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Who’s ahead in all?

An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 8, 2024

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 8-9
800LV
Oct. 8-9
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 8-9
800LV
Oct. 8-9
800LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 7-9
803LV
Oct. 7-9
803LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

West

1%

Stein

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

West

1%

Stein

1%
45%
TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 7-9
803LV
Oct. 7-9
803LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-9
800LV
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-9
800LV
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+3

President: general election, Georgia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-9
800LV
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+5

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-9
800LV
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+3

Oct. 7, 2024

President: general election, Georgia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 7-8
1,089LV
Oct. 7-8
1,089LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 7-8
800LV
Oct. 7-8
800LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-8
2,180LV
Oct. 6-8
2,180LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 3-8
1,000LV
Oct. 3-8
1,000LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Montana, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
656LV
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

56%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
56%
TrumpTrump+17
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

57%
57%
Trump  Trump+17
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Harris
38%
Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

56%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
56%
TrumpTrump+18
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

57%
57%
Trump  Trump+18

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
900LV
Oct. 5-8
900LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
950LV
Oct. 5-8
950LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+2
Sept. 6-Oct. 8
400LV
Sept. 6-Oct. 8
400LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+1

Oct. 6, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-7
1,230LV
Oct. 6-7
1,230LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Stein

1%

West

0%
45%
TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 6-7
1,414RV
Oct. 6-7
1,414RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%

Stein

1%

West

0%
44%
TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 4-7
1,076LV
Oct. 4-7
1,076LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 4-7
1,076RV
Oct. 4-7
1,076RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 4-7
1,272A
Oct. 4-7
1,272A
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 4-7
1,076LV
Oct. 4-7
1,076LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 4-7
1,076RV
Oct. 4-7
1,076RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 4-7
1,272A
Oct. 4-7
1,272A
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Harris+4

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-7
735LV
Oct. 5-7
735LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-7
450LV
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 3-7
1,073LV
Oct. 3-7
1,073LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 3-7
1,073LV
Oct. 3-7
1,073LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

48%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

West

0%

Terry

0%

De la Cruz

0%
48%
TrumpTrump+2

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-7
450LV
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
46%
TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 2-7
1,037LV
Oct. 2-7
1,037LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
47%
TrumpEven
Oct. 2-7
1,037LV
Oct. 2-7
1,037LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-7
450LV
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%

Oliver

1%

West

1%

Stein

0%

Terry

0%
50%
TrumpTrump+3

President: general election, Ohio, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 3-7
1,002RV
Oct. 3-7
1,002RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+7
Oct. 3-7
1,002LV
Oct. 3-7
1,002LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+6
Oct. 3-7
1,327LV
Oct. 3-7
1,327LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+6
Oct. 3-7
1,511RV
Oct. 3-7
1,511RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+6

President: general election, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 3-7
1,186LV
Oct. 3-7
1,186LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+7
Oct. 3-7
1,365RV
Oct. 3-7
1,365RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+6

President: general election, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 3-7
1,410RV
Oct. 3-7
1,410RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
Oct. 3-7
1,257LV
Oct. 3-7
1,257LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4

Oct. 5, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6
1,918LV
Oct. 6
1,918LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
46%
TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 4-6
1,001LV
Oct. 4-6
1,001LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 4-6
11,353LV
Oct. 4-6
11,353LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+5
Sept. 30-Oct. 6
4,025RV
Sept. 30-Oct. 6
4,025RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
Sept. 30-Oct. 6
4,025RV
Sept. 30-Oct. 6
4,025RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

2%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

0%
47%
TrumpHarris+1
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
3,385LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
3,385LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
44%
TrumpHarris+3
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
3,385LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
3,385LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3

President: general election, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 2-6
775LV
Oct. 2-6
775LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+5
Oct. 2-6
811RV
Oct. 2-6
811RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+5

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 2-6
700LV
Oct. 2-6
700LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622RV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622RV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

53%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
53%
TrumpTrump+13
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622RV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622RV
Harris
41%
Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+13
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622LV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

53%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
53%
TrumpTrump+13
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622LV
Harris
41%
Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

55%
55%
Trump  Trump+14
Sept. 17-Oct. 6
400LV
Sept. 17-Oct. 6
400LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+6

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 7-Oct. 6
400LV
Sept. 7-Oct. 6
400LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2

Oct. 4, 2024

President: general election, Massachusetts, 2024

Oct. 1-5
500LV
Oct. 1-5
500LV
Harris
61%
Harris
61%

Harris

61%

Trump

32%

Stein

1%

Ayyadurai

1%

De la Cruz

1%

Oliver

0%
32%
TrumpHarris+29

President: general election, Illinois, 2024

Sept. 3-Oct. 5
400LV
Sept. 3-Oct. 5
400LV
Harris
59%
Harris
59%

Harris

59%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Harris+18
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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