UPDATED Jan. 24, 2023, at 11:53 AM

2022 NFL Predictions

For the regular season and playoffs, updated after every game.

More NFL:Every team’s Elo historyCan you outsmart our forecasts?

elo with top qb
elo rating
1-week changecurrent qb adj.teamdivisionmake div. roundmake conf. champmake super bowlwin super bowl
1705
+3
Chiefs15-3AFC West58%33%
1710
+42
Bengals14-4AFC North42%25%
1660
+10
Eagles15-3NFC East59%24%
1671
-26
49ers15-4NFC West41%19%
1661Bills14-4AFC East
1631Cowboys13-6NFC East
1531Jaguars10-9AFC South
1508Giants10-8-1NFC East
1599Ravens10-8AFC North
1535Chargers10-8AFC West
1534Vikings13-5NFC North
1521Dolphins9-9AFC East
1479Buccaneers8-10NFC South
1455Seahawks9-9NFC West
1527Lions9-8NFC North
1519Steelers9-8AFC North
1515Packers8-9NFC North
1500Patriots8-9AFC East
1492Commanders8-8-1NFC East
1485Panthers7-10NFC South
1485Browns7-10AFC North
1485Saints7-10NFC South
1469Rams5-12NFC West
1465Titans7-10AFC South
1406Raiders6-11AFC West
1386Jets7-10AFC East
1381Colts4-12-1AFC South
1379Broncos5-12AFC West
1337Cardinals4-13NFC West
1332Bears3-14NFC North
1331Falcons7-10NFC South
1307Texans3-13-1AFC South

Conference championships

Sunday, Jan. 29

3 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers41%
Eagles-2.559%
Quality
99
How good
are these
two teams
Importance
100
How much will this game affect playoff odds
Overall
100
An overall
rating for
this game
6:30 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals42%
Chiefs-2.558%
Quality
100
Importance
100
Overall
100

Completed

Divisional round

Saturday, Jan. 21

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars16%20
Chiefs-11.584%27
Quality
93
How good
are these
two teams
Importance
100
How much will this game affect playoff odds
Overall
97
An overall
rating for
this game
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants21%7
Eagles-979%38
Quality
87
Importance
100
Overall
94

Sunday, Jan. 22

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals36%27
Bills-464%10
Quality
99
Importance
100
Overall
100
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys41%12
49ers-2.559%19
Quality
98
Importance
100
Overall
99

Wild-card round

Saturday, Jan. 14

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks19%23
49ers-1081%41
Quality
68
Importance
100
Overall
84
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers40%30
Jaguars-2.560%31
Quality
69
Importance
100
Overall
85

Sunday, Jan. 15

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins5%31
Bills-2095%34
Quality
52
Importance
100
Overall
76
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants33%31
Vikings-567%24
Quality
62
Importance
100
Overall
81
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens17%17
Bengals-1183%24
Quality
80
Importance
100
Overall
90

Monday, Jan. 16

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-360%31
Buccaneers40%14
Quality
76
Importance
100
Overall
88

Week 18

Saturday, Jan. 7

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-979%31
Raiders21%13
Quality
71
Importance
85
Overall
78
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans26%16
Jaguars-7.574%20
Quality
32
Importance
100
Overall
66

Sunday, Jan. 8

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens14%16
Bengals-12.586%27
Quality
68
Importance
1
Overall
35
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers40%10
Saints-360%7
Quality
43
Importance
0
Overall
22
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns46%14
Steelers-154%28
Quality
51
Importance
80
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans41%32
Colts-2.559%31
Quality
0
Importance
0
Overall
0
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-12.585%29
Bears15%13
Quality
1
Importance
1
Overall
1
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots17%23
Bills-1183%35
Quality
89
Importance
71
Overall
80
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets-3.562%6
Dolphins38%11
Quality
4
Importance
97
Overall
51
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers32%17
Falcons-568%30
Quality
11
Importance
0
Overall
6
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals8%13
49ers-16.592%38
Quality
7
Importance
1
Overall
4
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-1075%6
Commanders25%26
Quality
56
Importance
2
Overall
29
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers31%28
Broncos-5.569%31
Quality
26
Importance
1
Overall
14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams44%16
Seahawks-556%19
Quality
13
Importance
53
Overall
33
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants4%16
Eagles-2396%22
Quality
49
Importance
10
Overall
30
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions39%20
Packers-361%16
Quality
61
Importance
99
Overall
80

