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Who’s ahead in the Illinois governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Illinois, 2018, General election

Nov. 1-3
1,208LV
Nov. 1-3
1,208LV
Pritzker
49%
Pritzker
49%

Pritzker

49%

Rauner

33%

McCann

8%

Jackson

5%
33%
RaunerPritzker+16
Sept. 27-Oct. 5
2,000A
Sept. 27-Oct. 5
2,000A
Pritzker
42%
Pritzker
42%

Pritzker

42%

Rauner

24%

McCann

5%

Jackson

3%
24%
RaunerPritzker+18
Sept. 27-Oct. 5
968LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 5
968LV
Pritzker
50%
Pritzker
50%

Pritzker

50%

Rauner

30%

McCann

6%

Jackson

3%
30%
RaunerPritzker+20
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
1,208LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
1,208LV
Pritzker
47%
Pritzker
47%

Pritzker

47%

Rauner

32%

McCann

7%

Jackson

6%
32%
RaunerPritzker+16
Sept. 24-29
715LV
Sept. 24-29
715LV
Pritzker
49%
Pritzker
49%

Pritzker

49%

Rauner

27%

McCann

4%

Jackson

4%
27%
RaunerPritzker+22
Sept. 21-25
1,007LV
Sept. 21-25
1,007LV
Pritzker
48%
Pritzker
48%

Pritzker

48%

Rauner

32%

McCann

4%

Jackson

3%
32%
RaunerPritzker+16
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Candidate is an incumbent

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