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Who’s ahead in Arkansas?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Arkansas, 2024

Oct. 1-4
435RV
Oct. 1-4
435RV
Biden
24%
Biden
24%

Biden

24%

Trump

57%
57%
Trump  Trump+32
Aug. 31-Sept. 7
382LV
Aug. 31-Sept. 7
382LV
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

DeSantis

49%
49%
DeSantis  DeSantis+18
Aug. 31-Sept. 7
382LV
Aug. 31-Sept. 7
382LV
Biden
33%
Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Trump

58%
58%
Trump  Trump+25
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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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