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Who’s ahead in the California Senate general?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, General election

March 19-25
1,084LV
March 19-25
1,084LV
Schiff
61%
Schiff
61%

Schiff

61%

Garvey

37%
37%
Garvey  Schiff+24
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Porter
52%
Porter
52%

Porter

52%

Garvey

38%
38%
Garvey  Porter+14
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Schiff
30%
Schiff
30%

Schiff

30%

Porter

30%
30%
Porter  Even
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Feb. 22-26
3,304LV
Schiff
53%
Schiff
53%

Schiff

53%

Garvey

38%
38%
Garvey  Schiff+15
Nov. 19-21
600LV
Nov. 19-21
600LV
Porter
37%
Porter
37%

Porter

37%

Schiff

26%
26%
Schiff  Porter+11
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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