UPDATED Jul. 8, 2019 at 10:30 AM

2019-20 CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

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Victor Oladipo

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals 50th
Height 6'4"
Weight 210
Draft position 2
Scoring
True shooting % 54%
Free throw % 76%
Usage % 28%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency 35%
FT frequency 24%
Passing/ball handling
Assist % 22%
Turnover % 12%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound % 9%
Block % 1.3%
Steal % 2.8%
Defensive +/- +1.0
Wins above replacement projection
Category: BORDERLINE ALL-STAR
5-yr market value: $166.4m

Confidence interval

Projection

'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27051015201.011.61.55.14.74.03.12.41.61.21.011.61.55.14.74.03.12.41.61.2
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Larry Hughes
Year: 2007
Similarity: 46
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
2
Ron Harper
Year: 1992
Similarity: 46
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
3
Kendall Gill
Year: 1996
Similarity: 45
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
4
A. Hardaway
Year: 1999
Similarity: 45
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
5
Bonzi Wells
Year: 2004
Similarity: 43
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
6
Ray Williams
Year: 1982
Similarity: 41
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
7
Tyreke Evans
Year: 2017
Similarity: 39
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
8
Stacey Augmon
Year: 1996
Similarity: 39
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
9
Alvin Robertson
Year: 1990
Similarity: 38
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27
10
Bobby Phills
Year: 1998
Similarity: 35
05101520'162017'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26'27

Victor Oladipo

  • Pacers
  • Indiana Pacers
  • Shooting Guard
  • 27 years old
The fine print
Ratings 2017 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '26
Offensive +/- Reg. season +0.2 +3.0 +1.0 +1.6 +1.5 +1.3 +0.8 +0.6 +0.4 +0.1
Playoffs -5.9 +3.4 +1.5 +1.5 +1.3 +0.8 +0.5 +0.3 0.0
Combined -1.6 +3.1 +1.0 +1.5 +1.5 +1.3 +0.8 +0.6 +0.3 +0.0
Defensive +/- Reg. season +0.5 +2.4 0.0 +0.8 +0.7 +0.6 +0.6 +0.4 +0.2 +0.4
Playoffs +0.2 +3.2 +0.8 +0.7 +0.5 +0.6 +0.4 +0.1 +0.4
Combined +0.4 +2.7 0.0 +0.8 +0.7 +0.6 +0.6 +0.4 +0.2 +0.4
Total +/- Reg. season +0.7 +5.4 +1.0 +2.4 +2.3 +1.9 +1.4 +1.0 +0.6 +0.5
Playoffs -5.6 +6.6 +2.3 +2.1 +1.8 +1.3 +0.9 +0.4 +0.3
Combined -1.1 +5.8 +1.0 +2.3 +2.2 +1.9 +1.4 +0.9 +0.5 +0.4
Per 82 games 2017 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '26
WAR Reg. season 3.2 10.4 1.8 4.8 4.4 3.7 2.9 2.2 1.4 1.1
Playoffs -6.1 14.4 5.4 5.1 4.3 3.4 2.6 1.7 1.3
Combined 1.0 11.6 1.5 5.1 4.7 4.0 3.1 2.4 1.6 1.2
Market value Reg. season $23.3m $76.7m $15.1m $39.6m $39.2m $35.1m $29.2m $23.5m $16.8m $13.8m
Playoffs -$41.3m $105.7m $44.9m $44.9m $40.4m $33.6m $27.3m $19.9m $16.8m
Combined $7.9m $85.5m $12.4m $42.2m $42.1m $37.8m $31.4m $25.4m $18.4m $15.3m
Minutes played Reg. season 2,222 2,552 1,147 2,025 1,930 1,774 1,592 1,369 1,063 823
Playoffs 2,968 3,057 2,361 2,288 2,117 1,915 1,690 1,359 1,113
Combined 2,400 2,706 918 2,193 2,109 1,945 1,754 1,530 1,211 968
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year Off. +/- Def. +/- Total +/- Mkt. value Min. played
2017 -1.6 +0.4 -1.1 $7.9m 2,400
2018 +3.1 +2.7 +5.8 $85.5m 2,706
2019 +1.0 0.0 +1.0 $12.4m 918
2020 +1.5 +0.8 +2.3 $42.2m 2,193
2021 +1.5 +0.7 +2.2 $42.1m 2,109
2022 +1.3 +0.6 +1.9 $37.8m 1,945
2023 +0.8 +0.6 +1.4 $31.4m 1,754
2024 +0.6 +0.4 +0.9 $25.4m 1,530
2025 +0.3 +0.2 +0.5 $18.4m 1,211
2026 +0.0 +0.4 +0.4 $15.3m 968

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