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Who’s ahead in the New York governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, New York, 2018, General election

Nov. 1-3
450RV
Nov. 1-3
450RV
Research Co.
 Cuomo
54%
 Cuomo
54%

Cuomo

54%

Molinaro

37%
37%
Molinaro  Cuomo+17
Oct. 28-Nov. 1
641LV
Oct. 28-Nov. 1
641LV
Siena College
 Cuomo
49%
 Cuomo
49%

Cuomo

49%

Molinaro

36%

Sharpe

3%

Miner

2%

Hawkins

2%
36%
 MolinaroCuomo+13
Oct. 10-16
852LV
Oct. 10-16
852LV
Quinnipiac University
 Cuomo
58%
 Cuomo
58%

Cuomo

58%

Molinaro

35%
35%
Molinaro  Cuomo+23
Oct. 4-8
783RV
Oct. 4-8
783RV
Gravis Marketing
 Cuomo
48%
 Cuomo
48%

Cuomo

48%

Molinaro

25%

Sharpe

13%

Miner

8%

Hawkins

6%
25%
 MolinaroCuomo+23
Sept. 20-27
701LV
Sept. 20-27
701LV
Siena College
 Cuomo
56%
 Cuomo
56%

Cuomo

56%

Molinaro

38%
38%
Molinaro  Cuomo+18
Sept. 20-27
701LV
Sept. 20-27
701LV
Siena College
 Cuomo
50%
 Cuomo
50%

Cuomo

50%

Molinaro

28%

Sharpe

2%

Hawkins

1%

Miner

1%
28%
 MolinaroCuomo+22
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