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Who’s ahead in the Florida race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending June 8, 2022

U.S. House, FL-13, 2022

500RV
Jun.6-9
500RV
Lynn
36%
Lynn
36%

Lynn

36%

Hayslett

39%
39%
Hayslett  Hayslett+3
500RV
Jun.6-9
500RV
Lynn
41%
Lynn
41%

Lynn

41%

Makki

46%
46%
Makki  Makki+5
500RV
Jun.6-9
500RV
Lynn
36%
Lynn
36%

Lynn

36%

Paulina Luna

45%
45%
Paulina Luna  Paulina Luna+9

June 3, 2022

Governor, Florida, 2022

714LV
May 27-Jun.4
714LV
Crist
51%
Crist
51%

Crist

51%

DeSantis

49%
49%
DeSantis  Crist+1

May 26, 2022

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2022

655V
May 26-27
655V
Demings
41%
Demings
41%

Demings

41%

Rubio

47%
47%
Rubio  Rubio+6

May 8, 2022

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2022

543RV
May 7-9
543RV
Demings
36%
Demings
36%

Demings

36%

Rubio

34%
34%
Rubio  Demings+2

Governor, Florida, 2022

543RV
May 7-9
543RV
Crist
35%
Crist
35%

Crist

35%

DeSantis

36%
36%
DeSantis  DeSantis+1

April 20, 2022

U.S. House, FL-27, 2022

350LV
Apr.18-21
350LV
Russell
41%
Russell
41%

Russell

41%

Salazar

43%
43%
Salazar  Salazar+2
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