2021-22 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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Luke Kornet
- Celtics
- Boston Celtics
- Center
- 26 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 7'2" | ||
Weight | 250 | ||
Draft position | — |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 53% | ||
Free throw % | 61% | ||
Usage % | 15% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 59% | ||
FT frequency | 12% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 9% | ||
Turnover % | 7% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 10% | ||
Block % | 6.6% | ||
Steal % | 0.8% | ||
Defensive +/- | +1.6 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: DEFENSIVE SPECIALIST
5-yr market value: $10.3m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Justin Hamilton
Year: 2017
Similarity: 28
2
Jake Tsakalidis
Year: 2006
Similarity: 27
3
Maxi Kleber
Year: 2019
Similarity: 24
4
Mike Muscala
Year: 2018
Similarity: 21
5
LeRon Ellis
Year: 1996
Similarity: 20
6
Sean Higgins
Year: 1995
Similarity: 18
7
Kevin Restani
Year: 1978
Similarity: 18
8
Mark Eaton
Year: 1984
Similarity: 18
9
D. Ilunga-Mbenga
Year: 2007
Similarity: 17
10
Robert Sacre
Year: 2016
Similarity: 17
Luke Kornet
- Celtics
- Boston Celtics
- Center
- 26 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | -1.7 | -3.0 | -3.7 | -2.7 | -2.8 | -2.6 | -3.2 | -3.3 | -2.7 | -2.8 |
Playoffs | — | — | -6.4 | -2.7 | -2.8 | -2.5 | -3.2 | -3.3 | -2.7 | -2.8 | |
Combined | -1.7 | -3.0 | -3.8 | -2.7 | -2.8 | -2.5 | -3.2 | -3.3 | -2.7 | -2.8 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | +3.6 | -2.8 | +3.6 | +0.9 | +1.1 | +1.2 | +1.2 | +1.4 | +1.5 | +1.6 |
Playoffs | — | — | +1.4 | +0.9 | +1.2 | +1.2 | +1.3 | +1.4 | +1.5 | +1.6 | |
Combined | +3.6 | -2.8 | +3.6 | +0.9 | +1.1 | +1.2 | +1.3 | +1.4 | +1.5 | +1.6 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | +1.9 | -5.8 | -0.1 | -1.8 | -1.7 | -1.4 | -2.0 | -1.9 | -1.2 | -1.2 |
Playoffs | — | — | -4.9 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.3 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.2 | -1.1 | |
Combined | +1.9 | -5.8 | -0.2 | -1.8 | -1.7 | -1.4 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.2 | -1.2 |
Per 82 games | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 1.9 | -1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Playoffs | — | — | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
Combined | 1.9 | -1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $7.2m | -$1.2m | $3.0m | $2.8m | $2.4m | $2.2m | $1.6m | $1.4m | $1.5m | $1.4m |
Playoffs | — | — | $1.5m | $2.5m | $2.2m | $2.1m | $1.5m | $1.3m | $1.5m | $1.3m | |
Combined | $7.2m | -$1.2m | $2.9m | $2.6m | $2.3m | $2.1m | $1.5m | $1.3m | $1.5m | $1.3m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 784 | 705 | 394 | 705 | 598 | 458 | 344 | 317 | 238 | 178 |
Playoffs | — | — | 82 | 520 | 485 | 399 | 302 | 275 | 221 | 164 | |
Combined | 784 | 705 | 370 | 613 | 542 | 429 | 323 | 296 | 230 | 171 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | -1.7 | +3.6 | +1.9 | $7.2m | 784 |
2020 | -3.0 | -2.8 | -5.8 | -$1.2m | 705 |
2021 | -3.8 | +3.6 | -0.2 | $2.9m | 370 |
2022 | -2.7 | +0.9 | -1.8 | $2.6m | 613 |
2023 | -2.8 | +1.1 | -1.7 | $2.3m | 542 |
2024 | -2.5 | +1.2 | -1.4 | $2.1m | 429 |
2025 | -3.2 | +1.3 | -1.9 | $1.5m | 323 |
2026 | -3.3 | +1.4 | -1.9 | $1.3m | 296 |
2027 | -2.7 | +1.5 | -1.2 | $1.5m | 230 |
2028 | -2.8 | +1.6 | -1.2 | $1.3m | 171 |
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