Week 17

Thursday, Dec. 29, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-8.577%27
Titans23%13
Quality
65
Importance
3
Overall
34

Sunday, Jan. 1

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals30%19
Falcons-670%20
Quality
0
Importance
0
Overall
0
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers45%24
Buccaneers-1.555%30
Quality
39
Importance
100
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears27%10
Lions-773%41
Quality
15
Importance
25
Overall
20
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns48%24
Commanders-0.552%10
Quality
35
Importance
63
Overall
49
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos11%24
Chiefs-1589%27
Quality
58
Importance
16
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts37%10
Giants-3.563%38
Quality
20
Importance
21
Overall
21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars-6.572%31
Texans28%3
Quality
11
Importance
3
Overall
7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins33%21
Patriots-567%23
Quality
29
Importance
89
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints27%20
Eagles-773%10
Quality
61
Importance
33
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets42%6
Seahawks-258%23
Quality
19
Importance
96
Overall
58
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-5.568%37
Raiders32%34
Quality
44
Importance
3
Overall
24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams28%10
Chargers-6.572%31
Quality
28
Importance
1
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-154%17
Packers46%41
Quality
70
Importance
92
Overall
81
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers42%16
Ravens-2.558%13
Quality
38
Importance
46
Overall
42

Week 16

Thursday, Dec. 22, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars-0.552%19
Jets48%3
Quality
32
Importance
84
Overall
58

Saturday, Dec. 24, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons25%9
Ravens-7.575%17
Quality
6
Importance
34
Overall
20
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-10.582%35
Bears18%13
Quality
60
Importance
23
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-3.563%22
Patriots37%18
Quality
82
Importance
84
Overall
83
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
LionsPK50%23
Panthers50%37
Quality
41
Importance
92
Overall
67
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints31%17
Browns-5.569%10
Quality
41
Importance
4
Overall
23
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants29%24
Vikings-671%27
Quality
58
Importance
16
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks16%10
Chiefs-1284%24
Quality
78
Importance
65
Overall
72
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans25%19
Titans-7.575%14
Quality
1
Importance
4
Overall
3
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders30%20
49ers-670%37
Quality
57
Importance
62
Overall
60
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles32%34
Cowboys-568%40
Quality
94
Importance
8
Overall
51
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders48%10
Steelers-0.552%13
Quality
37
Importance
14
Overall
26

Sunday, Dec. 25, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers37%26
Dolphins-3.563%20
Quality
49
Importance
72
Overall
61
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-1.554%14
Rams46%51
Quality
4
Importance
0
Overall
2
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-773%19
Cardinals27%16
Quality
1
Importance
18
Overall
10

Monday, Dec. 26, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers44%20
Colts-1.556%3
Quality
40
Importance
12
Overall
26

Week 15

Thursday, Dec. 15, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ersPK51%21
Seahawks49%13
Quality
48
Importance
86
Overall
67

Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts32%36
Vikings-5.568%39
Quality
53
Importance
5
Overall
29
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens37%3
Browns-3.563%13
Quality
49
Importance
33
Overall
41
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins23%29
Bills-8.577%32
Quality
90
Importance
70
Overall
80

