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Who’s ahead in Washington?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Washington, 2024

Sept. 3-6
403RV
Sept. 3-6
403RV
Elway Research
 Harris
53%
 Harris
53%

Harris

53%

Trump

32%
32%
Trump  Harris+21
July 24-25
581LV
July 24-25
581LV
Public Policy Polling
 Harris
52%
 Harris
52%

Harris

52%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

6%
38%
 TrumpHarris+14
July 12-17
500RV
July 12-17
500RV
DHM Research
 Warnock
40%
 Warnock
40%

Warnock

40%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Warnock+3
July 12-17
500RV
July 12-17
500RV
DHM Research
 Shapiro
40%
 Shapiro
40%

Shapiro

40%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Shapiro+2
July 12-17
500RV
July 12-17
500RV
DHM Research
 Whitmer
42%
 Whitmer
42%

Whitmer

42%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Whitmer+4
July 12-17
500RV
July 12-17
500RV
DHM Research
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Harris+5
July 12-17
500RV
July 12-17
500RV
DHM Research
 Biden
45%
 Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Biden+7
July 10-13
708LV
July 10-13
708LV
SurveyUSA
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

36%
36%
Trump  Harris+15
July 10-13
708LV
July 10-13
708LV
SurveyUSA
 Biden
50%
 Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

36%
36%
Trump  Biden+14
May 15-16
615LV
May 15-16
615LV
Public Policy Polling
 Biden
55%
 Biden
55%

Biden

55%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Biden+16
May 13-16
403RV
May 13-16
403RV
Elway Research
 Biden
42%
 Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

34%
34%
Trump  Biden+8
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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