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UPDATED May 19, 2019, at 7:20 AM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works

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The Oklahoma City Thunder have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strengthvs. full strengthOff. +/-Def. +/-
Russell WestbrookR. Westbrook231800041+2
+4.0
+1.1
Paul GeorgeP. George01347042+2
+3.6
+1.7
Steven AdamsS. Adams00003535SAME
0.0
+2.0
Jerami GrantJ. Grant001124035+2
-0.6
+0.7
Dennis SchroderD. Schroder25000025+1
+0.3
-2.0
Andre RobersonA. Roberson000000-26
-1.5
+2.4
Terrance FergusonT. Ferguson02500025+4
-1.2
-1.4
Markieff MorrisM. Morris00012517+2
-1.5
-0.4
Patrick PattersonP. Patterson0005510+3
-1.7
-0.3
Nerlens NoelN. Noel000033+3
-2.3
+3.9
Abdel NaderA. Nader033006+6
-3.5
-0.7
Raymond FeltonR. Felton010001+1
-1.5
-0.7
Hamidou DialloH. Diallo000000SAME
-2.8
-1.1
Deonte BurtonD. Burton000000SAME
-2.4
+0.2
Donte GranthamD. Grantham000000SAME
-1.4
-0.2
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+4.2
+2.6
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
58
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1674
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALOff. +/-Def. +/-
Russell WestbrookR. Westbrook241500039
+4.0
+1.1
Paul GeorgeP. George00319040
+3.6
+1.7
Steven AdamsS. Adams00003535
0.0
+2.0
Jerami GrantJ. Grant00330033
-0.6
+0.7
Dennis SchroderD. Schroder24000024
+0.3
-2.0
Andre RobersonA. Roberson012140026
-1.5
+2.4
Terrance FergusonT. Ferguson02100021
-1.2
-1.4
Markieff MorrisM. Morris0006915
-1.5
-0.4
Patrick PattersonP. Patterson000347
-1.7
-0.3
Nerlens NoelN. Noel000000
-2.3
+3.9
Abdel NaderA. Nader000000
-3.5
-0.7
Raymond FeltonR. Felton000000
-1.5
-0.7
Hamidou DialloH. Diallo000000
-2.8
-1.1
Deonte BurtonD. Burton000000
-2.4
+0.2
Donte GranthamD. Grantham000000
-1.4
-0.2
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+3.9
+3.8
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
60
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1700
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

CARMELO rating of the team at full strength vs. the team with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation
Current rotationCurrent

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