UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 4:13 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Florida race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 27, 2022

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

800LV
Sep.26-28
800LV
Demings
41%
Demings
41%

Demings

41%

Rubio

47%
47%
Rubio  Rubio+6

Governor, Florida, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

800LV
Sep.26-28
800LV
Crist
41%
Crist
41%

Crist

41%

DeSantis

52%
52%
DeSantis  DeSantis+11

Sept. 26, 2022

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

2,860LV
Sep.22-27
2,860LV
Demings
46%
Demings
46%

Demings

46%

Rubio

46%
46%
Rubio  Even

Governor, Florida, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

2,860LV
Sep.22-27
2,860LV
Crist
46%
Crist
46%

Crist

46%

DeSantis

47%
47%
DeSantis  DeSantis+1

Sept. 25, 2022

U.S. House, FL-1, 2022

618LV
Sep.22-26
618LV
Jones
39%
Jones
39%

Jones

39%

Gaetz

41%
41%
Gaetz  Gaetz+2

Sept. 24, 2022

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

669LV
Sep.18-25
669LV
Demings
41%
Demings
41%

Demings

41%

Rubio

48%
48%
Rubio  Rubio+7
210LV
Jun.27-Sep.25
210LV
Demings
45%
Demings
45%

Demings

45%

Rubio

51%

Misigoy

3%
51%
RubioRubio+6

Governor, Florida, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

669LV
Sep.18-25
669LV
Crist
41%
Crist
41%

Crist

41%

DeSantis

49%
49%
DeSantis  DeSantis+8

Sept. 20, 2022

Governor, Florida, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

700LV
Sep.21
700LV
Crist
53%
Crist
53%

Crist

53%

DeSantis

47%
47%
DeSantis  Crist+6
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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