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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania presidential Democratic primary?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, Pennsylvania, 2024

Jan. 4-8
746RV
Jan. 4-8
746RV
Quinnipiac University
 Biden
77%
 Biden
77%

Biden

77%

Williamson

12%

Phillips

4%
12%
 WilliamsonBiden+65
Sept. 28-Oct. 2
759RV
Sept. 28-Oct. 2
759RV
Quinnipiac University
 Biden
70%
 Biden
70%

Biden

70%

Kennedy

17%

Williamson

5%
17%
 KennedyBiden+53
Sept. 19-28
294RV
Sept. 19-28
294RV
Susquehanna Polling & Research
 Biden
70%
 Biden
70%

Biden

70%

Kennedy

14%

Williamson

1%
14%
 KennedyBiden+56
June 22-26
664RV
June 22-26
664RV
Quinnipiac University
 Biden
71%
 Biden
71%

Biden

71%

Kennedy

17%

Williamson

5%
17%
 KennedyBiden+54
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