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Who’s ahead in the Virginia governor’s race?

An updating average for each candidate, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 25, 2024

Governor, Virginia, 2025, Democratic primary

March 25-26
734LV
March 25-26
734LV
Spanberger
44%
Spanberger
44%

Spanberger

44%

Stoney

11%
11%
Stoney  Spanberger+33

March 13, 2024

Governor, Virginia, 2025, Republican primary

March 13-14
510LV
March 13-14
510LV
Sears
44%
Sears
44%

Sears

44%

Miyares

16%
16%
Miyares  Sears+28

Jan. 16, 2024

Governor, Virginia, 2025, Democratic primary

Jan. 11-17
RV
Jan. 11-17
RV
Spanberger
52%
Spanberger
52%

Spanberger

52%

Stoney

8%
8%
Stoney  Spanberger+44

Sept. 9, 2023

Governor, Virginia, 2025, General election

Sept. 7-10
834LV
Sept. 7-10
834LV
Spanberger
27%
Spanberger
27%

Spanberger

27%

Sears

26%
26%
Sears  Spanberger+1
Sept. 7-10
834LV
Sept. 7-10
834LV
Spanberger
26%
Spanberger
26%

Spanberger

26%

Miyares

22%
22%
Miyares  Spanberger+4

Feb. 23, 2023

Governor, Virginia, 2025, Republican primary

Feb. 21-24
500LV
Feb. 21-24
500LV
Sears
48%
Sears
48%

Sears

48%

Miyares

17%
17%
Miyares  Sears+31
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Candidate is an incumbent

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