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Who’s ahead in the Florida ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 16, 2024

President: general election, Florida, 2024

March 14-17
875LV
March 14-17
875LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

0%
46%
TrumpTrump+7

March 12, 2024

President: general election, Florida, 2024

March 11-13
1,963LV
March 11-13
1,963LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+6

Feb. 29, 2024

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2024, General election

Feb. 29-March 1
790V
Feb. 29-March 1
790V
Mucarsel-Powell
41%
Mucarsel-Powell
41%

Mucarsel-Powell

41%

Scott

44%
44%
Scott  Scott+3

Feb. 3, 2024

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Jan. 23-Feb. 4
1,422LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
1,422LV
Trump
85%
Trump
85%

Trump

85%

Haley

14%
14%
Haley  Trump+71

Dec. 29, 2023

President: general election, Florida, 2024

Dec. 28-30
1,147LV
Dec. 28-30
1,147LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

9%
45%
TrumpTrump+11
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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