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Who’s ahead in the Alaska Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Alaska, 2022

Oct. 19-22
1,276LV
Oct. 19-22
1,276LV
Murkowski
56%
Murkowski
56%

Murkowski

56%

Tshibaka

45%
45%
Tshibaka  Murkowski+11
Oct. 19-22
1,276LV
Oct. 19-22
1,276LV
Murkowski
42%
Murkowski
42%

Murkowski

42%

Tshibaka

41%

Chesbro

17%
41%
TshibakaMurkowski+1
Oct. 19-22
1,276LV
Oct. 19-22
1,276LV
Murkowski
41%
Murkowski
41%

Murkowski

41%

Tshibaka

39%

Chesbro

16%

Kelley

4%
39%
TshibakaMurkowski+2
Sept. 25-27
1,282LV
Sept. 25-27
1,282LV
Murkowski
57%
Murkowski
57%

Murkowski

57%

Tshibaka

43%
43%
Tshibaka  Murkowski+13
Sept. 25-27
1,282LV
Sept. 25-27
1,282LV
Murkowski
42%
Murkowski
42%

Murkowski

42%

Tshibaka

41%

Chesbro

17%
41%
TshibakaMurkowski+2
Sept. 25-27
1,282LV
Sept. 25-27
1,282LV
Murkowski
41%
Murkowski
41%

Murkowski

41%

Tshibaka

39%

Chesbro

16%

Kelley

4%
39%
TshibakaMurkowski+2
Sept. 6-11
500LV
Sept. 6-11
500LV
Tshibaka
50%
Tshibaka
50%

Tshibaka

50%

Murkowski

50%
50%
Murkowski  Even
Sept. 6-11
500LV
Sept. 6-11
500LV
Tshibaka
47%
Tshibaka
47%

Tshibaka

47%

Murkowski

38%

Chesbro

14%
38%
MurkowskiTshibaka+9
Sept. 6-11
500LV
Sept. 6-11
500LV
Tshibaka
46%
Tshibaka
46%

Tshibaka

46%

Murkowski

38%

Chesbro

14%

Kelley

2%
38%
MurkowskiTshibaka+8
July 2-5
1,201LV
July 2-5
1,201LV
Murkowski
52%
Murkowski
52%

Murkowski

52%

Tshibaka

48%
48%
Tshibaka  Murkowski+4
July 2-5
1,201LV
July 2-5
1,201LV
Tshibaka
45%
Tshibaka
45%

Tshibaka

45%

Murkowski

36%

Chesbro

20%
36%
MurkowskiTshibaka+9
July 2-5
1,201LV
July 2-5
1,201LV
Tshibaka
43%
Tshibaka
43%

Tshibaka

43%

Murkowski

35%

Chesbro

17%

Darden

5%
35%
MurkowskiTshibaka+7
April 16-21
1,208LV
April 16-21
1,208LV
Murkowski
55%
Murkowski
55%

Murkowski

55%

Tshibaka

45%
45%
Tshibaka  Murkowski+10
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Candidate is an incumbent

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