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Who’s ahead in the Ohio presidential Republican primary?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Republican primary, Ohio, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

March 7-10
443LV
March 7-10
443LV
Emerson College
 Trump
83%
 Trump
83%

Trump

83%

Haley

13%
13%
Haley  Trump+70
Feb. 25-26
500LV
Feb. 25-26
500LV
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
 Trump
74%
 Trump
74%

Trump

74%

Haley

22%
22%
Haley  Trump+52
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
799LV
Jan. 23-Feb. 4
799LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
83%
 Trump
83%

Trump

83%

Haley

16%
16%
Haley  Trump+67
Dec. 12-14
600LV
Dec. 12-14
600LV
McLaughlin & Associates
 Trump
61%
 Trump
61%

Trump

61%

Haley

15%

DeSantis

11%

Christie

6%

Ramaswamy

3%
15%
 HaleyTrump+46
Nov. 1-30
1,881LV
Nov. 1-30
1,881LV
Morning Consult
 Trump
69%
 Trump
69%

Trump

69%

DeSantis

11%

Haley

8%

Ramaswamy

6%

Christie

3%

Scott

1%

Hutchinson

0%

Burgum

0%
11%
 DeSantisTrump+58
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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