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Who’s ahead in the New Jersey governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 22, 2025

Governor, New Jersey, 2025, Democratic primary

Jan. 22-23, 2025
615LV
Jan. 22-23, 2025
615LV
Sherrill
16%
Sherrill
16%

Sherrill

16%

Spiller

11%

Baraka

9%

Sweeney

9%

Fulop

9%

Gottheimer

5%
11%
SpillerSherrill+5

Jan. 20, 2025

Governor, New Jersey, 2025, Republican primary

Jan. 18-21, 2025
334LV
Jan. 18-21, 2025
334LV
Ciattarelli
26%
Ciattarelli
26%

Ciattarelli

26%

Spadea

13%

Bramnick

4%

Bacon

3%

Herberg

3%

Canfield

2%

Durr

2%

Fazzone

2%
13%
SpadeaCiattarelli+14

Governor, New Jersey, 2025, Democratic primary

Jan. 18-21, 2025
437LV
Jan. 18-21, 2025
437LV
Sherrill
10%
Sherrill
10%

Sherrill

10%

Spiller

8%

Baraka

8%

Gottheimer

7%

Sweeney

7%

Fulop

4%
8%
SpillerSherrill+2

Nov. 26, 2024

Governor, New Jersey, 2025, Democratic primary

Nov. 23-27, 2024
803LV
Nov. 23-27, 2024
803LV
Sherrill
25%
Sherrill
25%

Sherrill

25%

Baraka

13%

Gottheimer

10%

Sweeney

8%

Fulop

8%

Spiller

7%
13%
BarakaSherrill+12

Nov. 23, 2024

Governor, New Jersey, 2025, Democratic primary

Nov. 20-24, 2024
800LV
Nov. 20-24, 2024
800LV
Sherrill
24%
Sherrill
24%

Sherrill

24%

Sweeney

11%

Gottheimer

9%

Baraka

9%

Spiller

5%

Fulop

4%
11%
SweeneySherrill+13

July 13, 2024

Governor, New Jersey, 2025, Democratic primary

July 13-14, 2024
802LV
July 13-14, 2024
802LV
Sherrill
18%
Sherrill
18%

Sherrill

18%

Baraka

12%

Gottheimer

8%

Sweeney

8%

Fulop

7%

Spiller

2%
12%
BarakaSherrill+6

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