UPDATED Jun. 30, 2024, at 10:30 AM

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Who’s ahead in the Tennessee Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Dates	Samplei SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS	Pollster	Sponsor	Result	Net result
Datesi SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS	Pollster	Result

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2018, General election

Oct. 28-31

480

Oct. 28-31

480LV

Targoz Market Research

Bredesen

49%

Bredesen

49%

Bredesen

49%

Blackburn

49%

Blackburn

Even

Oct. 28-30

632

Oct. 28-30

632LV

Emerson College

Bredesen

44%

Bredesen

44%

Bredesen

44%

Blackburn

52%

Blackburn

Oct. 27-30

850

Oct. 27-30

850RV

Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research

Bredesen

40%

Bredesen

40%

Bredesen

40%

Blackburn

48%

Blackburn

Oct. 27-30

718

Oct. 27-30

718LV

Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research

Bredesen

41%

Bredesen

41%

Bredesen

41%

Blackburn

50%

Blackburn

Oct. 27-29

780

Oct. 27-29

780LV

Vox Populi Polling

Bredesen

47%

Bredesen

47%

Bredesen

47%

Blackburn

53%

Blackburn

Oct. 24-29

764

Oct. 24-29

764LV

CNN/SSRS

Bredesen

45%

Bredesen

45%

Bredesen

45%

Blackburn

49%

Blackburn

Oct. 24-29

871

Oct. 24-29

871RV

CNN/SSRS

Bredesen

46%

Bredesen

46%

Bredesen

46%

Blackburn

47%

Blackburn

Oct. 22-29

495

Oct. 22-29

495LV

East Tennessee State University Applied Social Research Laboratory

Bredesen

44%

Bredesen

44%

Bredesen

44%

Blackburn

44%

Blackburn

Even

Oct. 26-27

497

Oct. 26-27

497LV

Cygnal

Bredesen

45%

Bredesen

45%

Bredesen

45%

Blackburn

51%

Blackburn

Oct. 23-27

764

Oct. 23-27

764RV

Marist College

Bredesen

46%

Bredesen

46%

Bredesen

46%

Blackburn

49%

Blackburn

Oct. 23-27

471

Oct. 23-27

471LV

Marist College

Bredesen

46%

Bredesen

46%

Bredesen

46%

Blackburn

51%

Blackburn

Oct. 8-13

800

Oct. 8-13

800RV

SSRS

Bredesen

44%

Bredesen

44%

Bredesen

44%

Blackburn

43%

Blackburn

Bredesen

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Candidate is an incumbent

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