See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 3, 2020, at 6:38 PM

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added July 30, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Jul 20-23, 2020
625 LV
Jul 20-23, 2020
625LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+4
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Jul 19-21, 2020
1,121 LV
Jul 19-21, 2020
1,121LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

41%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

July 29, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Jul 24-26, 2020
685 LV
Jul 24-26, 2020
685LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+3

July 28, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Jul 17-26, 2020
3,760 LV
Jul 17-26, 2020
3,760LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+3
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
May 17-26, 2020
3,593 LV
May 17-26, 2020
3,593LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpTrump+1

July 27, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-26FL-26
Jul 14-18, 2020
400 RV
Jul 14-18, 2020
400RVMucarsel-Powell
42%

Mucarsel-Powell

42%

Giménez

47%
47%
GiménezGiménez+5

July 26, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Jul 18-24, 2020
880 RV
Jul 18-24, 2020
880RVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+5
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