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Who’s ahead in the New York presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, New York, 2024

Feb. 12-14
177RV
Feb. 12-14
177RV
Siena College
 Trump
64%
 Trump
64%

Trump

64%

Haley

24%
24%
Haley  Trump+40
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
825LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
825LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
84%
 Trump
84%

Trump

84%

Haley

15%
15%
Haley  Trump+69
Nov. 1-30
1,876LV
Nov. 1-30
1,876LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
66%
 Trump
66%

Trump

66%

DeSantis

13%

Haley

8%

Ramaswamy

5%

Christie

4%

Scott

2%

Burgum

1%

Hutchinson

0%
13%
 DeSantisTrump+53
Oct. 1-31
2,014LV
Oct. 1-31
2,014LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
64%
 Trump
64%

Trump

64%

DeSantis

12%

Ramaswamy

7%

Haley

6%

Christie

4%

Pence

4%

Scott

3%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%

Hurd

0%
12%
 DeSantisTrump+52
Sept. 1-30
1,924LV
Sept. 1-30
1,924LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
62%
 Trump
62%

Trump

62%

DeSantis

14%

Ramaswamy

8%

Haley

5%

Pence

5%

Christie

3%

Scott

2%

Hutchinson

1%

Burgum

1%

Hurd

0%
14%
 DeSantisTrump+48
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