UPDATED Oct. 11, 2021, at 4:00 PM

2021-22 NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

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Luke Kornet

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height7'2"
Weight250
Draft position
Scoring
True shooting %53%
Free throw %61%
Usage %15%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency59%
FT frequency12%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %9%
Turnover %7%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %10%
Block %6.6%
Steal %0.8%
Defensive +/-+1.6
Wins above replacement projection
Category: DEFENSIVE SPECIALIST
5-yr market value: $10.3m

Confidence interval

Projection

'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29051015201.9-1.10.50.30.30.30.10.10.20.11.9-1.10.50.30.30.30.10.10.20.1
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Justin Hamilton
Year: 2017
Similarity: 28
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
2
Jake Tsakalidis
Year: 2006
Similarity: 27
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
3
Maxi Kleber
Year: 2019
Similarity: 24
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
4
Mike Muscala
Year: 2018
Similarity: 21
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
5
LeRon Ellis
Year: 1996
Similarity: 20
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
6
Sean Higgins
Year: 1995
Similarity: 18
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
7
Kevin Restani
Year: 1978
Similarity: 18
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
8
Mark Eaton
Year: 1984
Similarity: 18
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
9
D. Ilunga-Mbenga
Year: 2007
Similarity: 17
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
10
Robert Sacre
Year: 2016
Similarity: 17
05101520'182019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29

Luke Kornet

  • Celtics
  • Boston Celtics
  • Center
  • 26 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings2019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
Offensive +/-Reg. season-1.7-3.0-3.7-2.7-2.8-2.6-3.2-3.3-2.7-2.8
Playoffs-6.4-2.7-2.8-2.5-3.2-3.3-2.7-2.8
Combined-1.7-3.0-3.8-2.7-2.8-2.5-3.2-3.3-2.7-2.8
Defensive +/-Reg. season+3.6-2.8+3.6+0.9+1.1+1.2+1.2+1.4+1.5+1.6
Playoffs+1.4+0.9+1.2+1.2+1.3+1.4+1.5+1.6
Combined+3.6-2.8+3.6+0.9+1.1+1.2+1.3+1.4+1.5+1.6
Total +/-Reg. season+1.9-5.8-0.1-1.8-1.7-1.4-2.0-1.9-1.2-1.2
Playoffs-4.9-1.7-1.7-1.3-1.9-1.9-1.2-1.1
Combined+1.9-5.8-0.2-1.8-1.7-1.4-1.9-1.9-1.2-1.2
Per 82 games2019'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28
WARReg. season1.9-1.10.50.30.30.30.10.10.20.1
Playoffs-0.10.30.30.30.10.10.20.1
Combined1.9-1.10.50.30.30.30.10.10.20.1
Market valueReg. season$7.2m-$1.2m$3.0m$2.8m$2.4m$2.2m$1.6m$1.4m$1.5m$1.4m
Playoffs$1.5m$2.5m$2.2m$2.1m$1.5m$1.3m$1.5m$1.3m
Combined$7.2m-$1.2m$2.9m$2.6m$2.3m$2.1m$1.5m$1.3m$1.5m$1.3m
Minutes playedReg. season784705394705598458344317238178
Playoffs82520485399302275221164
Combined784705370613542429323296230171
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
YearOff. +/-Def. +/-Total +/-Mkt. valueMin. played
2019-1.7+3.6+1.9$7.2m784
2020-3.0-2.8-5.8-$1.2m705
2021-3.8+3.6-0.2$2.9m370
2022-2.7+0.9-1.8$2.6m613
2023-2.8+1.1-1.7$2.3m542
2024-2.5+1.2-1.4$2.1m429
2025-3.2+1.3-1.9$1.5m323
2026-3.3+1.4-1.9$1.3m296
2027-2.7+1.5-1.2$1.5m230
2028-2.8+1.6-1.2$1.3m171