Sunday, Dec. 18, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons30%18
Saints-670%21
Quality
5
Importance
7
Overall
6
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-774%34
Jaguars26%40
Quality
80
Importance
36
Overall
58
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions49%20
JetsPK51%17
Quality
35
Importance
88
Overall
62
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-13.588%30
Texans12%24
Quality
25
Importance
11
Overall
18
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-978%25
Bears22%20
Quality
60
Importance
18
Overall
39
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers39%24
Panthers-361%16
Quality
36
Importance
25
Overall
31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-0.552%15
Broncos48%24
Quality
0
Importance
1
Overall
1
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots49%24
RaidersPK51%30
Quality
52
Importance
67
Overall
60
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-3.563%34
Buccaneers37%23
Quality
75
Importance
74
Overall
75
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans47%14
Chargers-153%17
Quality
51
Importance
97
Overall
74
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants31%20
Commanders-5.569%12
Quality
33
Importance
99
Overall
66

Monday, Dec. 19, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams24%12
Packers-876%24
Quality
11
Importance
3
Overall
7

Week 14

Thursday, Dec. 8, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders-469%16
Rams31%17
Quality
12
Importance
10
Overall
11

Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens44%16
Steelers-1.556%14
Quality
26
Importance
60
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns32%10
Bengals-568%23
Quality
84
Importance
69
Overall
77
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans6%23
Cowboys-18.594%27
Quality
27
Importance
2
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars22%36
Titans-978%22
Quality
38
Importance
11
Overall
25
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-361%23
Lions39%34
Quality
59
Importance
32
Overall
46
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets18%12
Bills-10.582%20
Quality
80
Importance
62
Overall
71
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-6.572%48
Giants28%22
Quality
75
Importance
86
Overall
81
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-979%34
Broncos21%28
Quality
60
Importance
28
Overall
44
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers30%30
Seahawks-2.570%24
Quality
39
Importance
50
Overall
45
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers49%7
49ers-0.551%35
Quality
48
Importance
51
Overall
50
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-1.556%17
Chargers44%23
Quality
52
Importance
92
Overall
72

Monday, Dec. 12, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots46%27
Cardinals-154%13
Quality
36
Importance
37
Overall
37

Week 13

Thursday, Dec. 1, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-3.562%24
Patriots38%10
Quality
87
Importance
90
Overall
89

Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns-7.574%27
Texans26%14
Quality
11
Importance
3
Overall
7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos19%9
Ravens-10.581%10
Quality
43
Importance
12
Overall
28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers49%28
BearsPK51%19
Quality
16
Importance
3
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars44%14
Lions-1.556%40
Quality
16
Importance
16
Overall
16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets29%22
Vikings-671%27
Quality
63
Importance
54
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers48%19
Falcons-0.552%16
Quality
12
Importance
25
Overall
19
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans38%10
Eagles-3.562%35
Quality
93
Importance
47
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders50%20
GiantsPK50%20
Quality
35
Importance
99
Overall
67
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins38%17
49ers-3.562%33
Quality
90
Importance
39
Overall
65
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks-4.566%27
Rams34%23
Quality
7
Importance
50
Overall
29
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-257%24
Bengals43%27
Quality
97
Importance
91
Overall
94
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers43%20
Raiders-257%27
Quality
40
Importance
80
Overall
60
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts18%19
Cowboys-10.582%54
Quality
82
Importance
13
Overall
48

Monday, Dec. 5, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints32%16
Buccaneers-5.568%17
Quality
36
Importance
78
Overall
57

Week 12

Thursday, Nov. 24, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-774%28
Lions26%25
Quality
66
Importance
47
Overall
57
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants17%20
Cowboys-1183%28
Quality
77
Importance
40
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots39%26
Vikings-361%33
Quality
69
Importance
61
Overall
65

