UPDATED Aug. 3, 2021, at 8:19 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 2-3, 2021
3,952 LV
Aug 2-3, 2021
3,952LVFried
42%

Fried

42%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisDeSantis+3
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 2-3, 2021
3,952 LV
Aug 2-3, 2021
3,952LVCrist
45%

Crist

45%

DeSantis

44%
44%
DeSantisCrist+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

June 27, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Fla.Fla.
Jun 27, 2021
681 LV
Jun 27, 2021
681LVDemings
40%

Demings

40%

Rubio

60%
60%
RubioRubio+21

June 22, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Jun 21, 2021
716 LV
Jun 21, 2021
716LVFried
39%

Fried

39%

DeSantis

61%
61%
DeSantisDeSantis+22
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Jun 21, 2021
716 LV
Jun 21, 2021
716LVCrist
45%

Crist

45%

DeSantis

55%
55%
DeSantisDeSantis+9

June 13, 2021

President: general election
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Nov 2, 2020
966 LV
Nov 2, 2020
966LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpTrump+4
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 26-28, 2020
900 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
900LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+1
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 22-24, 2020
895 LV
Oct 22-24, 2020
895LVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpTrump+4
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Oct 17-20, 2020
1,431 LV
Oct 17-20, 2020
1,431LVBiden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

54%
54%
TrumpTrump+13
President: general election Fla.
Fla.
Aug 15-16, 2020
1,000 LV
Aug 15-16, 2020
1,000LVBiden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

53%
53%
TrumpTrump+11
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Fla.Fla.
Oct 28-30, 2018
1,193 LV
Oct 28-30, 2018
1,193LVNelson
47%

Nelson

47%

Scott

47%
47%
ScottEven
U.S. Senate
Fla.Fla.
Sep 27-30, 2018
1,037 LV
Sep 27-30, 2018
1,037LVNelson
46%

Nelson

46%

Scott

45%
45%
ScottNelson+1
U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-1FL-1
Oct 18-21, 2018
730 LV
Oct 18-21, 2018
730LVZimmerman
25%

Zimmerman

25%

Gaetz

56%
56%
GaetzGaetz+31
Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 28-30, 2018
1,193 LV
Oct 28-30, 2018
1,193LVGillum
43%

Gillum

43%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+7
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Sep 27-30, 2018
1,037 LV
Sep 27-30, 2018
1,037LVGillum
45%

Gillum

45%

DeSantis

47%
47%
DeSantisDeSantis+2

May 11, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602 LV
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602LVDemings
38%

Demings

38%

DeSantis

53%
53%
DeSantisDeSantis+15
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602 LV
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602LVFried
39%

Fried

39%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+12
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602 LV
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602LVCrist
41%

Crist

41%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+10
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