +1.3 | -0.5 | $5.5m | 1,057 |
2023 | -1.9 | +1.4 | -0.4 | $4.6m | 790 |
2024 | -1.2 | +1.5 | +0.2 | $5.5m | 758 |
2025 | -1.4 | +1.2 | -0.2 | $4.2m | 616 |
2026 | -1.1 | +1.3 | +0.1 | $3.9m | 492 |
2027 | -1.8 | +1.1 | -0.7 | $2.4m | 371 |
2028 | -1.8 | +1.9 | +0.0 | $2.4m | 295 |
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