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Who’s ahead in the Michigan ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 8, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 8-9
800LV
Oct. 8-9
800LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 8-9
800LV
Oct. 8-9
800LV
Slotkin
46%
Slotkin
46%

Slotkin

46%

Rogers

45%
45%
Rogers  Slotkin+1

Oct. 7, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
950LV
Oct. 5-8
950LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
950LV
Oct. 5-8
950LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Rogers

44%
44%
Rogers  Slotkin+5

Oct. 6, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-7
450LV
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%

Oliver

1%

West

1%

Stein

0%

Terry

0%
50%
TrumpTrump+3

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-7
450LV
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Slotkin
52%
Slotkin
52%

Slotkin

52%

Rogers

47%
47%
Rogers  Slotkin+5
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Slotkin
48%
Slotkin
48%

Slotkin

48%

Rogers

48%
48%
Rogers  Even

Oct. 3, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 1-4
600LV
Oct. 1-4
600LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

5%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

1%
44%
TrumpHarris+3

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 1-4
600LV
Oct. 1-4
600LV
Slotkin
47%
Slotkin
47%

Slotkin

47%

Rogers

43%

Solis-Mullen

2%

Marsh

1%

Dern

1%

Stein

1%
43%
RogersSlotkin+4

Oct. 1, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 27-Oct. 2
839LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
839LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
46%
TrumpHarris+2

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 27-Oct. 2
839LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
839LV
Slotkin
45%
Slotkin
45%

Slotkin

45%

Rogers

39%

Solis-Mullen

1%

Stein

1%

Marsh

1%

Dern

0%
39%
RogersSlotkin+6
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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