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Who’s ahead in the Michigan race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending April 14, 2022

U.S. House, MI-7, 2022

600RV
Apr.10-15
600RV
Slotkin
40%
Slotkin
40%

Slotkin

40%

Barrett

34%
34%
Barrett  Slotkin+6

Feb. 3, 2022

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

632LV
Feb.1-4
632LV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump Sr.

40%
40%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+2

Governor, Michigan, 2022

632LV
Feb.1-4
632LV
Whitmer
44%
Whitmer
44%

Whitmer

44%

Craig

44%
44%
Craig  Whitmer+1

Jan. 26, 2022

U.S. House, MI-10, 2022

500RV
Jan.25-27
500RV
Marlinga
46%
Marlinga
46%

Marlinga

46%

James

43%
43%
James  Marlinga+3
500RV
Jan.25-27
500RV
Taylor
39%
Taylor
39%

Taylor

39%

Esshaki

34%
34%
Esshaki  Taylor+5
500RV
Jan.25-27
500RV
Marlinga
52%
Marlinga
52%

Marlinga

52%

Esshaki

31%
31%
Esshaki  Marlinga+21
500RV
Jan.25-27
500RV
Taylor
46%
Taylor
46%

Taylor

46%

James

42%
42%
James  Taylor+4

Jan. 19, 2022

Governor, Michigan, 2022

600LV
Jan.15-20
600LV
Whitmer
46%
Whitmer
46%

Whitmer

46%

Craig

41%
41%
Craig  Whitmer+5

Jan. 6, 2022

Governor, Michigan, 2022

600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
50%
Whitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

Dixon

31%
31%
Dixon  Whitmer+19
600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
50%
Whitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

Rinke

33%
33%
Rinke  Whitmer+17
600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
50%
Whitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

Soldano

33%
33%
Soldano  Whitmer+16
600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
49%
Whitmer
49%

Whitmer

49%

Craig

39%
39%
Craig  Whitmer+10
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