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Who’s ahead in California?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, California, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 25-Oct. 1
3,045LV
Sept. 25-Oct. 1
3,045LV
Harris
57%
Harris
57%

Harris

57%

Trump

35%

Kennedy

2%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
35%
TrumpHarris+22
Sept. 12-25
1,685LV
Sept. 12-25
1,685LV
Harris
58%
Harris
58%

Harris

58%

Trump

36%

Kennedy

2%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%

De la Cruz

0%
36%
TrumpHarris+22
Aug. 21-Sept. 21
400LV
Aug. 21-Sept. 21
400LV
Harris
64%
Harris
64%

Harris

64%

Trump

36%
36%
Trump  Harris+28
Sept. 11-16
1,054LV
Sept. 11-16
1,054LV
Biden
51%
Biden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

34%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

3%

De la Cruz

2%

West

0%
34%
TrumpBiden+17
Sept. 11-16
1,054LV
Sept. 11-16
1,054LV
Harris
59%
Harris
59%

Harris

59%

Trump

34%

Kennedy

3%

Stein

2%

De la Cruz

2%

West

0%
34%
TrumpHarris+25
Aug. 29-Sept. 9
1,071LV
Aug. 29-Sept. 9
1,071LV
Harris
60%
Harris
60%

Harris

60%

Trump

29%

Kennedy

4%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

De la Cruz

1%
29%
TrumpHarris+31
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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