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Who’s ahead in the Michigan ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 11, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

March 8-12
1,487RV
March 8-12
1,487RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

10%

Stein

4%

West

3%
41%
TrumpTrump+5
March 8-12
1,487RV
March 8-12
1,487RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3

Feb. 24, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

Feb. 22-25
600LV
Feb. 22-25
600LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Even

Feb. 23, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

Feb. 20-24
1,000RV
Feb. 20-24
1,000RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

6%

West

1%

Stein

1%
42%
TrumpTrump+4
Feb. 20-24
1,000RV
Feb. 20-24
1,000RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+2

President: Democratic primary, Michigan, 2024

Feb. 20-24
406LV
Feb. 20-24
406LV
Biden
77%
Biden
77%

Biden

77%

Phillips

7%
7%
Phillips  Biden+69

President: Republican primary, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Feb. 20-24
486LV
Feb. 20-24
486LV
Trump
76%
Trump
76%

Trump

76%

Haley

24%
24%
Haley  Trump+51

Feb. 22, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

Feb. 22-23
1,019RV
Feb. 22-23
1,019RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+10

Feb. 21, 2024

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, Republican primary

Feb. 19-22
600LV
Feb. 19-22
600LV
Rogers
23%
Rogers
23%

Rogers

23%

Meijer

7%

Pensler

2%
7%
MeijerRogers+16
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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