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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 7-9
803LV
Oct. 7-9
803LV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+4
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

40%
40%
McCormick  Casey+8
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+2
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Casey
51%
Casey
51%

Casey

51%

McCormick

48%
48%
McCormick  Casey+3
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Casey
51%
Casey
51%

Casey

51%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+8
Sept. 6-Oct. 7
400LV
Sept. 6-Oct. 7
400LV
Casey
53%
Casey
53%

Casey

53%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+6
Sept. 28-29
800LV
Sept. 28-29
800LV
Casey
45%
Casey
45%

Casey

45%

McCormick

44%
44%
McCormick  Casey+1
Sept. 27-29
816RV
Sept. 27-29
816RV
Casey
51%
Casey
51%

Casey

51%

McCormick

48%
48%
McCormick  Casey+3
Sept. 26-29
1,090LV
Sept. 26-29
1,090LV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+2
Sept. 26-29
800RV
Sept. 26-29
800RV
Casey
52%
Casey
52%

Casey

52%

McCormick

42%

Thomas

3%

Hazou

2%

Selker

1%
42%
McCormickCasey+10
Sept. 26-29
800RV
Sept. 26-29
800RV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

39%
39%
McCormick  Casey+9
Sept. 27-28
1,000LV
Sept. 27-28
1,000LV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

45%
45%
McCormick  Casey+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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