UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 1:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Michigan race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 18, 2022

Governor, Michigan, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600LV
Sep.15-19
600LV
Whitmer
55%
Whitmer
55%

Whitmer

55%

Dixon

39%
39%
Dixon  Whitmer+16

Sept. 13, 2022

U.S. House, MI-7, 2022

500LV
Sep.12-14
500LV
Slotkin
56%
Slotkin
56%

Slotkin

56%

Barrett

38%
38%
Barrett  Slotkin+18

Sept. 12, 2022

Aug. 31, 2022

Aug. 24, 2022

Governor, Michigan, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,080LV
Aug.22-25
1,080LV
Whitmer
49%
Whitmer
49%

Whitmer

49%

Dixon

45%

Buzuma

2%
45%
DixonWhitmer+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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