See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 20, 2020, at 6:27 PM

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Who’s ahead in Michigan?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Sept. 18, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Sep 11-15, 2020
517 RV
Sep 11-15, 2020
517RVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+11
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Sep 10-15, 2020
600 LV
Sep 10-15, 2020
600LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

40%
40%
TrumpBiden+8
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Sep 12-14, 2020
930 LV
Sep 12-14, 2020
930LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

39%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+10
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Sep 10-15, 2020
600 LV
Sep 10-15, 2020
600LVPeters
45%

Peters

45%

James

41%
41%
JamesPeters+4
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Sep 12-14, 2020
930 LV
Sep 12-14, 2020
930LVPeters
51%

Peters

51%

James

35%
35%
JamesPeters+16

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 16, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
MI-3MI-3
Sep 8-10, 2020
400 LV
Sep 8-10, 2020
400LVScholten
41%

Scholten

41%

Meijer

41%
41%
MeijerEven

Sept. 10, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Aug 28-Sep 8, 2020
1,600 LV
Aug 28-Sep 8, 2020
1,600LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+7
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Sep 2-3, 2020
1,000 LV
Sep 2-3, 2020
1,000LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

44%
44%
TrumpBiden+9
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Aug 28-Sep 8, 2020
1,600 LV
Aug 28-Sep 8, 2020
1,600LVPeters
45%

Peters

45%

James

41%

Squier

2%

Willis

1%

Dern

0%
MorePeters+4
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Sep 2-3, 2020
1,000 LV
Sep 2-3, 2020
1,000LVPeters
48%

Peters

48%

James

40%
40%
JamesPeters+7

Sept. 9, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Aug 29-Sep 7, 2020
1,455 LV
Aug 29-Sep 7, 2020
1,455LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+10
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Sep 4-6, 2020
876 LV
Sep 4-6, 2020
876LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+6
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Sep 4-6, 2020
876 LV
Sep 4-6, 2020
876LVPeters
50%

Peters

50%

James

46%
46%
JamesPeters+4
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Aug 30-Sep 3, 2020
967 LV
Aug 30-Sep 3, 2020
967LVPeters
50%

Peters

50%

James

38%
38%
JamesPeters+12

Sept. 8, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Sep 1-3, 2020
600 LV
Sep 1-3, 2020
600LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+5
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Aug 30-Sep 3, 2020
967 LV
Aug 30-Sep 3, 2020
967LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

40%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+11
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Sep 1-3, 2020
600 LV
Sep 1-3, 2020
600LVPeters
44%

Peters

44%

James

41%
41%
JamesPeters+3
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