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Who’s ahead in the California Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Aug. 13-Sept. 21
400LV
Aug. 13-Sept. 21
400LV
Schiff
63%
Schiff
63%

Schiff

63%

Garvey

37%
37%
Garvey  Schiff+25
Aug. 29-Sept. 9
1,071LV
Aug. 29-Sept. 9
1,071LV
Schiff
63%
Schiff
63%

Schiff

63%

Garvey

35%
35%
Garvey  Schiff+28
Sept. 3-5
815LV
Sept. 3-5
815LV
Schiff
55%
Schiff
55%

Schiff

55%

Garvey

33%
33%
Garvey  Schiff+22
July 16-Aug. 12
400LV
July 16-Aug. 12
400LV
Schiff
66%
Schiff
66%

Schiff

66%

Garvey

34%
34%
Garvey  Schiff+33
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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