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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 31, 2021

Governor, New Jersey, 2021, General election

Oct. 31-Nov. 1
450LV
Oct. 31-Nov. 1
450LV
Murphy
50%
Murphy
50%

Murphy

50%

Ciattarelli

44%
44%
Ciattarelli  Murphy+6

Governor, Virginia, 2021, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 31-Nov. 1
450LV
Oct. 31-Nov. 1
450LV
McAuliffe
47%
McAuliffe
47%

McAuliffe

47%

Youngkin

48%

Blanding

2%
48%
YoungkinYoungkin+1
Oct. 26-Nov. 1
747LV
Oct. 26-Nov. 1
747LV
McAuliffe
50%
McAuliffe
50%

McAuliffe

50%

Youngkin

47%
47%
Youngkin  McAuliffe+3

Oct. 30, 2021

Governor, New Jersey, 2021, General election

Oct. 29-31
1,085LV
Oct. 29-31
1,085LV
Murphy
49%
Murphy
49%

Murphy

49%

Ciattarelli

45%
45%
Ciattarelli  Murphy+4

Governor, Virginia, 2021, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 29-31
1,081LV
Oct. 29-31
1,081LV
McAuliffe
47%
McAuliffe
47%

McAuliffe

47%

Youngkin

49%
49%
Youngkin  Youngkin+2

Oct. 29, 2021

Governor, Virginia, 2021, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 27-30
500LV
Oct. 27-30
500LV
McAuliffe
45%
McAuliffe
45%

McAuliffe

45%

Youngkin

47%

Blanding

2%
47%
YoungkinYoungkin+2

Oct. 28, 2021

Governor, Virginia, 2021, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 27-29
611LV
Oct. 27-29
611LV
McAuliffe
46%
McAuliffe
46%

McAuliffe

46%

Youngkin

49%

Blanding

2%
49%
YoungkinYoungkin+3

Oct. 27, 2021

Governor, New Jersey, 2021, General election

Oct. 23-28
823RV
Oct. 23-28
823RV
Murphy
53%
Murphy
53%

Murphy

53%

Ciattarelli

44%
44%
Ciattarelli  Murphy+9

Governor, Virginia, 2021, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 14-28
571LV
Oct. 14-28
571LV
McAuliffe
48%
McAuliffe
48%

McAuliffe

48%

Youngkin

47%

Blanding

1%
47%
YoungkinMcAuliffe+1
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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