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Who’s ahead in the Michigan race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 28, 2023

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

Nov. 27-29
874LV
Nov. 27-29
874LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Haley

25%

Kennedy

18%
25%
HaleyBiden+12
Nov. 27-29
874LV
Nov. 27-29
874LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

DeSantis

30%

Kennedy

13%
30%
DeSantisBiden+9
Nov. 27-29
874LV
Nov. 27-29
874LV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

9%
39%
TrumpTrump+1

Nov. 15, 2023

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

Nov. 10-16
600LV
Nov. 10-16
600LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Haley

47%
47%
Haley  Haley+11
Nov. 10-16
600LV
Nov. 10-16
600LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+5

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024

Nov. 10-16
600LV
Nov. 10-16
600LV
Slotkin
40%
Slotkin
40%

Slotkin

40%

Craig

38%
38%
Craig  Slotkin+2
Nov. 10-16
600LV
Nov. 10-16
600LV
Slotkin
39%
Slotkin
39%

Slotkin

39%

Rogers

37%
37%
Rogers  Slotkin+2

Nov. 6, 2023

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

Oct. 30-Nov. 7
700RV
Oct. 30-Nov. 7
700RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

37%

Kennedy

10%

West

2%
37%
TrumpBiden+1
Oct. 30-Nov. 7
700RV
Oct. 30-Nov. 7
700RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Even

Nov. 3, 2023

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

Oct. 30-Nov. 4
788LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 4
788LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Biden+1
Oct. 30-Nov. 4
1,000RV
Oct. 30-Nov. 4
1,000RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Biden+2

Nov. 2, 2023

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616LV
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

34%

Kennedy

25%
34%
TrumpEven
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616RV
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616RV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Trump

34%

Kennedy

26%
34%
TrumpTrump+3
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616LV
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Haley

46%
46%
Haley  Haley+10
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616RV
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616RV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Haley

45%
45%
Haley  Haley+10
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616LV
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

DeSantis

43%
43%
DeSantis  Biden+1
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616RV
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

DeSantis

42%
42%
DeSantis  Even
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616LV
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616RV
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616LV
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616LV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Even
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616RV
Oct. 22-Nov. 3
616RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5
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