UPDATED Jun. 9, 2021, at 5:00 PM

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Who’s ahead in Michigan?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Mich.Mich.
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809 LV
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809LVWhitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

James

45%
45%
JamesWhitmer+5
Governor
Mich.Mich.
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809 LV
May 26-Jun 4, 2021
809LVWhitmer
38%

Whitmer

38%

Craig

45%
45%
CraigCraig+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

May 13, 2021

Governor
Governor
Mich.Mich.
May 9-11, 2021
800 RV
May 9-11, 2021
800RVWhitmer
49%

Whitmer

49%

James

39%
39%
JamesWhitmer+10
Governor
Mich.Mich.
May 9-11, 2021
800 RV
May 9-11, 2021
800RVWhitmer
48%

Whitmer

48%

Craig

42%
42%
CraigWhitmer+6

March 1, 2021

Governor
Governor
Mich.Mich.
Feb 19-25, 2021
600 LV
Feb 19-25, 2021
600LVWhitmer
46%

Whitmer

46%

Miller

45%
45%
MillerWhitmer+1

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,549 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,549LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+6
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,549 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
4,549RVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+7

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+7
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
383 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
383LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

3%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+7
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
413 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
413LVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+9
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 30-31, 2020
1,033 LV
Oct 30-31, 2020
1,033LVBiden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

48%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreTrump+3
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,736 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,736LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

45%
45%
TrumpBiden+7
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 26-29, 2020
1,212 LV
Oct 26-29, 2020
1,212LVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

41%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+13
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,000 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
1,000LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpEven
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 10-13, 2020
972 LV
Oct 10-13, 2020
972LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

42%

Jorgensen

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+9
President: general election Mich.
Mich.
Oct 9-10, 2020
827 LV
Oct 9-10, 2020
827LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

41%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+10
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450LVPeters
52%

Peters

52%

James

37%
37%
JamesPeters+15
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
383 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
383LVPeters
51%

Peters

51%

James

46%
46%
JamesPeters+5
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
393 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
393LVPeters
54%

Peters

54%

James

46%
46%
JamesPeters+7
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,736 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,736LVPeters
49%

Peters

49%

James

43%
43%
JamesPeters+6
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