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Who’s ahead in the Florida race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 26, 2023

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024

700LV
May 25-27
700LV
DeSantis
40%
DeSantis
40%

DeSantis

40%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  DeSantis+1
700LV
May 25-27
700LV
DeSantis
38%
DeSantis
38%

DeSantis

38%

Trump

38%

T. Scott

3%

Pence

3%

Haley

3%

Ramaswamy

0%
38%
TrumpEven

May 8, 2023

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024

500LV
May 8-9
500LV
Trump
42%
Trump
42%

Trump

42%

DeSantis

34%

Haley

2%

Ramaswamy

2%

Pence

2%

T. Scott

1%

Sununu

1%

Hutchinson

0%
34%
DeSantisTrump+8

April 13, 2023

April 7, 2023

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024

1,000LV
Apr.6-8
1,000LV
Trump
47%
Trump
47%

Trump

47%

DeSantis

32%
32%
DeSantis  Trump+15
1,000LV
Apr.6-8
1,000LV
Trump
66%
Trump
66%

Trump

66%

Haley

8%

Hutchinson

2%

Ramaswamy

2%

Johnson

0%
8%
HaleyTrump+58
1,000LV
Apr.6-8
1,000LV
Trump
43%
Trump
43%

Trump

43%

DeSantis

35%

Ramaswamy

4%

Haley

3%

Hutchinson

1%

Johnson

0%
35%
DeSantisTrump+8

March 29, 2023

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024

507RV
Mar.27-30
507RV
DeSantis
44%
DeSantis
44%

DeSantis

44%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  DeSantis+5
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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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