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Who’s ahead in California?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, California, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 16-23
250RV
April 16-23
250RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

28%

Kennedy

12%

Stein

2%

West

2%
28%
TrumpBiden+20
April 16-23
250RV
April 16-23
250RV
Biden
59%
Biden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

34%
34%
Trump  Biden+25
April 13-21
740LV
April 13-21
740LV
Kennedy
47%
Kennedy
47%

Kennedy

47%

Trump

35%
35%
Trump  Kennedy+13
April 13-21
740LV
April 13-21
740LV
Biden
51%
Biden
51%

Biden

51%

Kennedy

40%
40%
Kennedy  Biden+11
March 19-25
1,084LV
March 19-25
1,084LV
Biden
54%
Biden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

31%
31%
Trump  Biden+23
Feb. 29-March 3
692LV
Feb. 29-March 3
692LV
Biden
56%
Biden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Biden+19
Feb. 29-March 3
740RV
Feb. 29-March 3
740RV
Biden
54%
Biden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

36%
36%
Trump  Biden+18
Feb. 24-27
1,000LV
Feb. 24-27
1,000LV
Biden
51%
Biden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

32%

Kennedy

6%

West

2%

Stein

1%
32%
TrumpBiden+19
Feb. 24-27
1,000LV
Feb. 24-27
1,000LV
Biden
57%
Biden
57%

Biden

57%

Trump

35%
35%
Trump  Biden+21
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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