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Who’s ahead in Michigan?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 28-May 9
616LV
April 28-May 9
616LV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Biden+1
April 28-May 9
616LV
April 28-May 9
616LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

1%

Mapstead

1%

West

0%
39%
TrumpBiden+3
April 28-May 9
616RV
April 28-May 9
616RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+7
April 28-May 9
616RV
April 28-May 9
616RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

1%

Mapstead

1%

West

0%
38%
TrumpTrump+2
May 2-4
522LV
May 2-4
522LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+6
April 25-29
1,000RV
April 25-29
1,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

5%

Stein

1%

West

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+1
April 25-29
1,000RV
April 25-29
1,000RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+4
April 19-25
1,262LV
April 19-25
1,262LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

3%
43%
TrumpBiden+2
April 19-25
1,262LV
April 19-25
1,262LV
Biden
51%
Biden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Biden+2
April 20-21
804RV
April 20-21
804RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+15
April 13-21
640LV
April 13-21
640LV
Kennedy
42%
Kennedy
42%

Kennedy

42%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Kennedy+1
April 13-21
640LV
April 13-21
640LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Kennedy

44%
44%
Kennedy  Even
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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