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Who’s ahead in the Florida race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Feb. 3, 2024

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jan. 23-Feb. 4
1,422LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
1,422LV
Trump
85%
Trump
85%

Trump

85%

Haley

14%
14%
Haley  Trump+71

Dec. 29, 2023

President: general election, Florida, 2024

Dec. 28-30
1,147LV
Dec. 28-30
1,147LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

9%
45%
TrumpTrump+11

Dec. 8, 2023

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Dec. 8-9
1,220LV
Dec. 8-9
1,220LV
Trump
57%
Trump
57%

Trump

57%

DeSantis

26%
26%
DeSantis  Trump+31
Dec. 8-9
1,220LV
Dec. 8-9
1,220LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

19%

Haley

8%

Christie

5%

Ramaswamy

1%
19%
DeSantisTrump+41

Nov. 29, 2023

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-30
3,148LV
Nov. 1-30
3,148LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

23%

Haley

8%

Ramaswamy

5%

Christie

2%

Scott

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%
23%
DeSantisTrump+37

Nov. 28, 2023

President: general election, Florida, 2024

Nov. 27-29
897LV
Nov. 27-29
897LV
Biden
32%
Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Haley

27%

Kennedy

16%
27%
HaleyBiden+5
Nov. 27-29
897LV
Nov. 27-29
897LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

DeSantis

38%

Kennedy

12%
38%
DeSantisDeSantis+4
Nov. 27-29
897LV
Nov. 27-29
897LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

9%
44%
TrumpTrump+10
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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