Sunday, Nov. 27, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons32%13
Commanders-568%19
Quality
22
Importance
87
Overall
55
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-4.565%27
Jaguars35%28
Quality
52
Importance
15
Overall
34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears34%10
Jets-4.566%31
Quality
10
Importance
20
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals37%20
Titans-3.563%16
Quality
89
Importance
47
Overall
68
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos39%10
Panthers-361%23
Quality
16
Importance
3
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans10%15
Dolphins-1490%30
Quality
19
Importance
4
Overall
12
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-360%17
Browns40%23
Quality
44
Importance
35
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers45%25
Cardinals-1.555%24
Quality
30
Importance
36
Overall
33
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders30%40
Seahawks-670%34
Quality
39
Importance
28
Overall
34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams6%10
Chiefs-18.594%26
Quality
28
Importance
5
Overall
17
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints22%0
49ers-8.578%13
Quality
59
Importance
32
Overall
46
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers24%33
Eagles-876%40
Quality
68
Importance
43
Overall
56

Monday, Nov. 28, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers29%24
Colts-6.571%17
Quality
25
Importance
10
Overall
18

Week 11

Thursday, Nov. 17, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-2.558%27
Packers42%17
Quality
67
Importance
31
Overall
49

Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers18%3
Ravens-10.582%13
Quality
51
Importance
13
Overall
32
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears49%24
FalconsPK51%27
Quality
12
Importance
16
Overall
14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns17%23
Bills-1183%31
Quality
68
Importance
28
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions29%31
Giants-671%18
Quality
20
Importance
36
Overall
28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams46%20
Saints-154%27
Quality
16
Importance
13
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets39%3
Patriots-361%10
Quality
49
Importance
95
Overall
72
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-1.556%17
Colts44%16
Quality
78
Importance
85
Overall
82
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders-464%23
Texans36%10
Quality
5
Importance
22
Overall
14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders39%22
Broncos-361%16
Quality
16
Importance
4
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-5.568%37
Steelers32%30
Quality
39
Importance
47
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys46%40
Vikings-154%3
Quality
93
Importance
73
Overall
83
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-670%30
Chargers30%27
Quality
83
Importance
85
Overall
84

Monday, Nov. 21, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-6.572%38
Cardinals28%10
Quality
46
Importance
64
Overall
55

Week 10

Thursday, Nov. 10, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons-153%15
Panthers47%25
Quality
4
Importance
46
Overall
25

Sunday, Nov. 13, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks-0.551%16
Buccaneers49%21
Quality
63
Importance
71
Overall
67
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns31%17
Dolphins-5.569%39
Quality
51
Importance
66
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos31%10
Titans-5.569%17
Quality
57
Importance
16
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions35%31
Bears-4.565%30
Quality
10
Importance
9
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans20%16
Giants-1080%24
Quality
7
Importance
12
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars15%17
Chiefs-1285%27
Quality
68
Importance
16
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings31%33
Bills-5.569%30
Quality
95
Importance
52
Overall
74
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints47%10
Steelers-153%20
Quality
11
Importance
13
Overall
12
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts35%25
Raiders-0.565%20
Quality
29
Importance
9
Overall
19
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals48%27
Rams-0.552%17
Quality
2
Importance
39
Overall
21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-773%28
Packers27%31
Quality
74
Importance
20
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers30%16
49ers-670%22
Quality
66
Importance
63
Overall
65

Monday, Nov. 14, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders16%32
Eagles-11.584%21
Quality
65
Importance
32
Overall
49

Week 9

Thursday, Nov. 3, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-10.582%29
Texans18%17
Quality
35
Importance
13
Overall
24

Sunday, Nov. 6, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-876%17
Jets24%20
Quality
82
Importance
66
Overall
74
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers21%21
Bengals-9.579%42
Quality
25
Importance
24
Overall
25
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-3.562%9
Lions38%15
Quality
13
Importance
17
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts30%3
Patriots-670%26
Quality
22
Importance
58
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-153%20
Falcons47%17
Quality
30
Importance
82
Overall
56
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-2.559%35
Bears41%32
Quality
42
Importance
43
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-3.563%20
Commanders37%17
Quality
51
Importance
34
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders49%20
JaguarsPK51%27
Quality
14
Importance
25
Overall
20
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks47%31
Cardinals-0.553%21
Quality
40
Importance
77
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams37%13
Buccaneers-3.563%16
Quality
47
Importance
76
Overall
62
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans22%17
Chiefs-978%20
Quality
86
Importance
37
Overall
62

