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Who’s ahead in the Michigan ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 3, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4, 2024
1,113LV
Nov. 3-4, 2024
1,113LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Nov. 3-4, 2024
1,113LV
Nov. 3-4, 2024
1,113LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
50%
TrumpTrump+2

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4, 2024
1,113LV
Nov. 3-4, 2024
1,113LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Rogers

48%
48%
Rogers  Slotkin+1

Nov. 2, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,079LV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,079LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Nov. 1-3, 2024
858RV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
858RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Slotkin
50%
Slotkin
50%

Slotkin

50%

Rogers

44%
44%
Rogers  Slotkin+6
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,079LV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,079LV
Slotkin
47%
Slotkin
47%

Slotkin

47%

Rogers

47%
47%
Rogers  Even
Nov. 1-3, 2024
858RV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
858RV
Slotkin
50%
Slotkin
50%

Slotkin

50%

Rogers

49%
49%
Rogers  Slotkin+2

Nov. 1, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-2, 2024
800LV
Nov. 1-2, 2024
800LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Even
Nov. 1-2, 2024
1,198LV
Nov. 1-2, 2024
1,198LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Nov. 1-2, 2024
1,198LV
Nov. 1-2, 2024
1,198LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+2
Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2024
790LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2024
790LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%

West

0%
45%
TrumpEven
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Even
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998RV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998RV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

44%

Stein

2%

Oliver

2%

West

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998RV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+3
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
585LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
585LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
585LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
585LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Kennedy

0%
48%
TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
733RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
733RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
713LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
713LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 8-Nov. 2, 2024
400LV
Oct. 8-Nov. 2, 2024
400LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-2, 2024
800LV
Nov. 1-2, 2024
800LV
Slotkin
48%
Slotkin
48%

Slotkin

48%

Rogers

48%
48%
Rogers  Slotkin+1
Nov. 1-2, 2024
1,198LV
Nov. 1-2, 2024
1,198LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Rogers

47%
47%
Rogers  Slotkin+1
Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2024
790LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2024
790LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Rogers

45%
45%
Rogers  Slotkin+4
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998LV
Slotkin
48%
Slotkin
48%

Slotkin

48%

Rogers

46%
46%
Rogers  Slotkin+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998RV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
998RV
Slotkin
45%
Slotkin
45%

Slotkin

45%

Rogers

45%
45%
Rogers  Even
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
585LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
585LV
Slotkin
50%
Slotkin
50%

Slotkin

50%

Rogers

48%
48%
Rogers  Slotkin+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
585LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2024
585LV
Slotkin
48%
Slotkin
48%

Slotkin

48%

Rogers

46%

Solis-Mullen

1%
46%
RogersSlotkin+2
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
733RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
733RV
Slotkin
47%
Slotkin
47%

Slotkin

47%

Rogers

42%
42%
Rogers  Slotkin+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
713LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
713LV
Slotkin
47%
Slotkin
47%

Slotkin

47%

Rogers

43%
43%
Rogers  Slotkin+4

Oct. 31, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
2,092LV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
2,092LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

45%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
45%
TrumpHarris+5
Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
1,941RV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
1,941RV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

44%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
44%
TrumpHarris+7
Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
2,092A
Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
2,092A
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

44%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
44%
TrumpHarris+6

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 23-Nov. 1, 2024
1,112LV
Oct. 23-Nov. 1, 2024
1,112LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Rogers

41%
41%
Rogers  Slotkin+8

Oct. 30, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,136LV
Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,136LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,136LV
Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,136LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 29-31, 2024
800LV
Oct. 29-31, 2024
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Oct. 28-31, 2024
1,731LV
Oct. 28-31, 2024
1,731LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
47%
TrumpEven
Oct. 25-31, 2024
942LV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
942LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 25-31, 2024
985RV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
985RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 25-31, 2024
942LV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
942LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%
45%
TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 25-31, 2024
985RV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
985RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%
45%
TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 22-31, 2024
1,108LV
Oct. 22-31, 2024
1,108LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,136LV
Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,136LV
Slotkin
50%
Slotkin
50%

Slotkin

50%

Rogers

46%
46%
Rogers  Slotkin+3
Oct. 29-31, 2024
800LV
Oct. 29-31, 2024
800LV
Slotkin
47%
Slotkin
47%

Slotkin

47%

Rogers

46%
46%
Rogers  Slotkin+1
Oct. 25-31, 2024
942LV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
942LV
Slotkin
51%
Slotkin
51%

Slotkin

51%

Rogers

42%
42%
Rogers  Slotkin+9
Oct. 25-31, 2024
985RV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
985RV
Slotkin
51%
Slotkin
51%

Slotkin

51%

Rogers

41%
41%
Rogers  Slotkin+10
Oct. 21-31, 2024
400LV
Oct. 21-31, 2024
400LV
Slotkin
51%
Slotkin
51%

Slotkin

51%

Rogers

49%
49%
Rogers  Slotkin+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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