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Who’s ahead in the Nebraska race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 9, 2022

U.S. House, NE-2, 2022

564LV
May 6-10
564LV
Vargas
42%
Vargas
42%

Vargas

42%

Bacon

39%
39%
Bacon  Vargas+3

March 28, 2022

U.S. House, NE-2, 2022

550LV
Mar.26-29
550LV
Vargas
40%
Vargas
40%

Vargas

40%

Bacon

39%
39%
Bacon  Vargas+1

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election, NE-2, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

191LV
Oct.30-Nov.2
191LV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

5%
44%
TrumpBiden+6
547LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
547LV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

47%

Jorgensen

2%
47%
TrumpBiden+3

President: general election, Nebraska, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,742LV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,742LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

56%
56%
Trump  Trump+13
1,742RV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,742RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+10

U.S. House, NE-2, 2020

191LV
Oct.30-Nov.2
191LV
Eastman
46%
Eastman
46%

Eastman

46%

Bacon

47%

Schaeffer

5%
47%
BaconBacon+1
547LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
547LV
Eastman
48%
Eastman
48%

Eastman

48%

Bacon

47%

Schaeffer

2%
47%
BaconEastman+1

Oct. 29, 2020

President: general election, NE-2, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

806LV
Oct.29-30
806LV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Biden+3

U.S. House, NE-2, 2020

806LV
Oct.29-30
806LV
Eastman
48%
Eastman
48%

Eastman

48%

Bacon

51%
51%
Bacon  Bacon+3

Oct. 20, 2020

U.S. Senate, Nebraska, 2020

625LV
Oct.19-21
625LV
Janicek
18%
Janicek
18%

Janicek

18%

Sasse

47%

Siadek

6%
47%
SasseSasse+30
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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