Monday, Nov. 7, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-2.559%27
Saints41%13
Quality
60
Importance
55
Overall
58

Week 8

Thursday, Oct. 27, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens46%27
Buccaneers-154%22
Quality
72
Importance
66
Overall
69

Sunday, Oct. 30, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-1.555%21
Jaguars45%17
Quality
18
Importance
18
Overall
18
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals27%26
Vikings-773%34
Quality
59
Importance
36
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers36%34
Falcons-464%37
Quality
6
Importance
66
Overall
36
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears18%29
Cowboys-10.582%49
Quality
63
Importance
23
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-4.566%31
Lions34%27
Quality
19
Importance
31
Overall
25
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots44%22
Jets-1.556%17
Quality
38
Importance
88
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders-0.552%0
Saints48%24
Quality
28
Importance
45
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers14%13
Eagles-1386%35
Quality
52
Importance
10
Overall
31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-465%17
Texans35%10
Quality
15
Importance
29
Overall
22
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants48%13
Seahawks-0.552%27
Quality
47
Importance
79
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers42%31
Rams-2.558%14
Quality
59
Importance
93
Overall
76
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders46%17
Colts-154%16
Quality
10
Importance
48
Overall
29
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers16%17
Bills-11.584%27
Quality
89
Importance
31
Overall
60

Monday, Oct. 31, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-6.572%13
Browns28%32
Quality
44
Importance
53
Overall
49

Week 7

Thursday, Oct. 20, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints38%34
Cardinals-3.562%42
Quality
21
Importance
41
Overall
31

Sunday, Oct. 23, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons25%17
Bengals-7.575%35
Quality
51
Importance
53
Overall
52
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns22%20
Ravens-8.578%23
Quality
35
Importance
51
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions16%6
Cowboys-11.584%24
Quality
45
Importance
11
Overall
28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-2.558%21
Commanders42%23
Quality
25
Importance
55
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts38%10
Titans-3.562%19
Quality
62
Importance
96
Overall
79
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
GiantsPK51%23
Jaguars49%17
Quality
29
Importance
55
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-9.579%3
Panthers21%21
Quality
18
Importance
21
Overall
20
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans27%20
Raiders-6.573%38
Quality
12
Importance
14
Overall
13
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets-2.558%16
Broncos42%9
Quality
7
Importance
65
Overall
36
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-0.551%44
49ers49%23
Quality
88
Importance
61
Overall
75
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks30%37
Chargers-670%23
Quality
39
Importance
57
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers28%10
Dolphins-6.572%16
Quality
27
Importance
44
Overall
36

Monday, Oct. 24, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears22%33
Patriots-978%14
Quality
25
Importance
22
Overall
24

Week 6

Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders44%12
Bears-1.556%7
Quality
7
Importance
17
Overall
12

Sunday, Oct. 16, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-2.559%20
Giants41%24
Quality
63
Importance
64
Overall
64
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-2.558%30
Saints42%26
Quality
46
Importance
65
Overall
56
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars36%27
Colts-464%34
Quality
31
Importance
83
Overall
57
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-5.569%24
Dolphins31%16
Quality
25
Importance
54
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots41%38
Browns-2.559%15
Quality
18
Importance
75
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets24%27
Packers-876%10
Quality
41
Importance
41
Overall
41
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-6.572%14
Falcons28%28
Quality
41
Importance
39
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-773%18
Steelers27%20
Quality
43
Importance
13
Overall
28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-153%9
Seahawks47%19
Quality
25
Importance
62
Overall
44
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers20%10
Rams-1080%24
Quality
7
Importance
16
Overall
12
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills50%24
ChiefsPK50%20
Quality
99
Importance
99
Overall
99
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys27%17
Eagles-773%26
Quality
81
Importance
93
Overall
87

