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Who’s ahead in the Maryland House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 1, 2022

U.S. House, MD-1, 2022, General election

Oct. 28-Nov. 2
597LV
Oct. 28-Nov. 2
597LV
Washington College
Mizeur
39%
 Mizeur
39%

Mizeur

39%

Harris

45%

Thibeault

3%
45%
 HarrisHarris+6
Oct. 28-Nov. 2
686RV
Oct. 28-Nov. 2
686RV
Washington College
Mizeur
36%
 Mizeur
36%

Mizeur

36%

Harris

44%

Thibeault

2%
44%
 HarrisHarris+7

Oct. 18, 2022

U.S. House, MD-2, 2022, General election

Oct. 18-19
300LV
Oct. 18-19
300LV
KAConsulting
 Ruppersberger
43%
 Ruppersberger
43%

Ruppersberger

43%

Ambrose

34%
34%
Ambrose  Ruppersberger+9

U.S. House, MD-6, 2022, General election

Oct. 18-19
300LV
Oct. 18-19
300LV
KAConsulting
 Trone
42%
 Trone
42%

Trone

42%

Parrott

37%
37%
Parrott  Trone+5

Aug. 8, 2022

U.S. House, MD-6, 2022, General election

Aug. 3-9
400LV
Aug. 3-9
400LV
RMG Research
 Trone
43%
 Trone
43%

Trone

43%

Parrott

45%
45%
Parrott  Parrott+2

April 9, 2022

U.S. House, MD-6, 2022, General election

April 7-10
300LV
April 7-10
300LV
McLaughlin & Associates
 Trone
45%
 Trone
45%

Trone

45%

Buckel

40%
40%
Buckel  Trone+5
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