UPDATED Nov. 23, 2021, at 9:29 AM

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Who’s ahead in Michigan?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Nov 11-16, 2021
600 LV
Nov 11-16, 2021
600LVBiden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump Sr.

53%
53%
Trump Sr.Trump Sr.+12

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 20, 2021

Governor
Governor
Mich. Mich.
Sep 13-15, 2021
1,097 LV
Sep 13-15, 2021
1,097LVWhitmer
44%

Whitmer

44%

Craig

50%
50%
CraigCraig+6

Sept. 19, 2021

Governor
Governor
Mich. Mich.
Sep 18-19, 2021
600 LV
Sep 18-19, 2021
600LVWhitmer
47%

Whitmer

47%

Craig

46%
46%
CraigWhitmer+1

Aug. 21, 2021

Governor
Governor
Mich. Mich.
Aug 9-15, 2021
600 LV
Aug 9-15, 2021
600LVWhitmer
45%

Whitmer

45%

Craig

44%
44%
CraigWhitmer+1

June 8, 2021

Governor
Governor
Mich. Mich.
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809 LV
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809LVWhitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

James

45%
45%
JamesWhitmer+5
Governor
Mich. Mich.
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809 LV
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809LVWhitmer
38%

Whitmer

38%

Craig

45%
45%
CraigCraig+7
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