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Who’s ahead in the Alaska House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, AK-1, 2022

400LV
Nov.2-3
400LV
Peltola
56%
Peltola
56%

Peltola

56%

Palin

44%
44%
Palin  Peltola+12
400LV
Nov.2-3
400LV
Peltola
49%
Peltola
49%

Peltola

49%

Palin

26%

Begich

25%
26%
PalinPeltola+23
400LV
Nov.2-3
400LV
Peltola
48%
Peltola
48%

Peltola

48%

Palin

25%

Begich

23%

Bye

3%
25%
PalinPeltola+23
1,276LV
Oct.19-22
1,276LV
Peltola
56%
Peltola
56%

Peltola

56%

Begich

44%
44%
Begich  Peltola+12
1,276LV
Oct.19-22
1,276LV
Peltola
57%
Peltola
57%

Peltola

57%

Palin

43%
43%
Palin  Peltola+13
1,276LV
Oct.19-22
1,276LV
Peltola
51%
Peltola
51%

Peltola

51%

Palin

27%

Begich

22%
27%
PalinPeltola+24
1,276LV
Oct.19-22
1,276LV
Peltola
49%
Peltola
49%

Peltola

49%

Palin

26%

Begich

21%

Bye

5%
26%
PalinPeltola+23
411LV
Oct.4-8
411LV
Peltola
52%
Peltola
52%

Peltola

52%

Begich

48%
48%
Begich  Peltola+3
411LV
Oct.4-8
411LV
Peltola
46%
Peltola
46%

Peltola

46%

Begich

30%

Palin

24%
30%
BegichPeltola+17
411LV
Oct.4-8
411LV
Peltola
45%
Peltola
45%

Peltola

45%

Begich

28%

Palin

23%

Bye

3%
28%
BegichPeltola+18
1,282LV
Sep.25-27
1,282LV
Peltola
56%
Peltola
56%

Peltola

56%

Palin

44%
44%
Palin  Peltola+13
1,282LV
Sep.25-27
1,282LV
Peltola
54%
Peltola
54%

Peltola

54%

Begich

46%
46%
Begich  Peltola+9
1,282LV
Sep.25-27
1,282LV
Peltola
50%
Peltola
50%

Peltola

50%

Begich

26%

Palin

24%
26%
BegichPeltola+23
1,282LV
Sep.25-27
1,282LV
Peltola
49%
Peltola
49%

Peltola

49%

Begich

26%

Palin

23%

Bye

2%
26%
BegichPeltola+23
394LV
Sep.6-14
394LV
Peltola
58%
Peltola
58%

Peltola

58%

Palin

42%
42%
Palin  Peltola+15
394LV
Sep.6-14
394LV
Peltola
51%
Peltola
51%

Peltola

51%

Palin

28%

Begich

21%
28%
PalinPeltola+23
394LV
Sep.6-14
394LV
Peltola
50%
Peltola
50%

Peltola

50%

Palin

27%

Begich

20%

Bye

3%
27%
PalinPeltola+23
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Candidate is an incumbent

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