UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Who’s ahead in Michigan?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Aug. 21, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Mich.Mich.
Aug 9-15, 2021
600 LV
Aug 9-15, 2021
600LVWhitmer
45%

Whitmer

45%

Craig

44%
44%
CraigWhitmer+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

June 8, 2021

Governor
Governor
Mich.Mich.
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809 LV
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809LVWhitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

James

45%
45%
JamesWhitmer+5
Governor
Mich.Mich.
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809 LV
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809LVWhitmer
38%

Whitmer

38%

Craig

45%
45%
CraigCraig+7

May 13, 2021

Governor
Governor
Mich.Mich.
May 9-11, 2021
800 RV
May 9-11, 2021
800RVWhitmer
49%

Whitmer

49%

James

39%
39%
JamesWhitmer+10
Governor
Mich.Mich.
May 9-11, 2021
800 RV
May 9-11, 2021
800RVWhitmer
48%

Whitmer

48%

Craig

42%
42%
CraigWhitmer+6

March 1, 2021

Governor
Governor
Mich.Mich.
Feb 19-25, 2021
600 LV
Feb 19-25, 2021
600LVWhitmer
46%

Whitmer

46%

Miller

45%
45%
MillerWhitmer+1

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,549 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,549LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+6
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,549 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,549RVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+7
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