Monday, Oct. 17, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos36%16
Chargers-464%19
Quality
49
Importance
84
Overall
67

Week 5

Thursday, Oct. 6, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts40%12
Broncos-360%9
Quality
44
Importance
79
Overall
62

Sunday, Oct. 9, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants30%27
Packers-670%22
Quality
56
Importance
67
Overall
62
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons18%15
Buccaneers-10.582%21
Quality
44
Importance
45
Overall
45
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears24%22
Vikings-876%29
Quality
31
Importance
51
Overall
41
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions46%0
Patriots-154%29
Quality
8
Importance
33
Overall
21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans23%13
Jaguars-8.577%6
Quality
7
Importance
22
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-0.552%30
Browns48%28
Quality
38
Importance
88
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-464%17
Jets36%40
Quality
20
Importance
50
Overall
35
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers12%3
Bills-13.588%38
Quality
58
Importance
10
Overall
34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks43%32
Saints-257%39
Quality
15
Importance
48
Overall
32
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-2.559%21
Commanders41%17
Quality
31
Importance
46
Overall
39
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-5.570%37
Panthers30%15
Quality
36
Importance
40
Overall
38
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys34%22
Rams-4.566%10
Quality
51
Importance
71
Overall
61
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-2.558%20
Cardinals42%17
Quality
75
Importance
82
Overall
79
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals40%17
Ravens-360%19
Quality
81
Importance
96
Overall
89

Monday, Oct. 10, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders22%29
Chiefs-8.578%30
Quality
75
Importance
52
Overall
64

Week 4

Thursday, Sept. 29, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-0.551%15
Bengals49%27
Quality
77
Importance
73
Overall
75

Sunday, Oct. 2, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-4.566%28
Saints34%25
Quality
37
Importance
68
Overall
53
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-154%23
Ravens46%20
Quality
96
Importance
79
Overall
88
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears42%12
Giants-2.558%20
Quality
12
Importance
65
Overall
39
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns-153%20
Falcons47%23
Quality
13
Importance
49
Overall
31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars28%21
Eagles-6.572%29
Quality
74
Importance
50
Overall
62
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-464%34
Texans36%24
Quality
12
Importance
30
Overall
21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets29%24
Steelers-671%20
Quality
6
Importance
13
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks39%48
Lions-361%45
Quality
10
Importance
42
Overall
26
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans43%24
Colts-257%17
Quality
49
Importance
88
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders42%10
Cowboys-258%25
Quality
19
Importance
81
Overall
50
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-0.551%26
Panthers49%16
Quality
20
Importance
53
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-0.553%23
Raiders47%32
Quality
41
Importance
68
Overall
55
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots27%24
Packers-773%27
Quality
61
Importance
45
Overall
53
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs41%41
Buccaneers-2.559%31
Quality
94
Importance
45
Overall
70

Monday, Oct. 3, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams45%9
49ers-1.555%24
Quality
78
Importance
94
Overall
86

Week 3

Thursday, Sept. 22, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers50%17
BrownsPK50%29
Quality
22
Importance
81
Overall
52

Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
RavensPK51%37
Patriots49%26
Quality
67
Importance
85
Overall
76
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-257%19
Dolphins43%21
Quality
95
Importance
96
Overall
96
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-256%27
Jets44%12
Quality
25
Importance
36
Overall
31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions30%24
Vikings-670%28
Quality
36
Importance
71
Overall
54
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans34%20
Bears-4.566%23
Quality
4
Importance
28
Overall
16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-4.566%17
Colts34%20
Quality
75
Importance
54
Overall
65
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-258%14
Panthers42%22
Quality
19
Importance
55
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders38%22
Titans-3.562%24
Quality
34
Importance
49
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-2.559%24
Commanders41%8
Quality
62
Importance
83
Overall
73
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars26%38
Chargers-774%10
Quality
46
Importance
55
Overall
51
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons35%27
Seahawks-4.565%23
Quality
5
Importance
26
Overall
16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers33%14
Buccaneers-567%12
Quality
91
Importance
66
Overall
79
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
RamsPK51%20
Cardinals49%12
Quality
60
Importance
88
Overall
74
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers49%10
BroncosPK51%11
Quality
71
Importance
68
Overall
70

Monday, Sept. 26, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys34%23
Giants-4.566%16
Quality
14
Importance
82
Overall
48

Week 2

Thursday, Sept. 15, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers33%24
Chiefs-567%27
Quality
90
Importance
92
Overall
91

Sunday, Sept. 18, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers36%16
Giants-464%19
Quality
13
Importance
53
Overall
33
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts-465%0
Jaguars35%24
Quality
26
Importance
60
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins40%42
Ravens-360%38
Quality
74
Importance
78
Overall
76
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots42%17
Steelers-258%14
Quality
45
Importance
74
Overall
60
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets38%31
Browns-3.562%30
Quality
9
Importance
38
Overall
24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-258%20
Saints42%10
Quality
82
Importance
93
Overall
88
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders-1.556%27
Lions44%36
Quality
21
Importance
63
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons21%27
Rams-979%31
Quality
24
Importance
31
Overall
28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks31%7
49ers-5.569%27
Quality
36
Importance
77
Overall
57
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals42%29
Raiders-258%23
Quality
34
Importance
51
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-4.566%17
Cowboys34%20
Quality
19
Importance
53
Overall
36
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans24%9
Broncos-876%16
Quality
20
Importance
33
Overall
27
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears27%10
Packers-773%27
Quality
46
Importance
67
Overall
57

Monday, Sept. 19, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans24%7
Bills-876%41
Quality
86
Importance
42
Overall
64
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings45%7
Eagles-1.555%24
Quality
76
Importance
66
Overall
71

Week 1

Thursday, Sept. 8, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills47%31
Rams-153%10
Quality
91
Importance
59
Overall
75

Sunday, Sept. 11, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-3.562%24
Jets38%9
Quality
34
Importance
51
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns43%26
Panthers-257%24
Quality
10
Importance
48
Overall
29
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts-567%20
Texans33%20
Quality
21
Importance
51
Overall
36
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars32%22
Commanders-5.568%28
Quality
18
Importance
41
Overall
30
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots42%7
Dolphins-2.558%20
Quality
56
Importance
85
Overall
71
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-464%27
Falcons36%26
Quality
19
Importance
54
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-2.560%38
Lions40%35
Quality
33
Importance
64
Overall
49
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers32%23
Bengals-568%20
Quality
56
Importance
75
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-3.563%10
Bears37%19
Quality
37
Importance
59
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-153%7
Vikings47%23
Quality
79
Importance
93
Overall
86
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-257%44
Cardinals43%21
Quality
72
Importance
64
Overall
68
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants31%21
Titans-5.569%20
Quality
36
Importance
50
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders36%19
Chargers-464%24
Quality
59
Importance
79
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers49%19
CowboysPK51%3
Quality
84
Importance
67
Overall
76

Monday, Sept. 12, 2022

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-257%16
Seahawks43%17
Quality
34
Importance
60
Overall
47

Quarterback ratings

The top quarterbacks for each team and their value in Elo points, which are used in our quarterback-adjusted model. Our ratings are a rolling average of recent performances and incorporate both passing and running. Initial rookie ratings are based on draft position; undrafted rookies begin their careers with an Elo value of zero, while a first overall draft pick starts with an Elo value of 113.

AFC East
AFC North
AFC South
AFC West
NFC East
NFC North
NFC South
NFC West