See who’s ahead in the 2021 Virginia governor’s race

UPDATED Oct. 14, 2021, at 9:30 AM

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 11, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
450 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
450LVHarris
49%

Harris

49%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+1
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
450 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
450LVHarris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump Sr.

49%
49%
Trump Sr.Harris+1
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
450 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
450LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

DeSantis

49%
49%
DeSantisBiden+2
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
450 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
450LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump Sr.

49%
49%
Trump Sr.Biden+2
President: Democratic primary
President: Democratic primary
Fla.Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
174 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
174LVBiden
60%

Biden

60%

Harris

17%
17%
HarrisBiden+43
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Fla.
Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
203 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
203LVTrump Sr.
58%

Trump Sr.

58%

DeSantis

30%
30%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+28

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 30, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Fla.Fla.
Sep 23-27, 2021
405 LV
Sep 23-27, 2021
405LVGrayson
32%

Grayson

32%

Rubio

44%
44%
RubioRubio+12
U.S. Senate
Fla.Fla.
Sep 23-27, 2021
405 LV
Sep 23-27, 2021
405LVDemings
38%

Demings

38%

Rubio

42%
42%
RubioRubio+4
Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Sep 23-27, 2021
405 LV
Sep 23-27, 2021
405LVFried
36%

Fried

36%

DeSantis

48%
48%
DeSantisDeSantis+12
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Sep 23-27, 2021
405 LV
Sep 23-27, 2021
405LVCrist
39%

Crist

39%

DeSantis

47%
47%
DeSantisDeSantis+8

Sept. 14, 2021

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Sep 11-12, 2021
911 LV
Sep 11-12, 2021
911LVBiden
55%

Biden

55%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisBiden+10
Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Sep 11-12, 2021
911 LV
Sep 11-12, 2021
911LVCrist
55%

Crist

55%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisCrist+9

Sept. 6, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000LVDemings
37%

Demings

37%

Rubio

48%
48%
RubioRubio+11
U.S. Senate
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000LVGrayson
36%

Grayson

36%

Rubio

48%
48%
RubioRubio+12
U.S. Senate
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000RVDemings
34%

Demings

34%

Rubio

46%
46%
RubioRubio+12
U.S. Senate
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000RVGrayson
33%

Grayson

33%

Rubio

46%
46%
RubioRubio+13
Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Sep 3-5, 2021
1,144 LV
Sep 3-5, 2021
1,144LVFried
48%

Fried

48%

DeSantis

52%
52%
DeSantisDeSantis+4
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Sep 3-5, 2021
1,144 LV
Sep 3-5, 2021
1,144LVCrist
54%

Crist

54%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisCrist+7
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000LVFried
38%

Fried

38%

DeSantis

48%
48%
DeSantisDeSantis+10
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000LVCrist
38%

Crist

38%

DeSantis

48%
48%
DeSantisDeSantis+10
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000RVFried
36%

Fried

36%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisDeSantis+9
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000RVCrist
36%

Crist

36%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisDeSantis+9

Aug. 31, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 21-28, 2021
1,000 RV
Aug 21-28, 2021
1,000RVCrist
38%

Crist

38%

DeSantis

41%
41%
DeSantisDeSantis+3
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 21-28, 2021
1,000 RV
Aug 21-28, 2021
1,000RVFried
38%

Fried

38%

DeSantis

41%
41%
DeSantisDeSantis+3
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