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Who’s ahead in the Ohio presidential Democratic primary?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, Ohio, 2024

March 6-11
373LV
March 6-11
373LV
SurveyUSA
 Biden
86%
 Biden
86%

Biden

86%

Phillips

5%
5%
Phillips  Biden+81
March 7-10
301LV
March 7-10
301LV
Emerson College
 Biden
91%
 Biden
91%

Biden

91%

Phillips

1%

Williamson

1%
1%
 PhillipsBiden+89
Nov. 16-19
500LV
Nov. 16-19
500LV
Big Data Poll
 Biden
64%
 Biden
64%

Biden

64%

Williamson

6%

Phillips

2%
6%
 WilliamsonBiden+58
Nov. 16-19
523RV
Nov. 16-19
523RV
Big Data Poll
 Biden
62%
 Biden
62%

Biden

62%

Williamson

6%

Phillips

3%
6%
 WilliamsonBiden+56
Nov. 10-13
351LV
Nov. 10-13
351LV
Emerson College
 Biden
61%
 Biden
61%

Biden

61%

Williamson

7%

Phillips

2%
7%
 WilliamsonBiden+54
Oct. 16-19
256LV
Oct. 16-19
256LV
Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy
 Biden
62%
 Biden
62%

Biden

62%

Newsom

7%

Williamson

6%

West

2%
7%
 NewsomBiden+55
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