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Who’s ahead in the Florida race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 28, 2023

President: general election, Florida, 2024

Nov. 27-29
897LV
Nov. 27-29
897LV
Biden
32%
Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Haley

27%

Kennedy

16%
27%
HaleyBiden+5
Nov. 27-29
897LV
Nov. 27-29
897LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

DeSantis

38%

Kennedy

12%
38%
DeSantisDeSantis+4
Nov. 27-29
897LV
Nov. 27-29
897LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

9%
44%
TrumpTrump+10

Nov. 14, 2023

President: general election, Florida, 2024

Nov. 13-15
800LV
Nov. 13-15
800LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

11%
44%
TrumpTrump+7
Nov. 13-15
800LV
Nov. 13-15
800LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantis  DeSantis+3
Nov. 13-15
800LV
Nov. 13-15
800LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5

Nov. 10, 2023

President: general election, Florida, 2024

Oct. 27-Nov. 11
946RV
Oct. 27-Nov. 11
946RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

DeSantis

47%
47%
DeSantis  DeSantis+8
Oct. 27-Nov. 11
946RV
Oct. 27-Nov. 11
946RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+11

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 27-Nov. 11
400RV
Oct. 27-Nov. 11
400RV
Trump
63%
Trump
63%

Trump

63%

DeSantis

30%
30%
DeSantis  Trump+33
Oct. 27-Nov. 11
400RV
Oct. 27-Nov. 11
400RV
Trump
61%
Trump
61%

Trump

61%

DeSantis

20%

Haley

9%

Christie

1%

Ramaswamy

0%

Burgum

0%
20%
DeSantisTrump+41

Nov. 3, 2023

President: Republican primary, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 23-Nov. 4
788LV
Oct. 23-Nov. 4
788LV
Trump
59%
Trump
59%

Trump

59%

DeSantis

29%
29%
DeSantis  Trump+30
Oct. 23-Nov. 4
788LV
Oct. 23-Nov. 4
788LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

21%

Haley

6%

Christie

2%

Ramaswamy

1%

Pence

1%

Scott

0%

Burgum

0%

Hutchinson

0%
21%
DeSantisTrump+39

Oct. 16, 2023

U.S. House, FL-28, 2024

Oct. 13-17
500LV
Oct. 13-17
500LV
Ehr
32%
Ehr
32%

Ehr

32%

Gimenez

45%
45%
Gimenez  Gimenez+13
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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