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Who’s ahead in the Michigan ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending April 15, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

April 11-16
1,126RV
April 11-16
1,126RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+3
April 11-16
1,126RV
April 11-16
1,126RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

9%

West

2%

Stein

2%
42%
TrumpTrump+2

April 10, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

April 8-11
600LV
April 8-11
600LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

37%

Kennedy

13%

Stein

2%

West

1%
37%
TrumpTrump+3
April 8-11
600LV
April 8-11
600LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Trump+6

March 27, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

March 25-28
709LV
March 25-28
709LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

9%
43%
TrumpTrump+3
March 25-28
709LV
March 25-28
709LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+4

March 23, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

45%

Stein

3%

Mapstead

2%
45%
TrumpTrump+5
March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

12%

West

2%

Stein

2%

Mapstead

1%
39%
TrumpTrump+2

March 18, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024

March 12-19
400LV
March 12-19
400LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+6
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