See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 1:47 PM

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
14,202 LV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
14,202LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+2
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
14,202 RV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
14,202RVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+1
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 17-25, 2020
743 RV
Oct 17-25, 2020
743RVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+3

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 24-25, 2020
937 LV
Oct 24-25, 2020
937LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 23-25, 2020
400 LV
Oct 23-25, 2020
400LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

49%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreTrump+5

Oct. 26, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 20-22, 2020
800 LV
Oct 20-22, 2020
800LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2
U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-15FL-15
Oct 22-24, 2020
530 LV
Oct 22-24, 2020
530LVCohn
44%

Cohn

44%

Franklin

46%
46%
FranklinFranklin+2

Oct. 25, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 20-23, 2020
1,228 LV
Oct 20-23, 2020
1,228LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2

Oct. 23, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 21-22, 2020
2,527 LV
Oct 21-22, 2020
2,527LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+2
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 20-21, 2020
800 LV
Oct 20-21, 2020
800LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpTrump+4
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