UPDATED Apr. 16, 2021, at 3:54 PM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added March 25, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Mar 22-24, 2021
1,923 LV
Mar 22-24, 2021
1,923LVFried
45%

Fried

45%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisDeSantis+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 2, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Feb 24-28, 2021
625 RV
Feb 24-28, 2021
625RVCrist
41%

Crist

41%

DeSantis

52%
52%
DeSantisDeSantis+11
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Feb 24-28, 2021
625 RV
Feb 24-28, 2021
625RVFried
42%

Fried

42%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+9

Feb. 23, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Fla.
Fla.
Feb 15-17, 2021
304 LV
Feb 15-17, 2021
304LVDeSantis
64%

DeSantis

64%

Rubio

12%

Scott

10%
MoreDeSantis+52
President: Republican primary Fla.
Fla.
Jul 16-18, 2019
280 LV
Jul 16-18, 2019
280LVDeSantis
37%

DeSantis

37%

Rubio

26%

Scott

18%
MoreDeSantis+11

Nov. 4, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2020
1,054 LV
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2020
1,054LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

49%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreTrump+2
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
8,792 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
8,792LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpEven
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
8,792 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
8,792RVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2

Nov. 2, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Nov 1-2, 2020
400 LV
Nov 1-2, 2020
400LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreTrump+1
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,261 LV
Oct 27-Nov 2, 2020
1,261LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+8
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2020
517 LV
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2020
517LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
806 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
806LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

48%

Hawkins

0%

Jorgensen

0%
MoreBiden+3
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2020
1,657 LV
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2020
1,657LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+5
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
670 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
670LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

1%

West

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+4
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
670 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
670LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+4
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,202 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,202LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+3
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 30-31, 2020
768 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
768LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 22-31, 2020
4,451 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
4,451LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+6
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,000 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,000LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+3
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,587 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,587LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+4
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 10-13, 2020
1,519 LV
Oct 10-13, 2020
1,519LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+6
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 9-10, 2020
981 LV
Oct 9-10, 2020
981LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+9
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