UPDATED Nov. 29, 2021, at 9:23 AM

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
737 LV
Nov 9, 2021
737LVDemings
36%

Demings

36%

Rubio

48%
48%
RubioRubio+12
U.S. Senate
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
737 LV
Nov 9, 2021
737LVGrayson
37%

Grayson

37%

Rubio

46%
46%
RubioRubio+9
U.S. Senate
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
867 RV
Nov 9, 2021
867RVDemings
33%

Demings

33%

Rubio

45%
45%
RubioRubio+12
U.S. Senate
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
867 RV
Nov 9, 2021
867RVGrayson
34%

Grayson

34%

Rubio

43%
43%
RubioRubio+9
Governor
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
737 LV
Nov 9, 2021
737LVFried
37%

Fried

37%

DeSantis

50%
50%
DeSantisDeSantis+13
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
737 LV
Nov 9, 2021
737LVCrist
40%

Crist

40%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisDeSantis+6
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
867 RV
Nov 9, 2021
867RVFried
35%

Fried

35%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisDeSantis+11
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
867 RV
Nov 9, 2021
867RVCrist
37%

Crist

37%

DeSantis

44%
44%
DeSantisDeSantis+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 21, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Fla. Fla.
Nov 18-19, 2021
2,896 RV
Nov 18-19, 2021
2,896RVDemings
44%

Demings

44%

Rubio

51%
51%
RubioRubio+7
Governor
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 18-19, 2021
2,896 RV
Nov 18-19, 2021
2,896RVFried
42%

Fried

42%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+9
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 18-19, 2021
2,896 RV
Nov 18-19, 2021
2,896RVCrist
45%

Crist

45%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+6

Nov. 8, 2021

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-1 FL-1
Oct 8-28, 2021
532 LV
Oct 8-28, 2021
532LVJones
34%

Jones

34%

Gaetz

42%
42%
GaetzGaetz+8

Nov. 3, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Fla. Fla.
Oct 17-23, 2021
500 A
Oct 17-23, 2021
500ADemings
29%

Demings

29%

Rubio

47%
47%
RubioRubio+18
Governor
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Oct 17-23, 2021
500 A
Oct 17-23, 2021
500AFried
33%

Fried

33%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisDeSantis+14
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Oct 17-23, 2021
500 A
Oct 17-23, 2021
500ACrist
35%

Crist

35%

DeSantis

47%
47%
DeSantisDeSantis+12
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Oct 17-23, 2021
500 A
Oct 17-23, 2021
500ATaddeo
28%

Taddeo

28%

DeSantis

47%
47%
DeSantisDeSantis+19

Oct. 11, 2021

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
450 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
450LVHarris
49%

Harris

49%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+1
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
450 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
450LVHarris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump Sr.

49%
49%
Trump Sr.Harris+1
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
450 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
450LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

DeSantis

49%
49%
DeSantisBiden+2
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
450 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
450LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump Sr.

49%
49%
Trump Sr.Biden+2
President: Democratic primary
President: Democratic primary
Fla. Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
174 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
174LVBiden
60%

Biden

60%

Harris

17%
17%
HarrisBiden+43
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Fla.
Fla.
Sep 16-18, 2021
203 LV
Sep 16-18, 2021
203LVTrump Sr.
58%

Trump Sr.

58%

DeSantis

30%
30%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+28
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